Clemson vs Florida State Preview, Odds, & Free Pick – [2/14/18]

Clemson (20-4, 9-3) at Florida State (17-8, 6-7)
When: Wednesday, February 14th 2018
Where: Donald L. Tucker Center, Tallahassee, FL
Time: 7:00 ET | TV: ACC Network
Opening Odds: Florida State -2.5/145

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The surging Clemson Tigers travel to Tallahassee to take on the slumping Florida State Seminoles in a key ACC matchup on Wednesday night. The Tigers are ranked 12th in the country after reeling off four straight victories, while the Seminoles have dropped two-straight and three of the last four. Clemson is one win shy of tying the program record for conference victories at 10 and are coming off a 72-48 rout of Pittsburgh on Thursday that clinched their third 20-win season under coach Brad Brownell. The Seminoles lost 84-69 at Notre Dame on Saturday, three days after giving No. 1 Virginia all they could handle in a 59-55 setback. Florida State coach Leonard Hamilton is seeking his 500th career win and 300th with the Seminoles. The ‘Noles have won three straight meetings with Clemson, but they’ll need to get off to a good start, because the Tigers are 18-0 this season when tied or leading at halftime. ESPN’s Bracketology currently have Clemson as a three-seed and Florida State a nine.

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The Tigers lost power forward Donte Grantham to a season-ending knee injury in a win over Notre Dame on January 20th, and promptly went out the next time and scored just 36 points in a loss at Virginia. Since then, the Tigers have adjusted without their second-leading scorer and are relying on their backcourt for scoring. Guards Marcquise Reed (15.4 points, 4.7 rebounds), Gabe DeVoe (13.5, 4.6), and Shelton Mitchell (12, 3.9 assists) all are capable of having big nights. DeVoe recorded seven 3-pointers in a 25-point performance against Pittsburgh, and the Tigers have made 10 or more from beyond the arc in four straight games for the first time since 1983.

Florida State has won 5 of the last 7 meetings with Clemson.

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The Seminoles should have an easier time inside now that Grantham is out of the picture. They too rely on the backcourt with the duo of Terance Mann (14.5 points, 5.9 rebounds) and Braian Angola (13.4 points) to carry the load on offense, and both guards are rather tall at 6’6″. Power forward Phil Cofer (13.2 points, 5.4 rebounds) is the only other double-digit scorer for Florida State, while 7’4″ center Christ Koumadje averages 8.6 points and boasts 27 blocked shots in 14 games. Guard C.J. Walker is 12-for-17 from the field and averaging 11 points over his last three games.

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I’m not sure why Florida State is favored in this one, but it must have to do with Grantham being out for Clemson and this game being in Tallahassee. This is a strong Clemson team that has some momentum here, while Florida State is slipping a bit.

Pick: Clemson +4.5

  • Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
  • Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.
  • Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Seminoles are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 home games.
  • Seminoles are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Seminoles are 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Seminoles are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 Wednesday games.
  • Seminoles are 1-3-2 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
  • Seminoles are 1-4-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Over is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 road games.
  • Over is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Over is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 Wednesday games.
  • Over is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
  • Over is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Over is 6-2 in Tigers last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Over is 6-2 in Tigers last 8 games following a straight up win.
  • Over is 8-3 in Tigers last 11 overall.
  • Over is 8-3 in Tigers last 11 vs. Atlantic Coast.
  • Under is 7-3 in Tigers last 10 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game.
  • Under is 7-3 in Tigers last 10 games following a ATS win.
  • Under is 4-1 in Seminoles last 5 Wednesday games.
  • Over is 4-1 in Seminoles last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Over is 7-3-1 in Seminoles last 11 games following a ATS loss.
  • Under is 33-15 in Seminoles last 48 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
  • Under is 37-18-1 in Seminoles last 56 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Home team is 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Tigers are 1-3-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Underdog is 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings.

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