Mets vs Braves Preview & Free Pick | Prediction [8/14/19]

NY Mets (61-58) at Atlanta (71-50)
When: Wednesday, August 14th, 2019
Where: SunTrust Park,
Cumberland, GA
Time: 7:20 ET | TV: FS Southeast, SNY
Opening Odds: Atlanta -145/10


The surging New York Mets have suddenly lost two in a row and will try and rebound in the middle contest of a three-game series with the Atlanta Braves on Wednesday night behind lefty Steven Matz. Ronald Acuna Jr. smashed his 34th home run of the season on Tuesday and became the first NL player this season to reach 100 runs scored in Atlanta’s 5-3 victory, finishing with two hits while throwing out a runner at home plate. Acuna led the Atlanta attack that recorded 13 hits in maintaining their six-game lead over Washington in the NL East standings and nine over New York. The Mets lost for just the third time in their past 18 games, and may have lost second baseman Jeff McNeil after he pulled up with a left leg injury trying to beat out a ground ball late in Tuesday’s contest. McNeil is second in the NL in batting at .332 and would be a key loss to the lineup if the injury is serious enough to land him on the injured list, as New York sits two games back of a wild card spot. Center fielder Juan Lagares matched a career high with four hits to go along with a run scored and a RBI to increase his batting average from .184 to .198 on the season. Matz will be opposed by fellow lefty Dallas Keuchel.

Pitchers: Mets – Steven Matz (7-7, 4.49 ERA) | Braves – Dallas Keuchel (3-5, 4.83)

Matz has been solid since the All-Star Break but still has issues away from home, posting a 6.79 ERA in 12 road starts after getting tagged for five runs in 3.2 innings at Pittsburgh on August 2nd. He rebounded by beating Miami in his latest start while holding them to two runs on seven hits with two walks and seven strikeouts in 6.2 innings. Matz is 1-1 with a 6.23 ERA in three starts against Atlanta this season.


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Keuchel was blasted by the Miami Marlins last time out, allowing eight runs on 10 hits in just 3.2 innings Thursday and saw his ERA rise by nearly one full run. He’s allowed three runs or more in four of his last five starts after beginning his tenure with Atlanta very strong. Keuchel will see the Mets for the very fist time.

Keuchel has been very good at home since joining the Braves while Matz has been a mess on the road. The Mets magic might be wearing off with back-to-back losses. I say Atlanta gives them their third straight setback.

Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Wednesday. He is 108-76 +2013 units on the season after a 9-3 run!

Pick: Braves -135

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BETTING TRENDS:

Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
Mets are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Mets are 6-1 in their last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Mets are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Mets are 8-2 in their last 10 vs. National League East.
Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a loss.
Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Mets are 21-7 in their last 28 overall.
Mets are 21-7 in their last 28 games on grass.
Mets are 5-2 in their last 7 road games.
Mets are 8-20 in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Mets are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Mets are 2-5 in Matz’s last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Mets are 1-4 in Matz’s last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Mets are 1-4 in Matz’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Mets are 1-4 in Matz’s last 5 starts with 6 days of rest.
Mets are 1-4 in Matz’s last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Mets are 1-5 in Matz’s last 6 road starts.

Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
Braves are 6-2 in their last 8 Wednesday games.
Braves are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Braves are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. National League East.
Braves are 5-2 in their last 7 overall.
Braves are 5-2 in their last 7 games on grass.
Braves are 11-5 in their last 16 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Braves are 39-19 in their last 58 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Braves are 1-4 in Keuchel’s last 5 starts vs. National League East.
Braves are 1-4 in Keuchel’s last 5 starts.
Braves are 1-4 in Keuchel’s last 5 starts on grass.
Braves are 0-4 in Keuchel’s last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 5-1-1 in Mets last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 3-1-1 in Mets last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 6-2 in Mets last 8 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 3-1-1 in Mets last 5 during game 2 of a series.
Under is 10-4-1 in Mets last 15 Wednesday games.
Under is 5-2 in Mets last 7 games following a loss.
Under is 5-2 in Mets last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 16-7-4 in Mets last 27 vs. National League East.
Under is 4-1-1 in Matz’s last 6 starts on grass.
Under is 4-1-1 in Matz’s last 6 starts overall.
Over is 3-1-1 in Matz’s last 5 Wednesday starts.
Under is 15-6-2 in Matz’s last 23 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Under is 4-0-1 in Braves last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 3-0-1 in Braves last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Under is 6-1 in Braves last 7 Wednesday games.
Over is 5-1-1 in Braves last 7 overall.
Over is 5-1-1 in Braves last 7 on grass.
Over is 4-1-1 in Braves last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-1-1 in Braves last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Braves last 5 games following a win.
Under is 8-2 in Braves last 10 home games.
Over is 4-1 in Braves last 5 during game 2 of a series.
Under is 7-2-1 in Braves last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Over is 3-1-1 in Braves last 5 vs. National League East.
Under is 7-3-1 in Braves last 11 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 4-0 in Keuchel’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 8-2 in Keuchel’s last 10 starts on grass.
Under is 8-2 in Keuchel’s last 10 starts overall.
Under is 4-1 in Keuchel’s last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Keuchel’s last 5 starts vs. National League East.

Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Under is 3-1-1 in Matz’s last 5 starts vs. Braves.
Mets are 5-2 in Matz’s last 7 road starts vs. Braves.
Mets are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.
Mets are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Atlanta.

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