Indians vs Blue Jays Betting Odds, Trends, & Free Pick [5/10/17]

Cleveland (18-14) at Toronto (12-21)
When: Wednesday, May 10th 2017
Where: Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario
Time: 7:05 ET | TV: SportsTime Ohio, Sportsnet One

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The Cleveland Indians look to remain in first place in the AL Central while keeping the Blue Jays in the cellar of the AL East when they meet in the rubber match of their three-game set on Wednesday night. Former Blue Jay Edwin Encarnacion has received a warm welcome back to Toronto this week, but it’s another former player that has performed well as of late. Yan Gomes, who began his career with Toronto, belted a three-run homer in Tuesday’s 6-0 victory to cap his third multi-hit performance in his last five games. The offense finally broke loose for the Tribe, who have won four of six despite mustering 10 runs in the five games before Tuesday. The Blue Jays were limited to just four hits on Tuesday and fell to 5-9 at home. Jose Bautista, who has struggled all year, is just 1-for-19 with nine strikeouts in his last five games. Toronto did receive some good news on Tuesday as ace RHP Aaron Sanchez (blister) tossed 60 pitches in Florida, with manager John Gibbons reportedly considering him as an option to start in a weekend game against Seattle. Veteran left-hander Francisco Liriano takes a 2-1 home mark with a 1.59 ERA in three starts into Wednesday’s series finale against right-hander Danny Salazar.

Pitchers: Indians – Danny Salazar (2-3, 4.28 ERA) | Blue Jays – Francisco Liriano (2-2, 4.44)

Salazar has alternated win and losses over his last five starts, with Friday’s performance resulting in a setback. Salazar lasted just 4.2 innings as he lost to the Kansas City Royals. He has allowed three homer runs in the last two outings after keeping the ball in the park in his previous three starts. Salazar, who averages a majors-best 13 strikeouts per nine innings, owns a 2-1 mark with a 2.65 ERA and 20 strikeouts in three career starts versus Toronto.

Liriano is coming off a no-decision when he lasted just 3.2 innings on Friday against Tampa Bay. The Dominican allowed a pair of homers and a season-high five walks drove up his pitch count. Liriano has struggled with his control, issuing at least four walks in four of his six outings this season.

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The Blue Jays are one of the worst hitting teams in the league and their 21st in strikeouts – not a good combination when facing the hard-throwing Salazar. Liriano has no control right now and the Cleveland hitters are smart and are coming off a six-run performance last night. I’ll take the runline here.

Pick: Indians -1.5 +105

W/L TRENDS

Cleveland
  • Indians are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.
  • Indians are 8-2 in their last 10 vs. American League East.
  • Indians are 9-3 in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
  • Indians are 9-4 in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
  • Indians are 8-1 in Salazar’s last 9 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
  • Indians are 8-3 in Salazar’s last 11 starts vs. American League East.
  • Indians are 5-2 in Salazar’s last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.
  • Indians are 15-7 in Salazar’s last 22 starts.
Toronto
  • Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Blue Jays are 5-1 in their last 6 games on astroturf.
  • Blue Jays are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Blue Jays are 6-14 in their last 20 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Blue Jays are 1-8 in their last 9 Wednesday games.
  • Blue Jays are 5-2 in Liriano’s last 7 home starts.

OU TRENDS

Cleveland
  • Under is 5-0 in Indians last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
  • Under is 9-1-1 in Indians last 11 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Under is 12-2 in Indians last 14 on astroturf.
  • Under is 5-1-1 in Indians last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Under is 5-1-1 in Indians last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
  • Under is 5-1-1 in Indians last 7 during game 3 of a series.
  • Under is 22-6-1 in Indians last 29 games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Under is 19-6-1 in Indians last 26 overall.
  • Under is 20-8-1 in Indians last 29 vs. American League East.
  • Under is 34-16-4 in Indians last 54 road games.
  • Over is 4-0-1 in Salazar’s last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
  • Under is 3-0-1 in Salazar’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Under is 4-0-1 in Salazar’s last 5 starts overall.
  • Under is 6-1-1 in Salazar’s last 8 Wednesday starts.
  • Over is 3-1-1 in Salazar’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Toronto
  • Under is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 Wednesday games.
  • Under is 17-4 in Blue Jays last 21 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Under is 6-2 in Blue Jays last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Under is 15-5 in Blue Jays last 20 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 21-7 in Blue Jays last 28 home games.
  • Under is 20-7 in Blue Jays last 27 vs. American League Central.
  • Under is 23-9 in Blue Jays last 32 on astroturf.
  • Under is 30-13-2 in Blue Jays last 45 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Under is 48-21-1 in Blue Jays last 70 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 38-17-4 in Blue Jays last 59 during game 3 of a series.
  • Under is 4-0 in Liriano’s last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
  • Under is 5-0 in Liriano’s last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 6-0 in Liriano’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 6-0 in Liriano’s last 6 home starts.
  • Under is 8-2 in Liriano’s last 10 starts overall.
  • Under is 6-2 in Liriano’s last 8 starts on astroturf.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Toronto.
  • Under is 13-3 in the last 16 meetings.
  • Indians are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

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