Nationals vs Diamondbacks Preview, Odds, Trends, & Free Pick [7/23/17]

Washington (58-38) at Arizona (56-41)
When: Sunday, July 23rd 2017
Where: Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
Time: 4:10 ET | TV: MASN2, FSN Arizona
Opening Odds: Washington -118/9

Open an Account at Bovada Sportsbook Now! Sign up at Bovada.lv to get a $250 Signup Bonus to bet MLB Baseball odds and props!

The Washington Nationals will look to punctuate what has already been a successful road trip when they play the rubber-match of a weekend series with the Arizona Diamondbacks on Sunday afternoon at Chase Field. Washington is 6-2 entering the finale of its nine-game trip after splitting a pair of one-run decisions against Arizona. Stephen Strasburg, who is 4-2 with a 3.28 ERA in eight starts against the Diamondbacks, will get the start for Washington opposite Robbie Ray. The Nats’ Bryce Harper, like Strasburg a former No. 1 overall pick, had two hits and two RBIs in Saturday’s 4-3 win to extend his hitting streak to 15 games and raise his batting average to .338. The Nationals found some bullpen help last week in the form of Ryan Madson, and he already has four strikeouts in three scoreless appearances since he was acquired from Oakland. Arizona’s A.J. Pollock is 5-for-9 with five runs scored in the series and has hit safely in five straight. Pollock had two of the D’Backs’ four hits in yesterday’s 4-3 setback as Arizona batters struck out 13 times against Tanner Roark (11) and two relievers (2). Diamondbacks 2B Chris Owings failed to record a hit on Saturday and is hitless in 14 at-bats over the past four games.

Pitchers: Nationals – Stephen Strasburg (10-3, 3.31 ERA) | Diamondbacks – Robbie Ray (9-4, 2.97)

Strasburg rebounded from a terrible start heading into the All-Star Break, when he struck out 11 Reds in seven innings of one-run ball. He failed to record a strikeout in a loss to Atlanta on July 8th, lasting only three innings while allowing six runs (three earned). He reached double-digit wins for the fourth straight season in the win over Cincinnati. David Peralta is 4-for-6 with a homer off Strasburg, who is 7-1 in nine road starts this year.

Ray also came out of the All-Star Break with a solid outing, tossing six innings of two-run ball at Cincinnati to establish a career high with his ninth victory. He settled for a no-decision in his previous outing despite one of his best starts of the season at the Los Angeles Dodgers, striking out 13 and giving up one run on five hits in six innings. Ryan Zimmerman is 3-for-5 with an RBI against Ray, who has lost all three starts and logged a 6.48 ERA against Washington.

[ad id=’36449′]

I want to take Arizona in this one, but the trends say otherwise. Ray has been terrific this season, but he doesn’t have any luck against Washington. Look for Strasburg to reach double-digit strikeouts again today in the Nationals victory.

Pick: Nationals -115

W/L TRENDS

Washington
  • Nationals are 5-1 in their last 6 games following a win.
  • Nationals are 7-2 in their last 9 road games.
  • Nationals are 7-2 in their last 9 overall.
  • Nationals are 7-2 in their last 9 games on grass.
  • Nationals are 10-3 in their last 13 vs. National League West.
  • Nationals are 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Nationals are 7-3 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Nationals are 6-0 in Strasburg’s last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
  • Nationals are 25-3 in Strasburg’s last 28 Sunday starts.
  • Nationals are 5-1 in Strasburg’s last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Nationals are 12-3 in Strasburg’s last 15 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Nationals are 44-12 in Strasburg’s last 56 starts.
  • Nationals are 44-12 in Strasburg’s last 56 starts on grass.
  • Nationals are 20-6 in Strasburg’s last 26 road starts.
  • Nationals are 5-2 in Strasburg’s last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.
  • Nationals are 38-17 in Strasburg’s last 55 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Arizona
  • Diamondbacks are 38-16 in their last 54 home games.
  • Diamondbacks are 29-14 in their last 43 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Diamondbacks are 12-29 in their last 41 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Diamondbacks are 4-10 in their last 14 overall.
  • Diamondbacks are 4-10 in their last 14 games on grass.
  • Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. National League East.
  • Diamondbacks are 6-1 in Ray’s last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
  • Diamondbacks are 8-2 in Ray’s last 10 starts.
  • Diamondbacks are 8-2 in Ray’s last 10 starts on grass.
  • Diamondbacks are 4-1 in Ray’s last 5 Sunday starts.
  • Diamondbacks are 5-2 in Ray’s last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
  • Diamondbacks are 6-13 in Ray’s last 19 starts during game 3 of a series.

OU TRENDS

Washington
  • Over is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 during game 3 of a series.
  • Under is 10-2-1 in Nationals last 13 vs. National League West.
  • Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 overall.
  • Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 road games.
  • Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 on grass.
  • Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Under is 7-2 in Nationals last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 10-3 in Nationals last 13 games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Under is 5-2 in Nationals last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Over is 14-5 in Strasburg’s last 19 starts during game 3 of a series.
  • Over is 14-5-1 in Strasburg’s last 20 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 8-3-2 in Strasburg’s last 13 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
  • Over is 5-2 in Strasburg’s last 7 Sunday starts.
  • Over is 5-2 in Strasburg’s last 7 starts on grass.
  • Over is 5-2 in Strasburg’s last 7 starts overall.
Arizona
  • Under is 4-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 Sunday games.
  • Under is 5-1-2 in Diamondbacks last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Under is 5-1-2 in Diamondbacks last 8 home games.
  • Over is 23-9-2 in Diamondbacks last 34 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
  • Under is 5-2 in Diamondbacks last 7 vs. National League East.
  • Under is 22-9-1 in Diamondbacks last 32 during game 3 of a series.
  • Over is 16-7-2 in Diamondbacks last 25 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
  • Over is 5-0-1 in Ray’s last 6 Sunday starts.
  • Over is 3-0-2 in Ray’s last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
  • Over is 5-0-2 in Ray’s last 7 starts on grass.
  • Over is 5-0-2 in Ray’s last 7 starts overall.
  • Over is 6-1-1 in Ray’s last 8 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 18-7-1 in Ray’s last 26 home starts.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Over is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Arizona.
  • Nationals are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Arizona.
  • Over is 4-1 in Strasburg’s last 5 road starts vs. Diamondbacks.
  • Over is 4-1 in Strasburg’s last 5 starts vs. Diamondbacks.
  • Over is 14-5 in the last 19 meetings.
  • Nationals are 17-7 in the last 24 meetings.

CLICK HERE TO BET MLB BASEBALL ODDS AND PROPS