Mavericks vs Nuggets Preview, Odds, & Free Pick – [1/16/18]

Dallas (15-29) at Denver (22-21)
When: Tuesday, January 16th 2018
Where: Pepsi Center, Denver, CO
Time: 9:05 ET | TV: FS Southwest, Altitude
Opening Odds: Denver -7/212

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The Denver Nuggets need to start turning things around and will get a chance at home against a team that they’ve had success beating recently when they host the Dallas Mavericks on Tuesday night at Pepsi Center. Denver has dropped four of their past five games, but they have taken five of the last seven matchups with Dallas, but the Mavericks got the better of the Nuggets in the first meeting this season. The Mavericks used a 39-point first quarter to propel them to a 122-105 victory in their December 4th encounter in Dallas. The Nuggets are coming off being throttled by the San Antonio Spurs 112-80 on Saturday and Denver’s four losses during the stretch are by an average of 15.8 points. Dallas is having their own issues with four defeats in the past six games while spending the first half of the season as one of the worst teams in the NBA. The Mavericks suffered a 107-101 overtime loss to the Los Angeles Lakers, marking the sixth consecutive defeat in which they have allowed 100 or more points.

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One player for Dallas that’s not slumping right now is rookie point guard Dennis Smith Jr., who scored 23 points in the loss to the Lakers and has eight straight double-digit outings, including three of at least 20 points. Smith, the ninth overall pick in the draft, got the better of No. 2 pick Lonzo Ball on Saturday by limiting him to nine points on 4-of-13 shooting. Guard Wesley Matthews scored 17 on Saturday – rebounding from a four-point outing on 2-of-8 shooting against the Hornets in his previous game. Harrison Barnes, who leads the team in scoring (18.7), was a miserable 7-of-21 against the Lakers after hitting 14 of his 22 shots over the previous two games combined.

The Nuggets have covered the spread in 3 of the last 4 matchups.

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Denver’s defense had no answers for slowing down San Antonio, which made 14-of-27 3-pointers and scored 30 or more points in two separate quarters. Second-leading scorer Nikola Jokic (15.8) recorded 23 points and nine rebounds, just missing out on his 15th double-double of the season. Shooting guard Gary Harris (18 points) was the only other Nugget to recorded double-digit points, but made just six of his 16 shots against San Antonio. The Nuggets, who are hanging onto the final playoff spot in the West, play nine of their next 11 games at home.

NBA SCORES – ODDS – PUBLIC PLAYS

This is a perfect spot for Denver to get back on track. Dallas is one of the worst clubs in the league and Denver play extremely well at Pepsi Center (15-5). This is really not a lot of points to lay here.

Pick: Nuggets -5.5

  • Mavericks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games.
  • Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
  • Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Northwest.
  • Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Mavericks are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Mavericks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.
  • Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.
  • Mavericks are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 vs. Western Conference.
  • Mavericks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
  • Mavericks are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Mavericks are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Nuggets are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
  • Nuggets are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
  • Nuggets are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. Western Conference.
  • Nuggets are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games.
  • Nuggets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Nuggets are 27-13-1 ATS in their last 41 games following a straight up loss.
  • Nuggets are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Under is 8-0 in Mavericks last 8 Tuesday games.
  • Under is 8-1 in Mavericks last 9 games playing on 2 days rest.
  • Over is 5-1 in Mavericks last 6 road games.
  • Under is 8-2 in Mavericks last 10 games following a ATS loss.
  • Under is 4-1 in Mavericks last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Under is 15-6 in Mavericks last 21 games following a straight up loss.
  • Under is 11-5 in Mavericks last 16 vs. Western Conference.
  • Under is 11-5 in Mavericks last 16 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 11-5-1 in Mavericks last 17 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Under is 5-0 in Nuggets last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.
  • Under is 5-0 in Nuggets last 5 Tuesday games.
  • Under is 5-1 in Nuggets last 6 overall.
  • Under is 5-1 in Nuggets last 6 home games.
  • Under is 13-3 in Nuggets last 16 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
  • Under is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 vs. Western Conference.
  • Under is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 17-5 in Nuggets last 22 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Under is 6-2 in Nuggets last 8 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 15-7-1 in Nuggets last 23 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
  • Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Denver.
  • Mavericks are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Denver.

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