Oregon vs Auburn Odds, Trends, and Free Pick – 2011 BCS National Championship Game ]]> include($base_url . “/includes/header.htm”); ?>
The betting line for this year’s BCS National Championship Game between the Oregon Ducks and Auburn Tigers has seen virtually no movement since it opened over a month ago as the Tigers 3-point favorites at Online sportsbook. The total also hasn’t moved from 74. Right now, the betting public is split right down the middle on both the spread and total. To help you better decide who to bet, take a look at these trends for tonight.
Ducks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Ducks are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Tigers are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Tigers are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
Under is 4-1 in Ducks last 5 bowl games.
Over is 6-2 in Ducks last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games in January.
Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 bowl games as a favorite.
My Prediction: Statistically, the Oregon Ducks have a better offense and defense than Auburn, but the Tigers played a much tougher schedule in the SEC than Oregon did in the Pac 10. We know both of these teams can score in bunches. It’s the defense that will be the key in this game. Can Oregon slow down Cam Newton and Michael Dyer, and can Auburn slow down Darron Thomas and LaMicael James? Oregon seems to start slow when away from home. They are 3-3 ATS on the road while Auburn is 4-1 ATS on the road. I’m going to give the edge to the SEC in this one. Cam Newton will be the difference.