Cincinnati vs Vanderbilt Free Pick – 2011 Liberty Bowl

Cincinnati (9-3) vs Vanderbilt (6-6)
When: Saturday, December 31st, 2011
Where: Liberty Bowl, Memphis, TN
Time: 3:30 ET
TV: ABC

The point spread for this year’s Liberty Bowl between the Cincinnati Bearcats and Vanderbilt Commodores opened up at -1.5 on December 5th in favor of the Commodores at Bovada Sportsbook. As of Monday night (12/26), the line has inched up to -1.5 -115. The total opened up at 48 and has gone up to 48.5. Right now, 69% of the betting public is on Vanderbilt and 56% are on the over. To help you better decide who to bet, take a look at these trends for tonight.


Bearcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in December.

Bearcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.

Commodores are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.

Commodores are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.

Under is 4-1 in Bearcats last 5 games following a ATS win.

Under is 6-2 in Bearcats last 8 Bowl games.

Under is 4-1 in Commodores last 5 games on fieldturf.

Over is 4-1 in Commodores last 5 games as a favorite.

My Prediction: Cincinnati has the rush defense to slow down Vanderbilt’s running attack. The Bearcats only allow 93 yards a game on the ground. The Cincinnati offense will have QB Zach Collaros back behind center. I really don’t think Vandy can keep up with the Bearcats offense in this one.

Cincinnati +1.5

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