Diamondbacks vs Mets Preview & Free Pick | Prediction [9/11/19]

Arizona (75-70) at NY Mets (74-70)
When: Wednesday, September 11, 2019
Where: Citi Field,
New York, NY
Time: 7:10 ET | TV: FS Arizona, SNY
Opening Odds: New York -120/8


The New York Mets aren’t going away and have cooled-off the red-hot Arizona Diamondbacks in the first two games of their four-game set and will go for a third consecutive win on Wednesday night with Steven Matz opposing fellow lefty Robbie Ray. New York moved to within three games of the Chicago Cubs for the second NL wild card spot, with Arizona a half-game in front of the Mets after a 3-2 win on Tuesday. Todd Frazier drove in all three runs with a pair of doubles on Tuesday and is now batting .317 with runners in scoring position on the season. Arizona was scorching hot and were the team on the heels of the Cubs, but the bats have gone cold during their three-game skid, scoring three runs or less in each of their last four contests. Eduardo Escobar extended his hitting streak to 12 with a solo homer while driving in both runs Tuesday. He has six homers, 12 RBI and 12 runs scored during the streak and is 2-for-3 with a homer versus Matz. Arizona will play one more in New York on Thursday afternoon before hosting 12 of their last 15 games at Chase Field.

Pitchers: Diamondbacks – Robbie Ray (12-7, 4.03 ERA) | Mets – Steven Matz (9-8, 4.00)

Arizona is 5-1 in Ray’s last six trips to the mound but has completed six innings only once in that span including last time out at Cincinnati when he had to leave after 4.1 innings with a blister on his left middle finger. He is 3-0 in those six starts but walks have been driving up his pitch count, issuing 15 free passes in his last five outings. Ray has been terrific in four career starts against the Mets, posting a 2-0 record and 0.82 ERA.


Matz has been one of the more underrated hurlers in the National League lately, surrendering three runs or less in nine of his last 10 starts and settled for a no-decision last time out against Philadelphia. The lefty allowed two runs over 5.2 innings of a 5-4 win over the Phillies after beating them in his previous start. One of his worst outings of the season came at Arizona on June 2nd when he allowed five runs on eight hits in a 7-1 setback. Matz is 6-1 with a 2.11 ERA at home this season.

Arizona has been winning with Ray on the mound but he’s been getting a lot of run support, something this Arizona team is currently lacking. Matz has been terrific and the Mets are still breathing. I say Matz outpitches Ray in this one and helps the Mets to another victory.

Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Wednesday. He is 127-85 +2953 units on the season after a 28-12 run!

Pick: Mets -110


BETTING TRENDS:

Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Diamondbacks are 11-4 in their last 15 overall.
Diamondbacks are 11-4 in their last 15 games on grass.
Diamondbacks are 3-7 in their last 10 games following a loss.
Diamondbacks are 2-5 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Diamondbacks are 2-6 in their last 8 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Diamondbacks are 1-6 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Diamondbacks are 6-0 in Ray’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Diamondbacks are 8-0 in Ray’s last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Diamondbacks are 5-0 in Ray’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Diamondbacks are 5-1 in Ray’s last 6 starts.
Diamondbacks are 5-1 in Ray’s last 6 starts on grass.
Diamondbacks are 5-2 in Ray’s last 7 road starts.
Diamondbacks are 5-2 in Ray’s last 7 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Diamondbacks are 2-6 in Ray’s last 8 starts with 4 days of rest.

Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League West.
Mets are 10-3 in their last 13 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Mets are 15-5 in their last 20 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Mets are 20-7 in their last 27 games following a win.
Mets are 7-3 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Mets are 3-8 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Mets are 3-8 in their last 11 home games.
Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Mets are 1-7 in their last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Mets are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Mets are 4-1 in Matz’s last 5 home starts.
Mets are 5-11 in Matz’s last 16 starts during game 3 of a series.
Mets are 1-6 in Matz’s last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.

Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 overall.
Under is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 road games.
Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 on grass.
Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 Wednesday games.
Under is 6-0 in Diamondbacks last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 6-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 games following a loss.
Over is 4-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Over is 7-2-1 in Diamondbacks last 10 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 7-2-1 in Diamondbacks last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 2-0-2 in Ray’s last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
Under is 5-1-1 in Ray’s last 7 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 4-1-1 in Ray’s last 6 Wednesday starts.
Over is 4-1 in Ray’s last 5 starts vs. National League East.
Under is 3-1-1 in Ray’s last 5 road starts.
Under is 8-3-1 in Ray’s last 12 starts during game 3 of a series.
Under is 7-3 in Ray’s last 10 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Under is 10-1-1 in Mets last 12 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 6-1 in Mets last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 6-1 in Mets last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 5-1 in Mets last 6 vs. National League West.
Under is 4-1 in Mets last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 7-2 in Mets last 9 games following a win.
Under is 9-4 in Mets last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 9-4 in Mets last 13 home games.
Under is 3-0-1 in Matz’s last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
Under is 5-0 in Matz’s last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
Over is 3-1-2 in Matz’s last 6 Wednesday starts.
Under is 3-1-1 in Matz’s last 5 starts vs. National League West.
Over is 7-3-2 in Matz’s last 12 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in New York.
Under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings.
Diamondbacks are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings.
Diamondbacks are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings in New York.

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