Mets vs Phillies Betting Odds, Trends, & Free Pick [4/12/17]

NY Mets (5-3) at Philadelphia (3-5)
When: Wednesday, April 12th 2017
Where: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Time: 7:05 ET | TV: SNY, TCN

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The New York Mets go for the three-game sweep of the Philadelphia Phillies when the two teams battle at Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday night. Mets outfielder Yoenis Cespedes started his season with only four hits in his first seven games, but busted out of that slump in a big way by homering three times in his first four at-bats in Tuesday’s 14-4 blowout victory, finishing the night 4-for-6 with three runs scored and five RBIs as the Mets won their third straight. New York’s offense had been in a bit of a slump of late with just 15 hits in its previous three games, but pounded Philadelphia pitching for 20 including seven homers (two from Lucas Duda). Mets SS Asdrubal Cabrera also enjoyed a productive night, finishing a triple shy of the cycle as the top three spots in the New York lineup went 9-for-16 with eight runs scored and seven RBIs. The Phillies’ bullpen had to cover 6.2 of those innings last night after starter Clay Buchholz left with a strained right forearm with one out in the third and trailing 6-1. Philadelphia has allowed seven runs or more three times in eight games and 10 or more hits on four occasions. Third baseman Maikel Franco, who led the Phillies with 25 homers a season ago, hit his first of 2017 in the second inning Tuesday. With Tuesday’s victory, the Mets have won 19 of the past 23 series with Philadelphia dating back to 2013.

Pitchers: Mets – Zack Wheeler (0-1, 11.25 ERA) | Phillies – Vince Velasquez (0-1, 9.00)

Zack Wheeler is coming off his first appearance since 2014 last Friday, but gave up five runs on six hits in four innings of a loss to the Miami Marlins. He struck out four and threw 54 of his 80 pitches for strikes with one walk. Wheeler was successful against the Phillies before missing all of 2015 and 2016 with injuries, going 2-1 with a 2.97 ERA in five starts.

Vince Velasquez struck out 10 batters in his season debut Friday against Washington, but took the loss as two home runs knocked him out after just four innings as hit pitch count reached 94. Velasquez averaged 10.4 strikeouts per nine innings in going 8-6 with a 4.12 ERA in 24 starts for the Phillies last season and pitched terrific against the Mets. He went 1-1 with a 1.76 ERA and 20 strikeouts in three starts.

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The Mets bats can be very streaky and last night might be an indication that they’re ready to stay hot. Velasquez doesn’t seem to be the same pitcher he was in the beginning of 2016 despite the high strike out numbers. Wheeler is going to take his licks until he gets a few more healthy starts in him. Look for this game to go over the total again.

Pick: Over 8 +110

W/L TRENDS

NY Mets
  • Mets are 5-1 in their last 6 road games.
  • Mets are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Mets are 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Mets are 8-3 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Mets are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 Wednesday games.
  • Mets are 7-0 in Wheeler’s last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
  • Mets are 5-2 in Wheeler’s last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
  • Mets are 4-10 in Wheeler’s last 14 starts during game 3 of a series.
  • Mets are 2-5 in Wheeler’s last 7 starts.
  • Mets are 2-5 in Wheeler’s last 7 starts on grass.
  • Mets are 2-5 in Wheeler’s last 7 Wednesday starts.
  • Mets are 1-4 in Wheeler’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Mets are 1-6 in Wheeler’s last 7 starts vs. National League East.
Philadelphia
  • Phillies are 18-38 in their last 56 vs. National League East.
  • Phillies are 3-7 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Phillies are 20-47 in their last 67 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Phillies are 4-10 in their last 14 overall.
  • Phillies are 4-10 in their last 14 games on grass.
  • Phillies are 4-11 in their last 15 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Phillies are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Phillies are 2-5 in Velasquez’s last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.
  • Phillies are 1-4 in Velasquez’s last 5 starts vs. National League East.
  • Phillies are 1-5 in Velasquez’s last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
  • Phillies are 1-7 in Velasquez’s last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Phillies are 1-9 in Velasquez’s last 10 starts.
  • Phillies are 1-9 in Velasquez’s last 10 starts on grass.
  • Phillies are 0-5 in Velasquez’s last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Phillies are 0-6 in Velasquez’s last 6 home starts.
  • Phillies are 0-4 in Velasquez’s last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.

OU TRENDS

NY Mets
  • Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 road games.
  • Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 Wednesday games.
  • Under is 7-0-1 in Mets last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Under is 5-1 in Mets last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Over is 3-1-1 in Mets last 5 overall.
  • Over is 3-1-1 in Mets last 5 on grass.
  • Over is 3-1-1 in Mets last 5 vs. National League East.
  • Under is 5-2-1 in Mets last 8 during game 3 of a series.
  • Over is 4-1 in Wheeler’s last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
  • Over is 4-1-1 in Wheeler’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Over is 6-2-1 in Wheeler’s last 9 starts during game 3 of a series.
  • Over is 7-3-1 in Wheeler’s last 11 starts vs. National League East.
Philadelphia
  • Under is 9-2-1 in Phillies last 12 during game 3 of a series.
  • Under is 7-2 in Phillies last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 6-2 in Phillies last 8 vs. National League East.
  • Under is 8-3 in Phillies last 11 overall.
  • Under is 8-3 in Phillies last 11 on grass.
  • Under is 5-2 in Phillies last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Under is 5-2-1 in Phillies last 8 Wednesday games.
  • Under is 5-2 in Phillies last 7 home games.
  • Under is 7-3 in Phillies last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Over is 4-0 in Velasquez’s last 4 home starts.
  • Over is 5-1 in Velasquez’s last 6 starts on grass.
  • Over is 5-1 in Velasquez’s last 6 starts overall.
  • Over is 4-1 in Velasquez’s last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-1 in Velasquez’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 5-2 in Velasquez’s last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
  • Over is 5-2 in Velasquez’s last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Philadelphia.
  • Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
  • Mets are 37-15 in the last 52 meetings.
  • Mets are 36-16 in the last 52 meetings in Philadelphia.

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