Giants vs Phillies Preview & Free Pick | Prediction [5/7/18]

San Francisco (19-15) at Philadelphia (18-15)
When: Monday, May 7th 2018
Where: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
Time: 7:05 ET | TV: NBCS Bay Area, NBCS Philadelphia
Opening Odds: Philadelphia -107/8.5 


The streaking San Francisco Giants continue their 10-game road trip with the first of four at Citizens Bank Park when they take on the Philadelphia Phillies on Monday night. The Giants come in winners of four-straight after starting the road trip with a three-game sweep of the Atlanta Braves over the weekend to get within four games of first place Arizona in the NL West. San Francisco has recorded 33 runs in their winning streak and outscored the Braves 24-9 in its first sweep in Atlanta since 2014. Tonight’s starter – Jeff Samardzija – does not have a good track record against the Phillies, sporting an 8.18 ERA against them overall and a 15.43 mark in four appearances at Citizens Bank Park. Philadelphia suffered its fourth straight series loss when closer Hector Neris walked in the tying run before giving up the game-winning single in the ninth inning of a 5-4 loss at Washington on Sunday. The Phillies still occupy second place in the NL East and are 11-5 at home this season. Maikel Franco is 7-for-15 with two homers and three doubles during a four-game RBI and hitting streak for the Phillies. Center fielder Odubel Herrera, who had three hits Sunday, is batting .386 at home. San Francisco’s Brandon Crawford has multiple hits in four straight games, going 10-for-18 with seven RBIs, to extend his overall hitting streak to five games, while Andrew McCutchen has hit safely in six straight.

Pitchers: Giants – Jeff Samardzija (1-1, 5.27 ERA) | Phillies – Zach Eflin (0-0, 1.50)

Samardzija has been inconsistent so far this season, and is coming off a decent outing in which he allowed two runs on five hits over five innings in a no-decision against San Diego. Samardzija was hit for six runs in 3.2 innings in a loss versus Washington on April 25th after tossing five scoreless innings at the Los Angeles Angels in his season debut. Carlos Santana is looking for his first hit against Samardzija in seven at-bats.

The over has hit 14-of-19 times between the Giants and Phillies in the last 3 seasons.


Zach Elfin made his season debut last Tuesday against the Miami Marlins, taking a perfect game into the sixth inning and allowing one run on three hits over six innings of a no-decision. He made 11 starts in each of his first two seasons, posting a 4-10 record overall and surrendering 28 home runs in only 127.2 innings. Crawford is 4-for-8 with two homers off Elfin, who is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA versus the Giants.

Samardzija has been awful at Citizens Bank Park and the Phillies are 11-5 there this season. The Giants bats are alive right now and even though Eflin had a solid outing last time out, it was the Marlins. Eflin does not have a good career record. Look for baseballs to be flying out of the park on Monday.

Pick: OVER 9 +105


BETTING TRENDS:

  • Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
  • Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Giants are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
  • Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
  • Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
  • Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League East.
  • Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 Monday games.
  • Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Giants are 10-21 in their last 31 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
  • Giants are 19-42 in their last 61 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Giants are 31-72 in their last 103 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Giants are 4-0 in Samardzija’s last 4 Monday starts.
  • Giants are 8-3 in Samardzija’s last 11 starts during game 1 of a series.
  • Giants are 2-5 in Samardzija’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Giants are 2-5 in Samardzija’s last 7 starts.
  • Giants are 2-5 in Samardzija’s last 7 starts on grass.
  • Giants are 1-4 in Samardzija’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Giants are 1-6 in Samardzija’s last 7 starts vs. National League East.
  • Giants are 0-4 in Samardzija’s last 4 starts with 6 days of rest.
  • Phillies are 7-2 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Phillies are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Phillies are 15-6 in their last 21 home games.
  • Phillies are 7-3 in their last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Phillies are 17-35 in their last 52 Monday games.
  • Phillies are 12-25 in their last 37 vs. National League West.
  • Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 overall.
  • Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 games on grass.
  • Phillies are 4-1 in Eflin’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
  • Phillies are 3-7 in Eflin’s last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Phillies are 1-9 in Eflin’s last 10 starts.
  • Phillies are 1-9 in Eflin’s last 10 starts on grass.
  • Phillies are 0-7 in Eflin’s last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
  • Phillies are 0-6 in Eflin’s last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
  • Phillies are 0-4 in Eflin’s last 4 starts vs. National League West.
  • Phillies are 0-4 in Eflin’s last 4 home starts.
  • Phillies are 0-4 in Eflin’s last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
  • Under is 8-2 in Giants last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Over is 4-1 in Giants last 5 during game 1 of a series.
  • Over is 8-3 in Giants last 11 overall.
  • Over is 8-3 in Giants last 11 on grass.
  • Under is 10-4 in Giants last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Under is 7-3 in Giants last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 11-5 in Giants last 16 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Under is 6-1 in Samardzija’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 7-3 in Samardzija’s last 10 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 5-0-1 in Phillies last 6 vs. National League West.
  • Over is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 during game 1 of a series.
  • Over is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 home games.
  • Over is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Over is 3-1-1 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Under is 5-2 in Phillies last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Over is 5-2 in Phillies last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 5-0 in Eflin’s last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
  • Over is 6-0 in Eflin’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 8-0 in Eflin’s last 8 starts vs. National League West.
  • Over is 9-1 in Eflin’s last 10 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
  • Over is 5-1 in Eflin’s last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
  • Over is 11-4 in Eflin’s last 15 starts on grass.
  • Over is 11-4 in Eflin’s last 15 starts overall.
  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Philadelphia.
  • Giants are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings in Philadelphia.

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