Redskins vs Chiefs Free Pick and Trends – Week 4 [2017]

Washington (2-1) at Kansas City (3-0)
When: Monday, October 2nd 2017
Where: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
Time: 8:30 ET | TV: ESPN
Opening Odds: Kansas City -7/49.5

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The Washington Redskins are playing their second consecutive prime time contest against an AFC West opponent, and they hope this one goes as well as the first. Washington dominated the Oakland Raiders on Sunday night, but will have a tall order in knocking-off the Kansas City Chiefs on Monday Night Football. The Redskins forced three Oakland turnovers and limited Derek Carr and the offense to just 128 total yards of offense in a 27-10 rout. The Raiders managed only 32 rushing yards and did not convert on third down last week (0-for-11) against an improved Washington defense. It will have their hands full in corralling Kansas City rookie Kareem Hunt, who stepped in for the injured Spencer Ware in the preseason and leads the NFL with 401 rushing yards. Hunt ran for 172 yards in a 24-10 win over the Los Angeles Chargers last week and is the first rookie since 1981 to record six touchdowns through his first three career games. Kansas City averages a league-leading 162.0 rushing yards, and its 397.3 yards of total offense is third-best in league. The Chiefs are hosting their first Monday Night Football game since dominating New England 41-14 in 2014.

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Kirk Cousins threw for 365 yards and three touchdowns last week while earning NFC Offensive Player of the Week honors. Fresh off his best start of the season, Cousins could also see the returns of tight end Jordan Reed (ribs, shoulder) and running back Rob Kelley (ribs) to the offense for Monday. Their backups did quite well last week against Oakland, with veteran tight end Vernon Davis reeling in a touchdown pass and fourth-year back Chris Thompson recording 188 all-purpose yards and a score. Washington’s ground game could have success against a Kansas City defense that is 21st in yards per carry (4.3) and 19th in rushing yards per game (111.7). Washington is led on defense by LB Zach Brown, who has 33 tackles thus far, trailing only Jatavis Brown (36) of the Chargers for the league lead.

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Kansas City has recorded at least one touchdown of more than 50 yards in an NFL-record nine straight regular-season games, with 11 scores in total. Second-year wide receiver Tyreek Hill (team-leading 16 receptions, 253 yards) was responsible for six of those touchdowns while Hunt has three. Tight end Travis Kelce, who has one of those scores, is looking to rebound after a one-reception, one-yard performance on the heels of making eight catches for 103 yards and a touchdown the previous week against Philadelphia. Linebacker Justin Houston is third in the AFC with four sacks for a defense that is giving up a lot of yards, but holding opponents out of the end zone. The Chiefs are seventh in the NFL in scoring defense (19.0), but 27th in yards allowed (369.0). The Chiefs will play four of their next five games in prime time.

Washington looked good last week at home, but I don’t think they can compete with Kansas City at Arrowhead. The Chiefs’ offense has been extremely productive and that will continue here on Monday night with a blowout of the Redskins.

Pick: Chiefs -7

  • Redskins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Redskins are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Redskins are 7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Redskins are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 4.
  • Redskins are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games.
  • Redskins are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
  • Redskins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Redskins are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
  • Redskins are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games on grass.
  • Redskins are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
  • Redskins are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
  • Redskins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
  • Redskins are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Redskins are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Monday games.
  • Chiefs are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Chiefs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
  • Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
  • Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
  • Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
  • Chiefs are 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Chiefs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Chiefs are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games.
  • Chiefs are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Chiefs are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
  • Over is 6-0 in Redskins last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Over is 6-0 in Redskins last 6 road games.
  • Under is 4-0 in Redskins last 4 games following a straight up win.
  • Under is 4-0 in Redskins last 4 games following a ATS win.
  • Over is 4-0 in Redskins last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Over is 7-1 in Redskins last 8 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
  • Over is 14-2 in Redskins last 16 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-1 in Redskins last 6 Monday games.
  • Over is 4-1 in Redskins last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
  • Over is 3-1-1 in Redskins last 5 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Over is 18-6 in Redskins last 24 games on grass.
  • Over is 20-8 in Redskins last 28 games overall.
  • Over is 5-2 in Redskins last 7 games in October.
  • Under is 10-4-1 in Redskins last 15 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
  • Over is 7-3 in Redskins last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 6-1 in Chiefs last 7 games in October.
  • Over is 9-2-1 in Chiefs last 12 games in Week 4.
  • Under is 4-1 in Chiefs last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
  • Under is 3-1-1 in Chiefs last 5 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Over is 6-2-1 in Chiefs last 9 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Under is 8-3 in Chiefs last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Under is 5-2 in Chiefs last 7 Monday games.
  • Under is 14-6 in Chiefs last 20 games on grass.
  • Under is 39-17 in Chiefs last 56 home games.
  • Under is 9-4 in Chiefs last 13 games following a straight up win.
  • Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
  • Redskins are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

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