NY Yankees vs NY Mets Preview and Prediction

NY Yankees (81-66) at NY Mets (84-64)
When: Sunday, September 20th, 2015
Where: Citi Field, Flushing, NY
Time: 8:05 ET
TV: ESPN Radio: XM 89, 177

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Matt Harvey will take the mound tonight for the Mets in what could be his last regular season start of the year. His agent Scott Boras, suggested to the Mets that Harvey should be limited to 180 innings this year. Harvey is 8 1/3 innings away from that mark. Earlier this season, he limited the Yankees to 2 runs over 8 2/3 in an 8-2 win. It appears he might be tiring down the stretch as he’s been hit hard the last 2 outings. The Nationals got him for 7 runs in just 5 1/3 innings on September 8th and the Phillies got 4 off him in 6 1/3. Overall, he’s 12-7 with a 2.88 ERA and 164 strikeouts. The Mets really don’t need him the rest of the way as they have a 7 game lead over Washington in the National League East. In two career starts against the Yankees, Harvey has a 1.62 ERA.

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The Yankees had lost 7 of 10 before yesterday’s 5-0 win over the Mets. Carlos Beltran and Brian McCann provided the offense and Michael Pineda shut down the Mets for 5 innings before 6 relievers did the rest. The Yanks are still trying to catch the Blue Jays in the American League East in hopes of avoiding the Wild Card game. They start the day 3.5 games behind them, but they travel to Toronto after tonight’s game to start a 3-game series. They’ll need to sweep that series or at the very least take 2 of 3. CC Sabathia will get the start tonight. He is coming off one of his best outings in a difficult season, having held Tampa Bay scoreless over 6 2/3 innings on Monday. He didn’t get enough support to earn the win, though, and is winless in nine starts since July 8. Sabathia is 3-2 with a 3.49 ERA in six career starts against the Mets, but they hammered him for seven runs and nine hits over five innings in a loss earlier this season.

Sabathia just hasn’t been good all year and Harvey has looked bad recently. The price for taking the Mets is a little too high tonight, but I do like the total in this one to go over. Seven seems a little low. I’ll predict a 5-3 Mets win.

Pick: Over 7 -110

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