Rays vs Twins Preview & Free Pick | Prediction [6/25/19]

Tampa Bay (45-33) at Minnesota (50-27)
When: Tuesday, June 25th, 2019
Where: Target Field,
Minneapolis, MN
Time: 8:10 ET | TV: FS Sun,
FS North
Opening Odds: Tampa Bay -119/9


A couple of playoff contenders who are scuffling a bit of late will begin a three-game series at Target Field on Tuesday as the Minnesota Twins host the Tampa Bay Rays. The Twins are still in very good shape despite their recent 3-5 stretch, because they own an eight-game lead in the AL Central prior to Tuesday’s action. The top offense in the majors at 5.7 runs per game, Minnesota was held to just one run twice over the weekend in splitting a four-game series at last place Kansas City. The Twins did manage to score 13 runs in the two victories and lead all of baseball with 147 home runs, but will go up against a Tampa Bay team that owns the best American League ERA at 3.20. That ERA has ticked up lately with the Rays losing nine of their last 13 games and some of the blame is on their ace. Blake Snell takes the mound tonight and has not looked like the same pitcher who took home the 2018 AL Cy Young Award, as he tries to bounce back from his worst outing of the season. The Rays will also look for some more offense after being held to three runs or less in four of their last seven games. Tampa Bay outfielder drove in three runs in the team’s 8-2 victory at Oakland on Sunday for his first RBI in 16 games, during which he is 8-for-52.

Pitchers: Rays – Blake Snell (4-6, 4.40 ERA) | Twins – Kyle Gibson (7-4, 4.18)

Rays fans hope Snell has a short memory after getting tagged for six runs, two hits and four walks while recording only one out in a 12-1 loss at the New York Yankees last Wednesday. The lefty has allowed five or more runs four times in 2019 after doing that just twice last season. Snell, who boasts 101 strikeouts in 75.2 innings this season, is 1-1 with a 5.12 ERA in four starts versus the Twins.

The Twins took 3 of 4 in St. Petersburg earlier this month.


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Kyle Gibson is also coming off his worst outing of 2019 after allowing six runs, seven hits and five walks in 4.1 innings versus Boston on Wednesday. He was brilliant in shutting out the Royals over eight innings (two hits) the start before but was tagged prior to that at Detroit. Gibson, who owns a 4-1 mark and 3.62 ERA at home, is 3-5 with a 5.22 ERA in nine starts against the Rays after holding them to one unearned run over six innings back on June 1st.

Snell is not the same guy we’ve seen the last couple of seasons, and until he figures it out, I have to lay off him. The Twins return home, where they are 24-13 on the season and should be able to outslug the bumbling Rays in this one.

Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Tuesday. He is 82-56 +1703 units on the season after a 32-18 run!

Pick: Twins +102


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BETTING TRENDS:

Rays are 6-2 in their last 8 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Rays are 47-19 in their last 66 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Rays are 21-10 in their last 31 vs. American League Central.
Rays are 27-58 in their last 85 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Rays are 2-5 in their last 7 road games.
Rays are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Rays are 2-5 in their last 7 overall.
Rays are 2-5 in their last 7 games on grass.
Rays are 1-4 in their last 5 games following an off day.
Rays are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Rays are 1-4 in their last 5 Tuesday games.
Rays are 0-4 in their last 4 games following a win.
Rays are 0-4 in their last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Rays are 5-1 in Snell’s last 6 Tuesday starts.
Rays are 10-3 in Snell’s last 13 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Rays are 16-5 in Snell’s last 21 starts with 5 days of rest.
Rays are 12-4 in Snell’s last 16 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Rays are 11-4 in Snell’s last 15 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Rays are 8-3 in Snell’s last 11 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Rays are 5-2 in Snell’s last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Rays are 17-8 in Snell’s last 25 starts.
Rays are 2-5 in Snell’s last 7 road starts.
Rays are 1-5 in Snell’s last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Rays are 0-4 in Snell’s last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
Rays are 0-5 in Snell’s last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Twins are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Twins are 6-1 in their last 7 Tuesday games.
Twins are 14-3 in their last 17 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Twins are 22-6 in their last 28 games following a loss.
Twins are 7-2 in their last 9 games following an off day.
Twins are 14-5 in their last 19 vs. American League East.
Twins are 20-8 in their last 28 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Twins are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Twins are 20-8 in their last 28 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Twins are 12-5 in their last 17 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Twins are 9-4 in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Twins are 54-25 in their last 79 home games.
Twins are 56-27 in their last 83 overall.
Twins are 6-0 in Gibson’s last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
Twins are 5-1 in Gibson’s last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Twins are 4-1 in Gibson’s last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Twins are 4-1 in Gibson’s last 5 home starts.
Twins are 4-1 in Gibson’s last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Twins are 6-2 in Gibson’s last 8 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Twins are 12-5 in Gibson’s last 17 starts.
Twins are 7-3 in Gibson’s last 10 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Twins are 3-7 in Gibson’s last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Twins are 2-5 in Gibson’s last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.
Twins are 2-5 in Gibson’s last 7 Tuesday starts.
Twins are 1-5 in Gibson’s last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Under is 4-0-1 in Rays last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-0-1 in Rays last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-0-1 in Rays last 6 games following a win.
Under is 5-1-1 in Rays last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 16-4-1 in Rays last 21 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Under is 4-1 in Rays last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Under is 3-1-1 in Rays last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 12-4 in Rays last 16 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 19-7 in Rays last 26 road games.
Under is 19-7 in Rays last 26 on grass.
Under is 21-8 in Rays last 29 Tuesday games.
Under is 5-2 in Rays last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 13-6-1 in Rays last 20 overall.
Under is 8-1-1 in Snell’s last 10 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 6-1 in Snell’s last 7 Tuesday starts.
Over is 5-1 in Snell’s last 6 starts following an outing of less than 4 innings in his last appearance.
Over is 4-1 in Snell’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 12-3-1 in Snell’s last 16 starts on grass.
Under is 11-3-1 in Snell’s last 15 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 3-1-1 in Snell’s last 5 starts overall.
Under is 19-7-1 in Snell’s last 27 road starts.
Under is 8-3-2 in Snell’s last 13 starts with 5 days of rest.
Under is 5-2-1 in Snell’s last 8 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 5-2-1 in Snell’s last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Under is 7-3-1 in Snell’s last 11 starts vs. American League Central.
Under is 11-5 in Snell’s last 16 starts during game 1 of a series.

Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Twins last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-1-1 in Twins last 6 during game 1 of a series.
Under is 5-2 in Twins last 7 overall.
Under is 5-2 in Twins last 7 on grass.
Under is 5-2 in Twins last 7 Tuesday games.
Over is 20-9-2 in Twins last 31 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 11-5-1 in Twins last 17 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 21-10-1 in Twins last 32 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 3-0-1 in Gibson’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 3-0-1 in Gibson’s last 4 starts vs. American League East.
Under is 4-1 in Gibson’s last 5 home starts.
Under is 4-1 in Gibson’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 12-5 in Gibson’s last 17 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 16-7-1 in Gibson’s last 24 starts during game 1 of a series.

Over is 6-1-1 in Gibson’s last 8 starts vs. Rays.
Over is 22-5-2 in the last 29 meetings.
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Minnesota.
Rays are 21-10 in the last 31 meetings in Minnesota.
Rays are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.

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