NCAA Championship – Texas Tech vs. Virginia, Betting the Total

The 2019 NCAA Tournament has ended, and probably next to nobody has Texas Tech Vs. Virginia on their bracket! Millions probably have Virginia but certainly not Texas Tech. The Texas Tech Red Raiders are this good and they have rightfully earned this spot on the map. This team is going to be tough to beat, they play a special kind of tenacious defense and they never quit. Virginia is also tough, this team has been on the brink more than once, and they should have lost to Auburn, but this is why it’s called “March Madness”. This year’s version of March Madness has taken the online sports betting sites by storm. There is still time to make that deposit and get in. Tonight, is a great night to win some money.

Americas Bookie – Your Friendly All-Inclusive Sportsbook

Now that we know who is playing, it’s our focus to break down the best way to win a bet on this game. The spread is much too close for comfort and we like the total. It’s not so much about the spread being too close, it’s about these two teams being too similar. They are the ones that are close. Vegas is right to set this spread at 1.5. Who can call it? This is one year when the championship games seems like the toss of a coin. If you are not into “heads or tails” then stick around and find where the real value lies and on what betting lines.

Virginia

Opponent:

  • Towson—73-42, George Washington—76-57, Coppin State—97-40, Middle Tennessee—74-52, Dayton—66-59, Wisconsin—53-46, Maryland—76-71, Morgan State—83-45, VCU—57-49, South Carolina—69-52, William & Mary—72-40, Marshall—100-64, Florida State—66-52, Boston College—83-56, Clemson—63-43, Virginia Tech—81-59, Duke (Loss) 70-72, Wake Forest—68-45, Notre Dame—82-55, NC State—66-65, Miami—56-46, Duke (Loss) 71-81, North Carolina—69-61, Notre Dame—60-54, Virginia Tech—64-58, Louisville—64-52, Georgia Tech—81-51, Pittsburgh—73-49, Syracuse—79-53, Louisville—73-68, NC State—76-56, Florida State (Loss) 59-69.
  • In 32 regular-season, and post-season (conference tournament) games, the Cavaliers scored 71.9 points per game. They held their opponent to 55.1 points per game.
  • In 5 post-season NCAA Tournament games, the Cavaliers scored 66 points per game, they held their opponents to 58.6 points per game.
  • If Virginia scores 66 points against Texas Tech and holds the Raider to 58, this game will go to 124 points

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliers Preview and Predictions

Texas Tech

Opponent:

  • Incarnate Word—87-37, Mississippi Valley State—84-52, SE Louisiana—59-40, USC—78-63, Nebraska—70-52, Northern Colorado—93-62, Memphis—78-67, Arkansas-Pine Bluff—65-47, Northwestern State—79-44, Abilene Christian—82-48, Duke (Loss) 58-69, UT Rio Grande Valley—71-46, West Virginia—62-59, Kansas State—63-57, Oklahoma—66-59, Texas—68-62, Iowa State (Loss) 68-64, Baylor (Loss) 62-73, Kansas State (Loss) 45-58, Arkansas—67-64, TCU—84-65, Kansas (Loss) 63-79, West Virginia—81-50, Oklahoma—68-54, Oklahoma State 78-50, Baylor—86-81, Kansas—91-62, Oklahoma State—84-80, TCU—81-66, Texas—70-51, Iowa State—80-73, West Virginia (Loss) 74-79.
  • In 32 regular-season, and post-season (conference tournament) games, the Red Raiders scored 73.1 points per game. They held their opponent to 58.8 points per game.
  • In 5 post-season NCAA Tournament games, the Red Raiders scored 70 points per game, they held their opponents to 55.8 points per game.
  • If Texas Tech scores 70 points against Virginia and holds them to 55.8, this game goes to 125 points.

 

What if none of this formula works?

  • Let’s don’t throw the baby out with the bath water! In a championship game, with a title at stake, these two will get after it on both ends of the court. They want to win this thing and there is one way to do that; outscore the opponent.
  • Let’s meet the numbers in the middle.
  1. Texas Tech held their opponent to 58.8 points per game in the regular season, they scored 73.1 points per game. In the NCAA Tournament, they scored 70 points per game, and held the opponent to 55.8 points per game. That’s a scoring average of 71.6 points per game and a defensive average of 57.3 points per game
  2. Virginia held their opponents to 55.1 points per game and scored 71.9 points per game in the regular season. In the NCAA Tournament, they held the opponent to 58.6 points per game and scored 66 points per game, for an overall average of 56.8 against, and 69 points scored.

The Final Verdict – Over 117.5

Virginia is scoring 69 points per game and holding the opponent to 56.8 points per game. Texas Tech is scoring 70 points per game and holding their opponent to 55.8 points per game. Average the numbers and you get 63.4 for Texas Tech and, 62.4 for Virginia, for a grand total of 125. Although the numbers are close to the total of 117.5, we cannot make a valid argument for the under. This game is going over, but we love the idea of betting the live total throughout the game. Find a great bookie with a fantastic track record for customer service and get your bets in. This one will be fun, close, and a moneymaker.