Celtics vs Nuggets Preview, Odds, Trends, & Free Pick – [1/29/18]

Boston (35-15) at Denver (26-23)
When: Monday, January 29th 2018
Where: Pepsi Center, Denver, CO
Time: 9:05 ET | TV: NBA TV
Opening Odds: Denver -3/207

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The Boston Celtics will seek to come out even as they end their four-game road trip while the Denver Nuggets look to stay hot at home before heading back out on the road. The East-leading Celtics are still clinging on to that top spot despite losing five of their last six games including Saturday night’s setback at Golden State. Boston led most of the night at the defending champion Warriors before falling just short in a 109-105 loss. The Celtics are currently 1-2 on the trip and will face another tough crowd Monday in Denver, where the Nuggets are 19-6 and looking to finish a five-game homestand with a fourth win. Boston’s Kyrie Irving, who had a tough task guarding Steph Curry on Saturday, will be in for another challenge with Jamal Murray, who is averaging 25.3 points on the Nuggets’ homestand. Denver is sitting right on the eighth and final Western Conference playoff spot, but are just 4.5 games behind Minnesota in the competitive Northwest Division. Irving scored 33 points in Boston’s 124-118 home win over Denver on December 13th.

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Irving held his own against the Warriors just fine on Saturday, scoring 37 points on 13-of-18 shooting while going 5-of-6 from 3-point range. The former Cavalier is averaging 32.5 points on 58% shooting over the last four games, including nailing half his shots from beyond the arc. Backup point guard Terry Rozier contributed nine points, five rebound, and three assists against Golden State in 24 minutes before spraining his right ankle and is questionable for Monday. Power forward Al Horford has recorded back-to-back double-doubles with a combined 28 points and 25 boards in the losses to the Lakers and Warriors. Boston will return home to face the New York Knicks on Wednesday.

The home team has won 7 of the last 10 meetings.

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Denver followed up a 130-118 win over the Knicks with a 91-89 victory over the Dallas Mavericks on Saturday, as the showed they can compete in a fast-paced and grind-it-out game. The Nuggets’ offense was spear-headed by center Nikola Jokic on Saturday, who recorded 16 rebounds, 11 assists and earned the triple-double when his go-ahead jumper down the stretch gave him 11 points. Shooting guard Gary Harris led the team with 24 points on Saturday and is averaging 23.5 over his last two while draining 7-of-13 three-pointers. The homestand might be over, but the Nuggets head out for a road game in San Antonio before returning to the Pepsi Center for the next three including Oklahoma City and Golden State.

NBA SCORES – ODDS – PUBLIC PLAYS

I don’t trust Boston right now even though they proved me wrong with a nice cover on Saturday. The Nuggets are sneaky-good and even better at home. I was a little surprised they were favored in this one, but I’m still going to take them.

Pick: Nuggets -1.5

  • Celtics are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Celtics are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Celtics are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Northwest.
  • Celtics are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Celtics are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. Western Conference.
  • Celtics are 19-8 ATS in their last 27 road games.
  • Celtics are 33-16-2 ATS in their last 51 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Celtics are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win.
  • Celtics are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Monday games.
  • Nuggets are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Nuggets are 3-1-2 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Nuggets are 9-4-2 ATS in their last 15 Monday games.
  • Nuggets are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 vs. NBA Atlantic.
  • Nuggets are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
  • Nuggets are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Nuggets are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
  • Nuggets are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Nuggets are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
  • Nuggets are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
  • Over is 8-1 in Celtics last 9 Monday games.
  • Under is 6-2 in Celtics last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 14-5-1 in Celtics last 20 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Over is 8-3 in Celtics last 11 vs. NBA Northwest.
  • Over is 14-6 in Celtics last 20 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Over is 7-3 in Celtics last 10 vs. Western Conference.
  • Under is 19-9-2 in Celtics last 30 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Under is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Under is 5-0 in Nuggets last 5 games following a ATS loss.
  • Under is 8-1 in Nuggets last 9 overall.
  • Under is 7-1 in Nuggets last 8 home games.
  • Under is 7-1 in Nuggets last 8 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 6-1 in Nuggets last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-1 in Nuggets last 6 games following a straight up win.
  • Over is 14-3-1 in Nuggets last 18 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
  • Over is 10-3 in Nuggets last 13 vs. NBA Atlantic.
  • Over is 18-8-1 in Nuggets last 27 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Denver.
  • Celtics are 4-9 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Denver.
  • Celtics are 1-3-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Underdog is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Road team is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

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