Red Sox vs Yankees Preview, Odds, Trends, & Free Pick – [6/6/17]

Boston (31-25) at NY Yankees (32-22)
When: Tuesday, June 6th 2017
Where: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Time: 7:05 ET | TV: MLB Network

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The Boston Red Sox look to inch closer to the top of the division when they take on the first-place New York Yankees in the opener of a three-game series on Tuesday night in the Bronx. The Red Sox, who are currently 4-3 on their 10-game road trek, are coming off a weekend series win at Baltimore and have leap-frogged the O’s into second place just two games behind the Bronx Bombers. The Red Sox are winners of 10 of their last 14 and head into the series against the Yankees looking for some revenge after dropping both games of a rain-shortened set at home against New York back in late April while totaling one run. Red Sox left fielder Andrew Benintendi is starting to heat up again, going 3-for-4 with a pair of home runs on Sunday after going 2-for-27 in his previous eight games. The Yankees are coming off a split of a four-game set at Toronto over the weekend and are riding the bat of rookie slugger Aaron Judge along with a pitching staff that has allowed three or fewer runs in five of the last seven games. The biggest question mark in the rotation takes center-stage tonight. Masahiro Tanaka will get a chance to turn things around when he opposes Boston lefty Drew Pomeranz. Veteran DH Matt Holliday is riding a six-game hitting streak with three home runs and seven RBIs in that span and is second behind Judge in both home runs (12) and RBI’s (37). Center fielder Jacoby Ellsbury (concussion) stopped all activities over the weekend after a recurrence of headaches.

Pitchers: Red Sox – Drew Pomeranz (5-3, 4.24 ERA) | Yankees – Masahiro Tanaka (5-5, 6.34)

Pomeranz is coming off a season-high seven innings on Wednesday when he struck out eight without issuing a walk against the Chicago White Sox. He allowed just one run on seven hits to pick up the victory. Pomeranz struck out a season-high 11 while walking one in his previous start against a hot-hitting Texas team. He faced New York three times last season and allowed a total of two runs in 12.1 innings of work the first two times before getting knocked around for four runs in 3.2 innings on September 18th.

Tanaka could use a solid start to get his confidence back as he’s lost his last four starts and allowed at least six earned runs in three of those outings. Tanaka struck out 13 and allowed one run over 7.1 innings in a win over Oakland on May 26th but was hit for seven runs and nine hits in 5.2 innings at Baltimore on Wednesday. Tanaka’s best start of the season was at Boston on April 27th, when he scattered three hits and did not walk a batter while cruising to a complete-game shutout.

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The Red Sox were the favorites to win the AL East coming into this season and after a slow start, they’re playing like it. The pitching still isn’t there for Boston, but the bats are starting to click and they should be able to chase a struggling Tanaka on Tuesday.

Pick: Red Sox +113

W/L TRENDS

Boston
  • Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 Tuesday games.
  • Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Red Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Red Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Red Sox are 7-2 in their last 9 games following a win.
  • Red Sox are 6-2 in their last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Red Sox are 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Red Sox are 10-4 in their last 14 overall.
  • Red Sox are 10-4 in their last 14 games on grass.
  • Red Sox are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Red Sox are 3-7 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series.
  • Red Sox are 5-1 in Pomeranz’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Red Sox are 5-2 in Pomeranz’s last 7 starts vs. American League East.
  • Red Sox are 5-2 in Pomeranz’s last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Red Sox are 2-5 in Pomeranz’s last 7 road starts.
  • Red Sox are 1-4 in Pomeranz’s last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
NY Yankees
  • Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 games following a loss.
  • Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Yankees are 11-3 in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Yankees are 10-3 in their last 13 Tuesday games.
  • Yankees are 19-7 in their last 26 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Yankees are 46-18 in their last 64 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
  • Yankees are 17-7 in their last 24 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Yankees are 17-7 in their last 24 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Yankees are 28-13 in their last 41 home games.
  • Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Yankees are 8-1 in Tanaka’s last 9 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Yankees are 7-1 in Tanaka’s last 8 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Yankees are 5-1 in Tanaka’s last 6 Tuesday starts.
  • Yankees are 16-5 in Tanaka’s last 21 home starts.
  • Yankees are 23-8 in Tanaka’s last 31 starts on grass.
  • Yankees are 8-3 in Tanaka’s last 11 starts during game 1 of a series.
  • Yankees are 13-5 in Tanaka’s last 18 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Yankees are 10-4 in Tanaka’s last 14 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
  • Yankees are 11-5 in Tanaka’s last 16 starts with 5 days of rest.
  • Yankees are 0-4 in Tanaka’s last 4 starts.

OU TRENDS

Boston
  • Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 Tuesday games.
  • Under is 7-1 in Red Sox last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Under is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 games following an off day.
  • Over is 6-2 in Red Sox last 8 vs. American League East.
  • Over is 6-2 in Red Sox last 8 during game 1 of a series.
  • Under is 8-3 in Red Sox last 11 overall.
  • Under is 8-3 in Red Sox last 11 on grass.
  • Over is 5-2 in Red Sox last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-2 in Red Sox last 7 games following a win.
  • Over is 7-3 in Red Sox last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 9-4 in Red Sox last 13 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Over is 9-4 in Red Sox last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 4-0 in Pomeranz’s last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 8-1-2 in Pomeranz’s last 11 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 6-1 in Pomeranz’s last 7 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-1 in Pomeranz’s last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
  • Under is 9-2 in Pomeranz’s last 11 road starts.
  • Under is 8-2-1 in Pomeranz’s last 11 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 6-2-2 in Pomeranz’s last 10 starts vs. American League East.
  • Under is 5-2-1 in Pomeranz’s last 8 starts during game 1 of a series.
  • Under is 14-6-2 in Pomeranz’s last 22 starts overall.
NY Yankees
  • Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 games following an off day.
  • Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 home games.
  • Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
  • Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Over is 7-2 in Yankees last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 12-4 in Yankees last 16 vs. American League East.
  • Under is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 Tuesday games.
  • Under is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 during game 1 of a series.
  • Under is 7-3 in Yankees last 10 on grass.
  • Over is 11-5 in Yankees last 16 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Over is 5-0 in Tanaka’s last 5 Tuesday starts.
  • Over is 7-0 in Tanaka’s last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
  • Over is 7-1 in Tanaka’s last 8 starts vs. American League East.
  • Over is 6-1 in Tanaka’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 5-1 in Tanaka’s last 6 starts overall.
  • Over is 5-1 in Tanaka’s last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-1 in Tanaka’s last 5 starts on grass.
  • Over is 10-4 in Tanaka’s last 14 starts with 5 days of rest.
  • Under is 9-4 in Tanaka’s last 13 starts during game 1 of a series.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
  • Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in New York.
  • Red Sox are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in New York.
  • Red Sox are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings.

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