Duke vs Clemson Preview, Odds, Trends, & Free Pick – [2/18/18]

Duke (21-5, 9-4) at Clemson (20-5, 9-4)
When: Sunday, February 18th 2018
Where: Littlejohn Coliseum, Clemson, SC
Time: 1:00 ET | TV: ACC Network
Opening Odds: Duke -1

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The Duke Blue Devils and Clemson Tigers both sit in second place in the Atlantic Coast Conference standings with no real legitimate shot at catching first-place Virginia, but there is still plenty to play for. With several teams behind them, the Blue Devils and Tigers will battle for seeding on Sunday afternoon in their one and only matchup of the season. The 10th-ranked Blue Devils and 12th-ranked Tigers, who are hoping to avoid back-to-back losses for the first time this season, are facing key injury issues. Duke has won two in a row, most recently against Virginia Tech, following an uncharacteristic 1-3 stretch. Clemson had won five in a row before falling to Florida State on Wednesday, when the Tigers blew an 18-point lead before losing in overtime. Since Virginia held Clemson to 36 points, the Tigers have scored at least 72 in five straight games.

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The Blue Devils will likely be without leading scorer and rebounder Marvin Bagley Jr. (21.2 points, 11.4 rebounds), as the freshman has missed the last two games with a knee injury and may not be available Sunday. Marques Bolden, starting in place of Bagley, had zero points and one rebound in 16 minutes versus Virginia Tech. Senior Grayson Allen (25 points, 7-of-15 from 3-point range) led the way against Virginia Tech, while Wendell Carter Jr. recorded 13 points and 13 rebounds for his seventh double-double in the last 10 games. Gary Trent Jr. went 5-of-9 from 3-point land against the Hokies and is shooting over 60% from that distance over the last five games.

Clemson has covered the spread in 4 of the last 6 meetings with Duke.

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The Tigers already are without Donte Grantham (ACL tear), who is second on the team in both scoring and rebounding, and the team likely will be without point guard Shelton Mitchell (head) on Sunday. Marcquise Reed scored 23 points against Florida State, bouncing back after totaling four points in the previous game. Gabe DeVoe has been hot from long distance, hitting 25-of-40 (62.5%) over the last five games. Clemson will be at Virginia Tech on Wednesday, a team that is just a game and a half behind them in the ACC standings.

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Duke is not the same team without Bagley, but Clemson is hurt even more without Grantham and Mitchell. I don’t think the Tigers can overcome those two being out against a Duke team that seems to have turned things around.

Pick: Duke -2

  • Blue Devils are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Blue Devils are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Blue Devils are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 road games.
  • Blue Devils are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Sunday games.
  • Blue Devils are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. Atlantic Coast.
  • Blue Devils are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
  • Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
  • Tigers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
  • Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
  • Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Atlantic Coast.
  • Tigers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Tigers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
  • Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Sunday games.
  • Over is 7-2 in Blue Devils last 9 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
  • Over is 17-5 in Blue Devils last 22 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Over is 17-5 in Blue Devils last 22 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Over is 13-4 in Blue Devils last 17 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Over is 18-6 in Blue Devils last 24 road games.
  • Over is 19-7 in Blue Devils last 26 games following a straight up win.
  • Under is 5-2 in Blue Devils last 7 vs. Atlantic Coast.
  • Over is 9-4 in Blue Devils last 13 games following a ATS win.
  • Under is 9-4 in Blue Devils last 13 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Over is 17-8 in Blue Devils last 25 overall.
  • Under is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
  • Over is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 overall.
  • Over is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 vs. Atlantic Coast.
  • Over is 7-2 in Tigers last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Under is 13-4 in Tigers last 17 home games.
  • Under is 31-10 in Tigers last 41 Sunday games.
  • Under is 5-2 in Tigers last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Under is 5-2 in Tigers last 7 games following a straight up loss.
  • Under is 9-4 in Tigers last 13 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
  • Under is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings.

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