Eagles vs Chiefs Free Pick and Trends – Week 2 [2017]

Philadelphia (1-0) at Kansas City (1-0)
When: Sunday, September 17th 2017
Where: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
Time: 1:00 ET | TV: FOX
Opening Odds: Kansas City -4/48

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The Philadelphia Eagles will look for back-to-back road wins to start the season when they visit the Kansas City Chiefs in a Week 2 battle from Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday. Eagles quarterback Carson Wentz improved to 4-0 in September games when he help lead Philly to a 30-17 win at Washington last Sunday. The Chiefs were the surprise of Week 1, as they spoiled the Super Bowl ring ceremony in New England on Opening Night with a 42-27 victory. After working together for years, head coaches Andy Reid and Doug Pederson will meet for the first time. It’s Reid’s second meeting with his former team, as the Chiefs won 26-16 at Philadelphia in his first season with the club in 2013. The coaches go way back, as Pederson played for Reid in Green Bay and Philadelphia before joining his coaching staffs with the Eagles and Chiefs. Pederson was Reid’s offensive coordinator in Kansas City from 2013-15, so he should have a small advantage in that aspect. Chiefs LB Justin Houston, who had two sacks last week against New England, recorded a career-high 4.5 in his most recent meeting with the Eagles.

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Wentz completed 26-of-39 for 307 yards with two touchdowns and an interception in Week 1 and targeted tight end Zach Ertz and receiver Nelson Agholor (8 targets each) often. They’ll need more than just Wentz chucking the ball all the time and will look to get the ground game going with LeGarrette Blount (46 yards on 14 carries against Washington) as their lead back. The defense forced four turnovers in Week 1, but will be going up against a terrific ball control offense in Kansas City. The Eagles will have their home opener next week against the New York Giants before going back on the road to face the Chargers in L.A.

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Kansas City’s offense exploded in Week 1 at New England as rookie running back Kareem Hunt went off for 246 yards from scrimmage – the most by any NFL player in his debut. Wide receiver Tyreek Hill, who has scored a touchdown of at least 60 yards in five consecutive games, caught seven passes for 133 yards and a touchdown. Quarterback Alex Smith was spectacular, going 28-of-35 for 368 yards with four TDs. The defense allowed their share of yards to Tom Brady and company, allowing 371, but clamped down in the second half and held the Super Bowl champs to 10 points and none in the fourth quarter.

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The Eagles were pretty good last September and have started out strong already. Pederson is anxious to show his mentor that he has his team going in the right direction. Kansas City has been an awful cover team at home, going 3-9 ATS in their last 12 at Arrowhead and Philly is on an 11-2 ATS run against AFC opponents. I like this to be a close game to the end, so I’ll take the points.

Pick: Eagles +5.5

  • Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
  • Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
  • Eagles are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Eagles are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games on grass.
  • Eagles are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Eagles are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 2.
  • Eagles are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games.
  • Chiefs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Chiefs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
  • Chiefs are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Chiefs are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS win.
  • Chiefs are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games.
  • Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
  • Chiefs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 2.
  • Chiefs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
  • Chiefs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Over is 8-1 in Eagles last 9 games in Week 2.
  • Under is 7-1 in Eagles last 8 games in September.
  • Over is 11-2 in Eagles last 13 road games.
  • Over is 4-1 in Eagles last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-1 in Eagles last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Over is 39-14-1 in Eagles last 54 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Under is 11-4 in Eagles last 15 games following a straight up win.
  • Under is 5-2 in Eagles last 7 games on grass.
  • Under is 11-5 in Eagles last 16 games following a ATS win.
  • Over is 19-9 in Eagles last 28 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-1 in Chiefs last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Under is 4-1 in Chiefs last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-1 in Chiefs last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Over is 7-2 in Chiefs last 9 games in September.
  • Under is 17-5 in Chiefs last 22 games in Week 2.
  • Under is 22-7 in Chiefs last 29 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Under is 8-3 in Chiefs last 11 games following a straight up win.
  • Under is 8-3 in Chiefs last 11 games on grass.
  • Under is 20-8-2 in Chiefs last 30 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
  • Over is 5-2-1 in Chiefs last 8 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Under is 39-16 in Chiefs last 55 home games.
  • Under is 19-9-1 in Chiefs last 29 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
  • Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

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