Kansas City Chiefs vs Green Bay Packers Preview and Free Pick

Kansas City (1-1) at Green Bay (2-0)
When: Monday, September 28th 2015
Where: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
Time: 8:30 ET
TV: ESPN Radio: XM 225, 226, 88

The Kansas City Chiefs look to rebound from a devastating loss last Thursday night to Denver. The Chiefs had a 7-point lead with under a minute to go when Denver scored 2 touchdowns in 9 seconds to win 31-24. Kansas City was looking to go 2-0 after a Week 1 win in Houston. Jamaal Charles had a big game with 125 yards on 21 carries against Denver, but it went for naught after his second lost fumble of the game snatched a victory away from Kansas City. Charles is averaging 4.9 yards a carry on the season. Quarterback Alex Smith followed up a strong opener with two interceptions against Denver and has a 90.7 QB rating. The Chiefs are tied for 2nd in the league with 8 sacks and only allow 79.5 yards a game on the ground. Kansas City has another tough road game next week in Cincinnati, so a loss tonight could really hurt. If they can stop turning the ball over and committing stupid penalties, they can be one of the best teams in the NFL.

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Green Bay’s offense is still clicking even without WR Jordy Nelson. Aaron Rodgers stats might not be the best, but he does have 5 touchdowns and zero interceptions. With Nelson out, Randall Cobb has stepped up with 154 receiving yards on 13 catches. In Rodgers’ last 18 home games, he has not thrown an interception and has 43 TD’s. The Packers running game has been a pleasant surprise. They are 9th in the NFL with 130 rushing yards a game. Starter Eddie Lacy left last week’s game with an injury, but is expected to play Monday. Backup James Starks filled in admirably for Lacy, rushing for 95 yards on 20 carries against Seattle on Sunday night. Rodgers has also contributed 58 yards on the ground. The Packers run defense has been an issue and will be tested tonight against Charles. Green Bay is 31st in the NFL in rushing defense allowing 154 yards a game. Still, a strong secondary is helping them win games.

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This is a tough one to pick. The Chiefs need to get out to a lead and can some confidence. If they get behind early, it could be a route. Rodgers loves the spotlight and he’s terrific at home. I’ll take the Packers and hope I don’t get back-doored.

Pick: Packers -6.5

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