Red Sox vs Twins Preview & Free Pick | Prediction [6/18/19]

Boston (39-34) at Minnesota (47-23)
When: Tuesday, June 18th, 2019
Where: Target Field,
Minneapolis, MN
Time: 8:10 ET | TV: NESN,
FS North
Opening Odds: Boston -105/10


Rick Porcello and two relievers cooled-off the Minnesota Twins offense on Monday in the opener of a three-game series, as the Boston Red Sox won for a season-high sixth time in a row. J.D. Martinez and Xander Bogaerts each recorded two hits and an RBI in the 2-0 series-opening win after the Red Sox had scored seven runs or more in four consecutive games. The win improved Boston’s road record to 22-17 and kept them 5.5 games behind the first place New York Yankees in the AL East and a tie with Texas for the second wild card spot. The AL-best Twins have lost back-to-back games for the first time since June 4-5, but are still on pace to match or break the best 81-game start in franchise history (54-27 in 1970), needing seven wins in their next 10 games to do so. Jorge Polanco went 1-for-3 Monday and leads the American League with a .332 average, while reaching base safely in each of his last 31 games. Minnesota’s lead is still a comfortable 10 games over Cleveland in the AL Central and they are 23-12 at Target Field this season. Veterans David Price (Boston) and Michael Pineda (Minnesota) will take the mound in the middle game of the series Tuesday.

Pitchers: Red Sox – David Price (4-2, 3.52 ERA) | Twins – Michael Pineda (4-3, 5.04)

Price followed up three solid starts by getting tagged for six runs and five hits in just 1.1 innings against Texas last Thursday, but came away with a no-decision as the Red Sox rallied for a 7-6 win. He allowed three runs total in his previous three outings, going 2-0 while giving up 14 hits in 18.1 innings. Price is 10-4 with a 2.62 ERA in 18 career appearances (17 starts) versus the Twins.


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Pineda has also pitched well of late, giving up three runs or less in each of his last six outings and just one run in his latest against Seattle. The former Mariner received a no-decision after allowing five hits over 5.2 innings last Thursday. Pineda is 5-5 with a 4.23 ERA in 12 career starts against Boston, but this will be his first as a member of the Twins.

The Twins ran into a tough Porcello last night, but they’ll have success against Price on Tuesday. Minnesota hits lefties very well and even though Price has good overall numbers against them, that was mostly when the Twins were bad. His last three outings against them have not gone as smoothly. He’s allowed 11 runs and 24 hits over 18.2 innings and the Red Sox have lost two of those. I’ll take the Twins to bounce back here.

Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Tuesday. He is 80-51 +2123 units on the season after a 30-13 run!

Pick: Twins +105

Jay Cooper’s Free MLB and WNBA Picks on 6-0 Run!


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BETTING TRENDS:

Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League Central.
Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a win.
Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 games on grass.
Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Red Sox are 20-7 in their last 27 road games.
Red Sox are 68-30 in their last 98 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Red Sox are 56-26 in their last 82 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Red Sox are 2-7 in their last 9 during game 2 of a series.
Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 Tuesday games.
Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Red Sox are 11-1 in Price’s last 12 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Red Sox are 4-1 in Price’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Red Sox are 4-1 in Price’s last 5 Tuesday starts.
Red Sox are 21-7 in Price’s last 28 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Red Sox are 8-3 in Price’s last 11 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Red Sox are 25-11 in Price’s last 36 starts on grass.
Red Sox are 9-4 in Price’s last 13 starts with 4 days of rest.
Red Sox are 35-17 in Price’s last 52 starts.
Red Sox are 1-4 in Price’s last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.

Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Twins are 7-1 in their last 8 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Twins are 6-1 in their last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 Tuesday games.
Twins are 12-3 in their last 15 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Twins are 21-6 in their last 27 games following a loss.
Twins are 13-4 in their last 17 vs. American League East.
Twins are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Twins are 8-3 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Twins are 7-3 in their last 10 during game 2 of a series.
Twins are 38-17 in their last 55 overall.
Twins are 53-24 in their last 77 home games.
Twins are 25-12 in their last 37 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Twins are 47-23 in their last 70 games on grass.
Twins are 4-1 in Pineda’s last 5 starts.
Twins are 4-1 in Pineda’s last 5 starts on grass.
Twins are 1-4 in Pineda’s last 5 home starts.
Twins are 1-4 in Pineda’s last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Twins are 0-4 in Pineda’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Over is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 Tuesday games.
Under is 6-1 in Red Sox last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Over is 9-2-1 in Red Sox last 12 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 7-2-1 in Red Sox last 10 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 7-2 in Red Sox last 9 vs. American League Central.
Under is 16-5 in Red Sox last 21 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 3-1-1 in Red Sox last 5 overall.
Over is 3-1-1 in Red Sox last 5 road games.
Over is 3-1-1 in Red Sox last 5 on grass.
Over is 3-1-1 in Red Sox last 5 games following a win.
Under is 5-2-1 in Red Sox last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 3-0-1 in Price’s last 4 Tuesday starts.
Over is 4-0 in Price’s last 4 starts following an outing of less than 4 innings in his last appearance.
Under is 4-1-1 in Price’s last 6 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Price’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 7-2 in Price’s last 9 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 3-1-1 in Price’s last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
Under is 3-1-1 in Price’s last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
Under is 3-1-1 in Price’s last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Price’s last 7 starts overall.
Under is 7-3 in Price’s last 10 starts vs. American League Central.

Over is 3-0-1 in Twins last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 3-0-2 in Twins last 5 during game 2 of a series.
Over is 8-2-2 in Twins last 12 overall.
Over is 8-2-2 in Twins last 12 on grass.
Under is 4-1 in Twins last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-1-1 in Twins last 6 games following a loss.
Under is 3-1-1 in Twins last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 3-1-2 in Twins last 6 vs. American League East.
Over is 3-1-2 in Twins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 19-7-2 in Twins last 28 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 20-9-1 in Twins last 30 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Pineda’s last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
Over is 3-1-1 in Pineda’s last 5 starts on grass.
Over is 3-1-1 in Pineda’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 3-1-1 in Pineda’s last 5 starts overall.

Red Sox are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Over is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings in Minnesota.

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