Dodgers vs Marlins Preview, Odds, Trends, & Free Pick [7/15/17]

LA Dodgers (62-29) at Miami (41-47)
When: Saturday, July 15th 2017
Where: Marlins Park, Miami, FL
Time: 7:10 ET | TV: SportsNet LA, FSN Florida
Opening Odds: Los Angeles -155/8.5

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The Los Angeles Dodgers go for their eighth straight victory when they continue their weekend series with the Miami Marlins on Saturday night. Los Angeles recorded their seventh straight win in dramatic fashion in the opener on Friday, rallying behind a Yasiel Puig two-out, three-run home run in the 9th inning for the 6-4 win. Puig hit a tie-breaking solo shot in the fifth inning before his three-run blast off closer A.J. Ramos to help the Dodgers to their 27th win in the past 31 games. The victory was the Dodgers’ second ninth-inning rally in just over a week and marked their 25th comeback victory of the season. The Dodgers are 53-18 since Cody Bellinger’s promotion on April 25th, and the club is 34-9 when he and fellow All-Star 3B Justin Turner are in the lineup together. Miami entered the All-Star Break winning five of its last six and had Los Angeles on the ropes in the opener, but Ramos was unable to get the final strike he needed three times in the ninth before blowing his second save in 19 opportunities. The Marlins are the National League’s best offensive team in July by a wide margin, however, owning league-best marks in batting average (.313) and runs scored (62). The Marlins’ eight-game streak of collecting at least 10 hits – the second-longest in club history – came to an end Friday.

Pitchers: Dodgers – Alex Wood (10-0, 1.67 ERA) | Marlins – Jose Urena (7-3, 3.54)

Alex Wood became the first Dodgers starter to reach 10-0 since Don Newcombe in 1955 following Wednesday’s victory against Arizona. He allowed just three hits while striking out 10 over seven scoreless innings and was an All-Star for the first time last week. Wood has allowed one run or fewer in nine of his last 11 outings – surrendering only one homer over that span – and hasn’t lost in any of his last 13 starts dating back to May 30th, 2016. Marcell Ozuna is 6-for-20 and Giancarlo Stanton is 3-for-23 against Wood, who is 5-3 with 3.00 ERA in 12 games (nine starts) versus Miami.

Jose Urena is coming off a no-decision on Sunday at San Francisco, giving up three runs on five hits – including a pair of homers – over five innings. Urena is just 1-1 with a 4.50 ERA over his last three starts since a five-game winning streak from May 23rd to June 23rd (3.38 ERA). Urena has been dominant in three appearances (two starts) spanning 15.1 innings against the Dodgers, going 1-0 with a 0.59 ERA.

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Urena may have great stats against the Dodgers, but this L.A. team has some serious momentum right now. Wood has been as dominant as Clayton Kershaw this season and I can’t see the Marlins doing much against him. Take the runline.

Pick: Dodgers -1.5 -105

W/L TRENDS

LA Dodgers
  • Dodgers are 10-1 in their last 11 Saturday games.
  • Dodgers are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
  • Dodgers are 40-11 in their last 51 overall.
  • Dodgers are 40-11 in their last 51 games on grass.
  • Dodgers are 39-12 in their last 51 games following a win.
  • Dodgers are 30-10 in their last 40 vs. National League East.
  • Dodgers are 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Dodgers are 37-15 in their last 52 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Dodgers are 39-16 in their last 55 vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Dodgers are 42-18 in their last 60 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Dodgers are 35-16 in their last 51 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Dodgers are 47-23 in their last 70 during game 2 of a series.
  • Dodgers are 6-0 in Wood’s last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
  • Dodgers are 4-0 in Wood’s last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
  • Dodgers are 6-0 in Wood’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Dodgers are 5-0 in Wood’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Dodgers are 8-0 in Wood’s last 8 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Dodgers are 10-1 in Wood’s last 11 starts.
  • Dodgers are 10-1 in Wood’s last 11 starts on grass.
  • Dodgers are 4-10 in Wood’s last 14 road starts.
  • Dodgers are 2-6 in Wood’s last 8 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Miami
  • Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. National League West.
  • Marlins are 5-2 in their last 7 overall.
  • Marlins are 5-2 in their last 7 games on grass.
  • Marlins are 14-6 in their last 20 games following a loss.
  • Marlins are 7-15 in their last 22 during game 2 of a series.
  • Marlins are 13-29 in their last 42 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Marlins are 4-9 in their last 13 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
  • Marlins are 2-6 in their last 8 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Marlins are 1-4 in their last 5 Saturday games.
  • Marlins are 2-8 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Marlins are 4-1 in Urena’s last 5 home starts.
  • Marlins are 8-2 in Urena’s last 10 starts.
  • Marlins are 8-2 in Urena’s last 10 starts on grass.
  • Marlins are 6-2 in Urena’s last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Marlins are 5-2 in Urena’s last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Marlins are 3-7 in Urena’s last 10 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Marlins are 2-5 in Urena’s last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.

OU TRENDS

LA Dodgers
  • Over is 3-0-1 in Dodgers last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
  • Under is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 during game 2 of a series.
  • Under is 5-1-1 in Dodgers last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-1-1 in Dodgers last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Over is 4-1-1 in Dodgers last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Over is 19-6-2 in Dodgers last 27 vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Over is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 road games.
  • Under is 6-2-1 in Dodgers last 9 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 6-2-2 in Dodgers last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Under is 5-2-2 in Dodgers last 9 overall.
  • Under is 5-2-2 in Dodgers last 9 on grass.
  • Over is 20-8-4 in Dodgers last 32 vs. National League East.
  • Over is 6-1 in Wood’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Over is 6-2 in Wood’s last 8 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Miami
  • Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Over is 8-2 in Marlins last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Over is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 Saturday games.
  • Under is 4-1-2 in Marlins last 7 home games.
  • Over is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 vs. National League West.
  • Over is 6-2 in Marlins last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Under is 9-3-2 in Marlins last 14 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 6-2-1 in Marlins last 9 games following a loss.
  • Under is 6-2-1 in Marlins last 9 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 9-3 in Marlins last 12 during game 2 of a series.
  • Under is 5-2 in Marlins last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
  • Over is 7-3 in Marlins last 10 overall.
  • Over is 7-3 in Marlins last 10 on grass.
  • Under is 15-7 in Marlins last 22 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Under is 3-0-1 in Urena’s last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 3-0-1 in Urena’s last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-1-4 in Urena’s last 9 starts with 5 days of rest.
  • Under is 4-1-1 in Urena’s last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.
  • Under is 4-1 in Urena’s last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 3-1-2 in Urena’s last 6 starts on grass.
  • Under is 3-1-2 in Urena’s last 6 starts overall.
  • Under is 9-4-1 in Urena’s last 14 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Miami.
  • Dodgers are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Over is 43-16-6 in the last 65 meetings.

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