Mets vs Pirates Betting Odds, Trends, & Free Pick [5/28/17]

NY Mets (20-27) at Pittsburgh (23-27)
When: Sunday, May 28th 2017
Where: PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
Time: 8:05 ET | TV: ESPN

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The New York Mets and Pittsburgh Pirates will play the rubber-match of their weekend series on Sunday Night Baseball from PNC Park in Pittsburgh. The Pirates rallied from two runs down twice to even the series up with a 5-4 victory in 10 innings last night, earning their ninth win in 14 games since dropping six in a row. John Jaso supplied a pinch-hit RBI single in the ninth to force extra innings before delivering his first hit off a left-hander in over a year in the 10th to cap the walk-off victory. It was the third loss in four games for New York, who are dead last in the majors in ERA at 4.99. Pirates CF Andrew McCutchen homered Saturday and is 4-for-9 during his three-game hitting streak following a 1-for-20 skid. Mets OF Yoenis Cespedes was shut down until Tuesday after experiencing quadriceps soreness in the first game of his rehab assignment. Matt Harvey will be seeking back-to-back victories for the first time since the beginning of the season, but he’s a long way from the dominant pitcher he was when he entered the league. The once-overpowering right-hander, who has dealt with on and off-field issues, has walked more batters than he has struck out in his last five starts.

Pitchers: Mets – Matt Harvey (3-3, 5.36 ERA) | Pirates – Tyler Glasnow (2-3, 6.69)

Harvey has failed to go beyond 5.1 innings in five consecutive starts, although he recorded the victory last time out by limiting San Diego to two runs on three hits in five innings. Harvey had to overcome four walks in that outing, continuing an alarming trend that has seen him issue 21 free passes in his last 25 innings. He is 0-1 with a 5.29 ERA in three career starts versus Pittsburgh.

Tyler Glasnow has allowed three runs or fewer in six of his last seven starts, but he failed to pitch beyond five innings in four of them. Glasnow allowed a season-high nine hits but surrendered just two runs over six innings in a no-decision at Atlanta last time out. Glasnow, who has allowed at least one homer in five consecutive starts, is 1-2 with a 6.00 ERA at home.

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I don’t trust either pitcher in this game. Both have major control issues and extremely high ERA’s. I’m leaning towards the Mets, but I think the over is the way to go here.

Pick: OVER 9 -110

W/L TRENDS

NY Mets
  • Mets are 13-6 in their last 19 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Mets are 3-7 in their last 10 games following a loss.
  • Mets are 3-7 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Mets are 4-10 in their last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Mets are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Mets are 4-11 in their last 15 overall.
  • Mets are 4-11 in their last 15 games on grass.
  • Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
  • Mets are 2-8 in their last 10 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Mets are 1-6 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Mets are 1-7 in their last 8 road games.
  • Mets are 1-10 in their last 11 during game 3 of a series.
  • Mets are 0-6 in their last 6 Sunday games.
  • Mets are 4-1 in Harveys last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
  • Mets are 2-10 in Harvey’s last 12 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Mets are 1-6 in Harvey’s last 7 starts.
  • Mets are 1-6 in Harvey’s last 7 starts on grass.
  • Mets are 1-8 in Harvey’s last 9 Sunday starts.
  • Mets are 1-9 in Harvey’s last 10 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Mets are 0-4 in Harvey’s last 4 road starts.
  • Mets are 0-4 in Harvey’s last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
Pittsburgh
  • Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.
  • Pirates are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Pirates are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Pirates are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Pirates are 5-2 in their last 7 Sunday games.
  • Pirates are 5-2 in their last 7 home games.
  • Pirates are 63-30 in their last 93 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Pirates are 75-36 in their last 111 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

OU TRENDS

NY Mets
  • Over is 6-0 in Mets last 6 vs. National League Central.
  • Over is 5-0 in Mets last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Over is 7-1-2 in Mets last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Over is 13-2-2 in Mets last 17 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Over is 4-1 in Mets last 5 Sunday games.
  • Over is 15-4-2 in Mets last 21 road games.
  • Over is 10-3-1 in Mets last 14 during game 3 of a series.
  • Over is 18-7-3 in Mets last 28 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 37-15-6 in Mets last 58 overall.
  • Over is 37-15-6 in Mets last 58 on grass.
  • Over is 37-16-2 in Mets last 55 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Over is 32-14-5 in Mets last 51 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Over is 32-15-5 in Mets last 52 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 34-16-2 in Mets last 52 vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Over is 33-16-4 in Mets last 53 games following a loss.
  • Over is 4-0 in Harvey’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Under is 4-1 in Harvey’s last 5 Sunday starts.
  • Over is 4-1-1 in Harvey’s last 6 starts on grass.
  • Over is 4-1-1 in Harvey’s last 6 starts overall.
  • Over is 10-3 in Harvey’s last 13 starts during game 3 of a series.
  • Over is 16-5-1 in Harvey’s last 22 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 14-5-1 in Harvey’s last 20 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 7-3-1 in Harvey’s last 11 starts with 4 days of rest.
Pittsburgh
  • Over is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 overall.
  • Over is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Over is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 on grass.
  • Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Over is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Over is 6-1-1 in Pirates last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 6-1-2 in Pirates last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Over is 5-1-1 in Pirates last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 8-2-1 in Pirates last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Over is 4-1-1 in Pirates last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Over is 4-1-1 in Pirates last 6 home games.
  • Over is 16-5-1 in Pirates last 22 vs. National League East.
  • Over is 10-4-2 in Pirates last 16 games following a win.
  • Over is 40-19-1 in Pirates last 60 during game 3 of a series.
  • Over is 4-0-1 in Glasnow’s last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
  • Over is 7-0-1 in Glasnow’s last 8 starts on grass.
  • Over is 3-0-1 in Glasnow’s last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
  • Over is 3-0-1 in Glasnow’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Over is 7-0-1 in Glasnow’s last 8 starts overall.
  • Over is 7-0 in Glasnow’s last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
  • Over is 3-0-1 in Glasnow’s last 4 home starts.
  • Over is 4-0 in Glasnow’s last 4 starts vs. National League East.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
  • Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Pittsburgh.
  • Mets are 4-11 in the last 15 meetings.
  • Mets are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings in Pittsburgh.

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