UL Lafayette vs San Diego State Spread, Trends, and Free Pick – 2011 New Orleans Bowl ]]> include($base_url . “/includes/header.htm”); ?>
The point spread for this year’s New Orleans Bowl between the UL Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns and San Diego State Aztecs opened up at -5 in favor of San Diego State at BetOnline Sportsbook. As of Tuesday night, the line has been bet down to 4.5. The total opened up at 58.5 and has not moved. Right now, 61% of the betting public is on the Aztecs and 70% are on the over. To help you better decide who to bet, take a look at these trends for tonight.
Ragin’ Cajuns are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games on turf.
Ragin’ Cajuns are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Aztecs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Aztecs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Over is 7-1 in Ragin’ Cajuns last 8 non-conference games.
Over is 5-1 in Ragin’ Cajuns last 6 games following a ATS win.
Under is 22-5 in Aztecs last 27 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Aztecs last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
My Prediction: This year’s New Orleans Bowl will feature two teams with good quarterback play. Lafayette’s Blaine Gautier and the Aztecs’ Ryan Lindley have combined for 40 touchdowns and only 13 interceptions this year. San Diego State also has one of the best running backs in the country in Ronnie Hillman who has rushed for over 1,600 yards this year. The defenses in this game have given up 68 points a game in each of their last three games. I like offenses like these on turf to score a lot of points. Take the over.