Red Sox vs Blue Jays Betting Odds, Trends, & Free Pick [4/19/17]

Boston (9-5) at Toronto (2-11)
When: Wednesday, April 19th 2017
Where: Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario
Time: 7:05 ET | TV: NESN, Sportsnet One

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The Boston Red Sox look to keep rolling while at the same time, extend the Toronto Blue Jays misery when they meet on Wednesday night for the middle game of their three-game set. The Red Sox pounded out 15 hits en route to an 8-7 victory in the opener and extending their winning streak to four games overall. Mookie Betts is on fire for Boston after struggling in the first few weeks of the season, as he had a solo homer among three hits on Tuesday and is 12-for-22 with four extra-base hits over his last five games. Toronto is off to its worst 13-game start in club history (2-11) but at least it showed some life with the bats in Tuesday’s loss. Struggling right fielder Jose Bautista went 0-for-3 to drop his average to .128, but may get things going Wednesday against Rick Porcello, whom Bautista has hit hard (16-for-38 with four homers). Porcello is coming off a shaky performance versus the Tampa Bay Rays in which he allowed four home runs. Blue Jays CF Kevin Pillar is 10-for-25 with five doubles and a homer during his current six-game hitting streak. Red Sox 1B Mitch Moreland clubbed his major league-leading 10th double Tuesday.

Pitchers: Red Sox – Rick Porcello (1-1, 7.56 ERA) | Blue Jays – Francisco Liriano (0-1, 9.00)

Porcello lasted only 4.1 innings against the Rays last time out, snapping a streak of 20 straight regular season starts with at least six innings pitched. He allowed three earned runs in each of his first two starts prior to that, so the Cy Young winner is not off to a good start. Porcello is 3-5 with a 6.23 ERA in nine career games (eight starts) at the Rogers Centre.

Francisco Liriano rebounded from a terrible season debut in which he retired only one batter and gave up five runs. Liriano pitched 6.2 innings against Baltimore on Thursday, giving up only two runs on five hits while striking out 10 Orioles, lowering his ERA at home to 3.00 since joining the Blue Jays midway through 2016. Liriano has a 5.97 ERA in his career against the Red Sox.

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Look for the Blue Jays misery to continue tonight against Boston. I expect Porcello to get things turned around and for the Red Sox to pound Liriano.

Pick: Red Sox -105

W/L TRENDS

Boston
  • Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games on astroturf.
  • Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
  • Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
  • Red Sox are 9-3 in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
  • Red Sox are 17-6 in their last 23 games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Red Sox are 16-7 in their last 23 vs. American League East.
  • Red Sox are 16-7 in their last 23 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Red Sox are 2-5 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series.
  • Red Sox are 1-8 in their last 9 road games.
  • Red Sox are 5-1 in Porcello’s last 6 road starts.
  • Red Sox are 13-3 in Porcello’s last 16 starts during game 2 of a series.
  • Red Sox are 12-3 in Porcello’s last 15 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
  • Red Sox are 4-1 in Porcello’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Red Sox are 20-6 in Porcello’s last 26 starts.
  • Red Sox are 18-6 in Porcello’s last 24 starts with 4 days of rest.
  • Red Sox are 22-8 in Porcello’s last 30 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Red Sox are 8-3 in Porcello’s last 11 starts vs. American League East.
  • Red Sox are 4-9 in Porcello’s last 13 Wednesday starts.
Toronto
  • Blue Jays are 15-6 in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
  • Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Blue Jays are 3-14 in their last 17 overall.
  • Blue Jays are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. American League East.
  • Blue Jays are 2-12 in their last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Blue Jays are 1-6 in their last 7 home games.
  • Blue Jays are 1-8 in their last 9 games on astroturf.
  • Blue Jays are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
  • Blue Jays are 0-7 in their last 7 Wednesday games.
  • Blue Jays are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Blue Jays are 1-4 in Liriano’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Blue Jays are 1-4 in Liriano’s last 5 starts.

OU TRENDS

Boston
  • Over is 3-0-1 in Red Sox last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
  • Under is 6-1 in Red Sox last 7 during game 2 of a series.
  • Under is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 Wednesday games.
  • Under is 3-1-1 in Red Sox last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Under is 17-6 in Red Sox last 23 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Under is 8-3-1 in Red Sox last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Under is 13-5-2 in Red Sox last 20 vs. American League East.
  • Under is 20-8-2 in Red Sox last 30 overall.
  • Under is 11-5 in Red Sox last 16 road games.
  • Over is 27-13-2 in Red Sox last 42 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
  • Over is 5-1 in Porcello’s last 6 starts on astroturf.
  • Over is 5-1 in Porcello’s last 6 road starts.
  • Over is 4-1 in Porcello’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Over is 9-3-1 in Porcello’s last 13 starts during game 2 of a series.
  • Under is 5-2 in Porcello’s last 7 Wednesday starts.
  • Over is 5-2 in Porcello’s last 7 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Toronto
  • Under is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 Wednesday games.
  • Under is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Under is 16-5 in Blue Jays last 21 home games.
  • Under is 19-7 in Blue Jays last 26 vs. American League East.
  • Under is 16-6 in Blue Jays last 22 on astroturf.
  • Under is 8-3 in Blue Jays last 11 during game 2 of a series.
  • Under is 36-16-1 in Blue Jays last 53 overall.
  • Over is 9-4-1 in Blue Jays last 14 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
  • Under is 41-20-1 in Blue Jays last 62 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Under is 4-0 in Liriano’s last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 5-0 in Liriano’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 4-0 in Liriano’s last 4 home starts.
  • Under is 5-1 in Liriano’s last 6 starts overall.
  • Under is 4-1 in Liriano’s last 5 starts on astroturf.
  • Under is 4-1 in Liriano’s last 5 starts vs. American League East.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Red Sox are 4-1 in Porcello’s last 5 starts vs. Blue Jays.
  • Over is 4-1 in Porcello’s last 5 road starts vs. Blue Jays.

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