Twins vs Blue Jays Preview & Free Pick | Prediction [5/6/19]

Minnesota (20-12) at Toronto (15-19)
When: Monday, May 6th, 2019
Where: Rogers Centre,
Toronto, Ontario
Time: 7:07 ET | TV: FS North
Opening Odds: Toronto -135/8.5


The Minnesota Twins continue their six-game road trip with the first of three in Toronto Monday against the Blue Jays as Martin Perez opposes Marcus Stroman. The Twins were coming off a 6-1 homestand that including three wins over the Houston Astros, but lost some momentum over the weekend by dropping two of three to the New York Yankees. Sunday’s game was called after a 61-minute rain delay and the Twins down 4-1 in the 7th. Marwin Gonzalez, who signed a two-year, $21 million contract in February, might be showing signs of life after starting the season with a .159 batting average. Gonzalez is 7-for-16 over his last four games after recording his 300th career RBI in Sunday’s setback and had four hits – including a homer – in Minnesota’s series with Toronto on April 15-18. The Blue Jays won three of those four games and are returning home after a 1-5 road trip that saw their pitching staff allow 34 runs. Rookie Vladimir Guerrero, Jr. is 5-for-30 with eight strikeouts since being called up from Triple-A Buffalo, while shortstop Freddy Galvis is 3-for-23 in his last five games. Eric Sogard has a modest three-game hitting streak after a solo home run in Sunday’s 10-2 loss to Texas.

Pitchers: Twins – Martin Perez (4-0, 3.41 ERA) | Blue Jays – Marcus Stroman (1-4, 2.20)

Perez is a perfect 3-0 since moving into the starting rotation after getting knocked around in three relief appearances early on. The lefty put together is best effort to date with eight scoreless innings in a 6-2 over Houston. Perez allowed four hits and struck out seven in the effort and allowed one run in six innings versus the Blue Jays on April 15.

The Blue Jays are 3-1 this season against the Twins.


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Stroman pitched two gems against the Oakland A’s in the span of seven days, but the Los Angeles Angels pounded him for a season-high five runs on six hits in 3.1 innings in the 6-3 setback. Despite a nice 2.20 ERA, Stroman is just 1-4 on the season and Toronto is 2-5 when he starts. He is 1-2 with a 3.71 ERA in four career appearances versus Minnesota.

Despite losing two of three over the weekend, the Twins are still pretty hot and own first place in the AL Central. Perez has been terrific since moving into the rotation and the Toronto lineup doesn’t scare me.

Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Monday. He is 53-38 +874 units on the season!

Pick: Twins +100

Monday’s Free Sports Picks – 12-4 Run in NHL Playoffs!


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BETTING TRENDS:

Twins are 7-0 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Twins are 8-1 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Twins are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. American League East.
Twins are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Twins are 7-2 in their last 9 overall.
Twins are 17-5 in their last 22 vs. a team with a losing record.

Blue Jays are 12-30 in their last 42 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Blue Jays are 3-8 in their last 11 Monday games.
Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 overall.
Blue Jays are 2-5 in Stroman’s last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Blue Jays are 3-8 in Stroman’s last 11 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Blue Jays are 2-7 in Stroman’s last 9 starts.
Blue Jays are 1-4 in Stroman’s last 5 starts following an outing of less than 4 innings in his last appearance.
Blue Jays are 1-4 in Stroman’s last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Blue Jays are 1-4 in Stroman’s last 5 home starts.
Blue Jays are 2-8 in Stroman’s last 10 starts with 4 days of rest.
Blue Jays are 1-4 in Stroman’s last 5 starts on astroturf.

Over is 13-3 in Twins last 16 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 overall.
Over is 8-2 in Twins last 10 road games.
Over is 11-3 in Twins last 14 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 19-6-1 in Twins last 26 on astroturf.
Over is 5-2 in Twins last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 on astroturf.
Under is 7-1 in Blue Jays last 8 Monday games.
Under is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 during game 1 of a series.
Under is 7-2 in Blue Jays last 9 overall.
Under is 10-3 in Blue Jays last 13 vs. American League Central.
Under is 16-5 in Blue Jays last 21 home games.
Under is 8-3 in Blue Jays last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 10-4 in Blue Jays last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Under is 4-0 in Stroman’s last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.
Under is 6-1 in Stroman’s last 7 starts following an outing of less than 4 innings in his last appearance.
Under is 5-1 in Stroman’s last 6 starts on astroturf.
Under is 5-1 in Stroman’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-1 in Stroman’s last 6 home starts.
Under is 4-1 in Stroman’s last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-1 in Stroman’s last 5 starts vs. American League Central.
Under is 6-2 in Stroman’s last 8 starts overall.
Under is 5-2-1 in Stroman’s last 8 Monday starts.
Under is 7-3 in Stroman’s last 10 starts with 4 days of rest.

Twins are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Toronto.
Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Toronto.
Twins are 26-56 in the last 82 meetings.

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