Yankees vs Red Sox Betting Odds, Trends, & Free Pick [4/26/17]

By
Jay Cooper
-

NY Yankees (11-7) at Boston (11-8)
When: Wednesday, April 26th 2017
Where: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Time: 7:10 ET | TV: ESPN

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One of the best rivalries in Baseball resumes Wednesday, a day later than scheduled, when the Boston Red Sox host the New York Yankees in what will be the first of 19 contests this season. The American League East Division rivals have each won 83 meetings over the last nine regular seasons with the teams alternating series victories over the past six years. New York’s Aaron Judge, a 6’7″, 282-pound rookie, takes his first swings at Fenway Park’s Green Monster and comes in to the contest with six home runs and 13 RBIs on the season and is part of the reason New York is off to a great start. That, and the fact they’ve played most of their games at home. Boston second baseman Dustin Pedroia, who underwent an MRI on Monday, is questionable for this game after injuring his knee and ankle Friday when Baltimore’s Manny Machado slid into him as the Red Sox (11-8) go from one heated series to another after they threw at Machado on Sunday. The Red Sox are last in the major leagues with 11 home runs while the Yankees were fifth entering Tuesday’s action with 26. Boston OF Andrew Benintendi (.347, 11 RBIs) recorded a career-high five hits Sunday and has six multi-hit games in his last 12. New York 1B Greg Bird (.104, one home run, two RBIs in 48 at-bats) went 0-for-11 in the three-game series with the Pirates and is 1-for-19 in his last six games.

Pitchers: Yankees – Luis Severino (1-1, 4.05 ERA) | Red Sox – Rick Porcello (1-2, 5.32)

Luis Severino will start for New York after allowing four runs (three earned) and three hits while striking out 10 over a career-high eight innings of a 4-1 loss to the Chicago White Sox last Tuesday. Severino has 21 K’s over his last two starts covering 15 innings. Severino is 0-3 with a 5.71 ERA in four games (three starts) versus Boston, including 0-2, 7.30 in three appearances (two starts) last season.

Rick Porcello has lost his last two starts and allowed three unearned runs, six hits, one walk and struck out five in seven innings of a 3-0 loss at Toronto on Wednesday. The reigning AL Cy Young Award winner, who went 22-4 last season, allowed eight runs in 4.1 innings of a 10-5 loss to Tampa Bay on April 14th. Porcello is 7-5 with a 3.28 ERA in 14 starts – 2-1, 2.05 in three starts last season – versus New York but struggles with Jacoby Ellsbury (12-for-31, four home runs).

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New York is really one of the surprise teams this season, ranking 4th in runs scored (5.11) and 2nd in team ERA (3.23). These games are always hotly contested, but I’m giving the edge to the Yankees in this one based on the struggles so far this season by Porcello.

Pick: Yankees +105

W/L TRENDS

NY Yankees
  • Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League East.
  • Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 Wednesday games.
  • Yankees are 10-3 in their last 13 overall.
  • Yankees are 10-3 in their last 13 games on grass.
  • Yankees are 4-10 in their last 14 road games.
  • Yankees are 3-9 in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Boston
  • Red Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
  • Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
  • Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Red Sox are 25-10 in their last 35 during game 1 of a series.

OU TRENDS

NY Yankees
  • Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Over is 7-1 in Yankees last 8 during game 1 of a series.
  • Over is 7-1 in Yankees last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 road games.
  • Over is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 vs. American League East.
  • Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 overall.
  • Over is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 on grass.
Boston
  • Under is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 Wednesday games.
  • Under is 9-3-2 in Red Sox last 14 home games.
  • Under is 20-7-3 in Red Sox last 30 on grass.
  • Under is 17-6-3 in Red Sox last 26 vs. American League East.
  • Under is 24-9-3 in Red Sox last 36 overall.
  • Under is 8-3-2 in Red Sox last 13 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Under is 19-8-2 in Red Sox last 29 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Under is 7-3-1 in Red Sox last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Boston.
  • Yankees are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Boston.

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