Golden State (1-3) at Toronto (3-1)
When: Monday, June 10th, 2019
Where: Scotiabank Arena,
Toronto, Ontario
Time: 9:00 ET | TV: ABC
Opening Odds: Toronto -3/212
The Golden State Warriors know all too well that a 3-1 series lead isn’t the end of the world, but they are now on the other end of it in this year’s NBA Finals. The Warriors blew a 3-1 lead to LeBron James and Cleveland a few years ago, but now have to beat the Toronto Raptors in three straight games to pull off that same feat. The Raptors convincingly beat the Warriors in Oakland in Games 3 and 4 and now have three chances to win their first ever championship, with the first one coming Monday night at home in Game 5. The last major sporting event with as much significance in the city of Toronto was Game 6 of the 1993 World Series when Joe Carter hit one of the most memorable home runs in MLB history in the bottom of the ninth inning as the Jays rallied to beat the Philadelphia Phillies. The Raptors are now -1000 to win the NBA Title, while Golden State is +550. Golden State did rally from down 3-1 in the 2016 Western Conference semifinals against Kevin Durant’s Oklahoma City Thunder, but injuries have hampered this team. Guard Klay Thompson, who at out Game 3 with a hamstring injury, scored 28 points on 11-of-18 shooting in Game 4, but Durant is still a question mark with a calf injury.The underdog has covered seven of the past eight meetings between these teams.
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The Warriors looked flat and tired in Friday’s 105-92 loss in Game 4, but there were two bright spots. The first was Thompson returning and looking healthy and the second was big man Kevon Looney, who made a surprise return. He was reportedly out for the series with a collarbone injury suffered in Game 2 but was back and had 10 points and six rebounds in 20 minutes. Star point guard Steph Curry is one of the few healthy players left on the Golden State roster and did everything he could with 47 points in Game 3’s loss before finishing with 27 points on 9-of-22 shooting in Game 4. Power forward Draymond Green is averaging 13.5 points, 9.0 rebounds and 8.8 assists in the series.
Toronto is 3-0 this post-season when it has a chance to win a playoff series at home. They beat Orlando 115-96 in Game 5, Philadelphia 92-90 in Game 7 on Kawhi Leonard’s four-bouncer, and Milwaukee 100-94 in Game 6. Kawhi Leonard is the -1000 favorite to win the NBA Finals MVP after scoring 36 points in Game 4, including 17 of the team’s 37 in the third quarter when Toronto took control. Fred VanVleet continued his stellar play this series with eight points, six assists and four rebounds in Game 4, but got knocked in the face with an elbow that required stitches, but he’ll be in there Monday. All-Star point guard Kyle Lowry was held to 10 points on 3-of-12 shooting in Game 4 but handed out seven assists and contributed to the defensive effort against Curry with three steals. Center Serge Ibaka recorded a postseason-high 20 points on 9-of-12 shooting in Game 4.
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I rode the Raptors in Games 3 and 4 in Oakland and I’m going to take them again. This Golden State team looks exhausted, but who wouldn’t after playing into June for five straight seasons. Toronto has already closed out three series this postseason at home, so why not another one.
Pick: Raptors -1.5
Monday’s Free Sports Picks – NBA on 5-1 Run!
Warriors are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Warriors are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Warriors are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Warriors are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 2 days rest.
Warriors are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games following a ATS loss.
Warriors are 16-33-2 ATS in their last 51 vs. NBA Atlantic.
Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
Warriors are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Warriors are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Warriors are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.
Warriors are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 Monday games.
Raptors are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Raptors are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Raptors are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Raptors are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
Raptors are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Raptors are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Pacific.
Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.
Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
Raptors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Raptors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.
Raptors are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Raptors are 33-16-2 ATS in their last 51 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Raptors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Monday games.
Raptors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.
Over is 6-1-1 in Warriors last 8 road games.
Over is 6-1-1 in Warriors last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 6-1-1 in Warriors last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.
Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 overall.
Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.
Over is 9-3 in Warriors last 12 NBA Championship games.
Over is 9-3 in Warriors last 12 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Over is 5-2-1 in Warriors last 8 Monday games.
Under is 7-3 in Warriors last 10 vs. NBA Atlantic.
Under is 33-16-2 in Warriors last 51 games following a straight up loss.
Over is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 9-2 in Raptors last 11 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Over is 4-1 in Raptors last 5 home games.
Under is 4-1 in Raptors last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
Over is 4-1 in Raptors last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Under is 6-2 in Raptors last 8 games playing on 2 days rest.
Over is 44-21-2 in Raptors last 67 Monday games.
Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Toronto.
Over is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.
Warriors are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Road team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
Underdog is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
