LSU vs Alabama Spread, Trends, and Free Pick – November 5th, 2011 ]]> include($base_url . “/includes/header.htm”); ?>
The point spread for Saturday Night’s huge SEC game between the LSU Tigers and Alabama Crimson Tide opened up at -4 on Sunday morning in favor of the Crimson Tide at BetOnline Sportsbook. As of Tuesday night, the line has been bet up to -4.5. The total opened up at 43 and has moved down to 41.5. Right now, 53% of the betting public is on Alabama and 76% are on the under. To help you better decide who to bet, take a look at these trends for tonight.
Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Crimson Tide are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Crimson Tide are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Crimson Tide are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Over is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 3-1-1 in Tigers last 5 games overall.
Over is 7-2 in Crimson Tide last 9 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Under is 5-2 in Crimson Tide last 7 games following a ATS win.
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Favorite is 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
My Prediction: The ‘Game of the Century’ is here. Number 1 LSU visits number 2 Alabama in what some people are viewing as the National Championship Game. A lot can happen between now and then, but the winner looks like they’ll have a clear path to New Orleans on January 9th. The loser really shouldn’t be counted out. Alabama’s total defense is #1 in the Nation by a landslide, while LSU ranks 4th. I took a look at common opponents so far this year and both have played Florida and Tennessee and both won by very similar scores. LSU’s offense including their running game has picked up the pace in their last 3 games. They will have a tough time against a great ‘Bama run defense, however. When I first saw this line I liked LSU, but after researching some more, I’m leaning towards Alabama. Their defense is just too good, they have a better turnover margin, and they’re playing at home with revenge in their minds. Tough call, but take Alabama.