Cubs vs Mets Preview, Odds, Trends, & Free Pick – [6/14/17]

Chicago Cubs (32-32) at NY Mets (29-34)
When: Wednesday, June 14th 2017
Where: Citi Field, New York, NY
Time: 7:10 ET | TV: MLB Network
Opening Odds: New York -108/9

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The Chicago Cubs will look for their first road series victory since late April when they battle the New York Mets on Wednesday night at Citi Field. Chicago snapped a nine-game road losing skid by pounding out 14 runs on 15 hits and changed things up at the top of the order. They used slugging first baseman Anthony Rizzo in the leadoff spot and he promptly led the game off with a home run and went 2-for-4 with three RBIs in the 14-3 victory over the Mets to set up the rubber match on Wednesday. Rizzo is 11-for-26 with two homers during his eight-game hitting streak. The Cubs bashed a season-high five homers all together which was more than they hit in their previous nine road contests. The rout ended a stretch for Mets pitchers of allowing just one run in each contest during a four-game winning streak. New York will need a lengthy outing from Matt Harvey after the bullpen was used heavily on Tuesday. Zack Wheeler didn’t get out of the second inning and the team burned its long relievers. The Mets hit two meaningless ninth-inning home runs Tuesday and have belted 37 in their last 22 games.

Pitchers: Cubs – Mike Montgomery (0-3, 2.43 ERA) | Mets – Matt Harvey (4-3, 5.02)

Mike Montgomery will be making his second start of the season after 18 appearances out of the bullpen and hopes to go a little longer than his first. He gave up two runs and three hits in four innings of a no-decision against Colorado on Friday, as three walks and a number of deep counts pushed his pitch count up to 73, which is a lot for a primary reliever. Montgomery never has faced the Mets in his career.

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Harvey has been inconsistent to say the least through his first 12 starts, posting only four quality starts while allowing five or more runs four times. He was superb on Friday at Atlanta, allowing four hits over five scoreless innings, but threw 104 pitches before settling for a no-decision. Harvey is 1-0 with a 1.26 ERA in two career starts against the Cubs.

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When the Cubs bats are rolling one night, then jump on them the next. Harvey is not a pitcher I can bet on with confidence. Montgomery should be able to handle the weak New York lineup and give his team a chance to win.

Pick: Cubs -118

W/L TRENDS

Chi. Cubs
  • Cubs are 7-2 in their last 9 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Cubs are 10-3 in their last 13 vs. National League East.
  • Cubs are 39-17 in their last 57 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
  • Cubs are 16-7 in their last 23 Wednesday games.
  • Cubs are 2-5 in their last 7 overall.
  • Cubs are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Cubs are 2-5 in their last 7 games on grass.
  • Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.
  • Cubs are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Cubs are 1-7 in their last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Cubs are 1-7 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Cubs are 1-9 in their last 10 road games.
NY Mets
  • Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
  • Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 games on grass.
  • Mets are 6-2 in their last 8 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Mets are 2-5 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Mets are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. National League Central.
  • Mets are 2-5 in their last 7 home games.
  • Mets are 3-12 in their last 15 during game 3 of a series.
  • Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 Wednesday games.
  • Mets are 5-2 in Harveys last 7 starts vs. National League Central.
  • Mets are 2-6 in Harveys last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
  • Mets are 3-11 in Harveys last 14 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Mets are 2-8 in Harveys last 10 starts.
  • Mets are 2-8 in Harveys last 10 starts on grass.
  • Mets are 2-9 in Harveys last 11 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Mets are 1-5 in Harveys last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.

OU TRENDS

Chi. Cubs
  • Under is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
  • Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 road games.
  • Over is 8-2 in Cubs last 10 vs. National League East.
  • Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Under is 13-4 in Cubs last 17 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Over is 6-2 in Cubs last 8 Wednesday games.
  • Under is 6-2 in Cubs last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Over is 5-2-1 in Cubs last 8 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-2-1 in Cubs last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 5-2 in Cubs last 7 during game 3 of a series.
  • Under is 13-6 in Cubs last 19 overall.
  • Under is 13-6 in Cubs last 19 on grass.
NY Mets
  • Under is 5-1-1 in Mets last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-1-1 in Mets last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Under is 4-1-1 in Mets last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Over is 7-2 in Mets last 9 Wednesday games.
  • Over is 20-6-2 in Mets last 28 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Over is 12-4-2 in Mets last 18 during game 3 of a series.
  • Over is 16-6-5 in Mets last 27 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 20-8-5 in Mets last 33 home games.
  • Over is 10-4-2 in Mets last 16 vs. National League Central.
  • Over is 22-10-5 in Mets last 37 games following a loss.
  • Over is 36-17-8 in Mets last 61 overall.
  • Over is 36-17-8 in Mets last 61 on grass.
  • Over is 5-0-1 in Harveys last 6 home starts.
  • Over is 4-1-2 in Harveys last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
  • Over is 15-4-2 in Harveys last 21 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 10-3-1 in Harveys last 14 starts during game 3 of a series.
  • Over is 15-5-2 in Harveys last 22 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 8-3-2 in Harveys last 13 starts on grass.
  • Over is 8-3-2 in Harveys last 13 starts overall.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in New York.
  • Cubs are 3-10 in the last 13 meetings.
  • Cubs are 1-7 in the last 8 meetings in New York.

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