Warriors vs Spurs Betting Odds, Trends, & Free Pick [Game 4]

Golden State (3-0) at San Antonio (0-3)
When: Monday, May 22nd 2017
Where: AT&T Center, San Antonio, TX
Time: 9:05 ET | TV: ESPN

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The Golden State Warriors will look to sweep their third consecutive series and reach the NBA Finals when they visit the San Antonio Spurs for Game 4 of their Western Conference finals series at AT&T Center. Kevin Durant had 33 points and 10 rebounds and the visiting Warriors beat the injury-riddled Spurs 120-108 on Saturday to take a 3-0 series lead. The Warriors are the third team in NBA history to start a postseason with 11 straight wins. “I’m not surprised,” Golden State point guard Stephen Curry said. “Our goal is to win every game we play.” Curry added 21 points and became the franchise leader in postseason points, passing Hall of Famer Rick Barry. Durant took control of Game 3 with 19 of his 33 points in the third quarter and went 11-of-19 from the floor to mark his fifth straight postseason game shooting 50% or better. Klay Thompson scored 17 points in Game 3, matching his total from the first two games of the series. Center Zaza Pachulia (heel) sat out Game 3 and is questionable for Monday.

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The Spurs put up a better fight than they did in Game 2, but without star Kawhi Leonard, they have nobody that can stop the Warriors scoring spurts. With Leonard and point guard Tony Parker out, the Spurs lost David Lee to a left knee injury in the opening quarter of Game 3. San Antonio coach Gregg Popovich called it “likely” that Leonard will miss Game 4, and Lee is likely to sit as well after suffering a reported partial tear of his left patella tendon. The shorthanded Spurs will continue to lean on veteran Manu Ginobili and second-year guard Jonathan Simmons, who is starting in place of Leonard. Simmons followed-up his 22 point Game 2 performance with just 14 points on Sunday and missed all four of his three-point attempts. San Antonio really needs LaMarcus Aldridge to step up, but he’s averaged just 13 points on 11-of-28 shooting in the last two games. Backup center Pau Gasol recorded his second double-double of the postseason with 12 points and 10 boards. If the Spurs can extend the series, Game 5 will be Wednesday night back in Oakland.

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I just don’t see how the short-handed Spurs can compete with Golden State. They are demoralized with all the injuries and the frustration of trying to slow down the Warriors. I’ll lay the points in this one.

Pick: Warriors -12.5

ATS TRENDS

Golden State
  • Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Warriors are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games.
  • Warriors are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Warriors are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Southwest.
  • Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Warriors are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Conference Finals games.
  • Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Monday games.
  • Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.
  • Warriors are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Warriors are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games overall.
  • Warriors are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Warriors are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a straight up win.
  • Warriors are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Warriors are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 games following a ATS win.
San Antonio
  • Spurs are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 Monday games.
  • Spurs are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
  • Spurs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Spurs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Spurs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Pacific.

OU TRENDS

Golden State
  • Over is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 overall.
  • Over is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Over is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 games following a straight up win.
  • Over is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 vs. Western Conference.
  • Over is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 vs. NBA Southwest.
  • Over is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Over is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 6-1 in Warriors last 7 road games.
  • Over is 6-1 in Warriors last 7 games following a ATS win.
  • Over is 6-1 in Warriors last 7 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
  • Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Under is 39-16 in Warriors last 55 games playing on 1 days rest.
San Antonio
  • Over is 4-0 in Spurs last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Over is 5-0 in Spurs last 5 home games.
  • Over is 4-0 in Spurs last 4 Conference Finals games.
  • Over is 5-0 in Spurs last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
  • Over is 4-0 in Spurs last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
  • Over is 4-0 in Spurs last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Over is 11-1 in Spurs last 12 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 9-1 in Spurs last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 8-1 in Spurs last 9 games following a ATS loss.
  • Over is 10-2 in Spurs last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Over is 5-1 in Spurs last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 14-3 in Spurs last 17 overall.
  • Over is 14-3 in Spurs last 17 vs. Western Conference.
  • Over is 4-1 in Spurs last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 9-3 in Spurs last 12 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Over is 14-5 in Spurs last 19 vs. NBA Pacific.
  • Under is 22-8-1 in Spurs last 31 Monday games.
  • Over is 20-8 in Spurs last 28 games following a straight up loss.
  • Over is 19-8 in Spurs last 27 games following a double-digit loss at home.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
  • Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in San Antonio.
  • Road team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

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