Yankees vs Red Sox Preview & Free Pick | Prediction [6/29/19]

NY Yankees (52-28) vs Boston (44-38)
When: Saturday, June 29th, 2019
Where: London Stadium,
London, England
Time: 1:10 ET | TV: FOX
Opening Odds: New York -123/10.5


Europe will get their first taste of Major League Baseball this weekend when London hosts the biggest rivalry in the sport featuring the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox. Every MLB stadium is unique in its own way, but London Stadium will be something completely different and at first glance, one could say this may be a homer-fest. The 66,000 seat stadium will have baseball dimensions of just 330 feet down the lines and 385 feet to center field, but does have a 16-foot wall the ball needs to carry over. You’ve all seen how much foul territory is at the Oakland Coliseum, right? Well, this game will feature more than 4,000 square feet of room than where the A’s play. Both games – Saturday and Sunday – are sold out with the average ticket price hovering around 250 pounds (about $320 U.S. dollars) with the least expensive being 30 pounds ($38). Boston will be considered the home team and bat last in both games, which will be played on artificial turf. The Yankees own a 4-1 edge so far over the Red Sox in the season series and have a nine-game lead over Boston in the AL East and 6.5 over second place Tampa Bay. Not all is lost for the Red Sox, however, as they are right in the thick of the wild card race. Boston is coming over after a dismal homestand in which it went 3-3 against sub-.500 teams Toronto and the Chicago White Sox. The Yankees are trying to extend their already major league record of home runs in consecutive games to 30 and have won 11 of their last 12 games overall.

Pitchers: Yankees – Masahiro Tanaka (5-5, 3.21 ERA) | Red Sox – Rick Porcello (5-7, 4.52)

Masahiro Tanaka comes across the pond as probably the most reliable starting pitcher on the Yankees staff at the moment after going 2-0 with a 2.49 ERA in his last three starts. The most recent was a no-decision in a 7-5 victory over Houston after he allowed two runs and eight hits in six innings. Tanaka is 8-4 with a 4.35 ERA in 18 starts against the Red Sox including defeating them in the 2018 AL Division Series.


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Rick Porcello is hoping to end June with a little momentum after going 1-3 with a 4.75 ERA in five starts so far this month. He allowed five runs, eight hits and four walks in six innings of a 6-1 loss to Toronto on Sunday. Boston won his previous two starts after he surrendered just two total runs over 13.2 innings in those two outings against Texas and Minnesota. Porcello is 10-9 with a 3.32 ERA in 23 starts against the Yankees and allowed five runs and nine hits in 4.2 innings earlier this month.

I’m not touching the total in this one, as these dimensions are ripe for a slugfest, but Tanaka has been pitching very well of late and the Red Sox are struggling. The Yankees are on a roll right now no matter where they play, so I’ll take New York in this first game. We’ll have a preview and free pick for the Sunday game as well.

Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Saturday. He is 85-57 +1888 units on the season after a 5-1 run!

Pick: Yankees -133


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BETTING TRENDS:

***RED SOX WILL ACT AS THE HOME TEAM***

Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Yankees are 20-6 in their last 26 vs. a team with a winning record.
Yankees are 6-2 in their last 8 games following an off day.
Yankees are 21-7 in their last 28 games following a win.
Yankees are 39-13 in their last 52 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Yankees are 62-22 in their last 84 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Yankees are 41-15 in their last 56 games on grass.
Yankees are 38-14 in their last 52 Saturday games.
Yankees are 43-16 in their last 59 vs. American League East.
Yankees are 59-22 in their last 81 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Yankees are 44-18 in their last 62 overall.
Yankees are 39-16 in their last 55 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Yankees are 46-19 in their last 65 during game 1 of a series.
Yankees are 7-1 in Tanaka’s last 8 Saturday starts.
Yankees are 12-2 in Tanaka’s last 14 starts with 6 days of rest.
Yankees are 4-1 in Tanaka’s last 5 starts on grass.
Yankees are 5-2 in Tanaka’s last 7 starts vs. American League East.
Yankees are 37-16 in Tanaka’s last 53 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Yankees are 42-19 in Tanaka’s last 61 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Yankees are 36-17 in Tanaka’s last 53 starts during game 1 of a series.

Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Red Sox are 5-2 in their last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Red Sox are 10-4 in their last 14 overall.
Red Sox are 10-4 in their last 14 games on grass.
Red Sox are 7-3 in their last 10 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Red Sox are 63-28 in their last 91 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Red Sox are 9-4 in their last 13 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Red Sox are 2-5 in their last 7 Saturday games.
Red Sox are 2-5 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Red Sox are 22-9 in Porcello’s last 31 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Red Sox are 16-7 in Porcello’s last 23 Saturday starts.
Red Sox are 9-4 in Porcello’s last 13 starts.
Red Sox are 40-19 in Porcello’s last 59 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Red Sox are 1-4 in Porcello’s last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.

Under is 5-1-1 in Yankees last 7 games following an off day.
Over is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 overall.
Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 on grass.
Over is 8-2-1 in Yankees last 11 Saturday games.
Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 15-5-1 in Yankees last 21 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 8-3 in Yankees last 11 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 35-14-2 in Yankees last 51 road games.
Over is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 games following a win.
Over is 34-15-2 in Yankees last 51 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 9-4 in Yankees last 13 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 5-1 in Tanaka’s last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-1-1 in Tanaka’s last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Over is 4-1 in Tanaka’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 3-1-1 in Tanaka’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 3-1-1 in Tanaka’s last 5 starts on grass.
Under is 6-2-1 in Tanaka’s last 9 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 11-4-2 in Tanaka’s last 17 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Under is 6-1 in Red Sox last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Under is 6-1 in Red Sox last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 4-1-1 in Red Sox last 6 vs. American League East.
Under is 16-5 in Red Sox last 21 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Under is 6-2 in Red Sox last 8 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 40-16-2 in Red Sox last 58 games following an off day.
Over is 5-2 in Red Sox last 7 overall.
Over is 5-2 in Red Sox last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 5-2 in Red Sox last 7 on grass.
Over is 5-2 in Red Sox last 7 home games.
Over is 5-2 in Red Sox last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 19-8-2 in Red Sox last 29 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 29-14-2 in Red Sox last 45 during game 1 of a series.
Under is 5-0 in Porcello’s last 5 starts on grass.
Under is 5-0 in Porcello’s last 5 starts overall.
Under is 5-0 in Porcello’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-0 in Porcello’s last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-0 in Porcello’s last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Porcello’s last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Porcello’s last 5 Saturday starts.
Under is 4-1 in Porcello’s last 5 home starts.
Under is 15-7 in Porcello’s last 22 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Red Sox are 4-0 in Porcello’s last 4 home starts vs. Yankees.
Under is 6-1-2 in Porcello’s last 9 home starts vs. Yankees.
Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Under is 9-2-2 in Porcello’s last 13 starts vs. Yankees.
Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings in Boston.
Yankees are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Under is 3-1-1 in Tanaka’s last 5 road starts vs. Red Sox.
Over is 3-1-1 in Tanaka’s last 5 starts vs. Red Sox.
Red Sox are 5-2 in Porcello’s last 7 starts vs. Yankees.
Yankees are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings in Boston.

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