North Carolina vs Missouri Spread, Trends, and Free Pick – 2011 Independence Bowl ]]> include($base_url . “/includes/header.htm”); ?>
The point spread for this year’s Independence Bowl between the North Carolina Tar Heels and Missouri Tigers opened up at -3 in favor of Missouri at BetOnline Sportsbook. As of Saturday morning (12/17), the line has moved up to 5. The total opened up at 53 and has not moved. Right now, 70% of the betting public is on the Tigers and 51% are on the over. To help you better decide who to bet, take a look at these trends for tonight.
Tar Heels are 7-25 ATS in their last 32 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Tar Heels are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Tigers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games.
Tigers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games as a favorite.
Over is 4-1 in Tar Heels last 5 neutral site games.
Over is 6-2 in Tar Heels last 8 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Over is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games on grass.
Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games as a favorite.
My Prediction: Statistically, these two teams are pretty even across the board. The next step is too look at their level of competition and how they finished down the stretch. Missouri is in a much better position in that respect. The Big 12 is better than the ACC. North Carolina lost 4 of their last 6 while Mizzou won 4 of their last 5. I’ll go with the public on this one.