Milwaukee (25-19) at Philadelphia (24-17)
When: Wednesday, May 15th, 2019
Where: Citizens Bank Park,
Philadelphia, PA
Time: 7:05 ET | TV: FS Wisconsin,
NBCS Philadelphia
Opening Odds: Philadelphia -142/8.5
Yasmani Grandal set the tone early with a three-run homer and the Milwaukee Brewers cruised to an easy 6-1 victory to even their four-game series at a game apiece with the Philadelphia Phillies on Tuesday. The Brewers snapped a three-game skid with the victory that coincided with a three-game abscence from slugger Ryan Braun. Milwaukee managed just five runs in the three-game losing streak, but Braun’s two-run blast in Tuesday’s contest helped the Brewers remain 2.5 games behind the Chicago Cubs in the NL Central. The New York Mets gained a game on the Phillies, who’s lead in the NL East is still 3.5 games. Braun is now hitting .406 with 14 HR and 43 RBI in 36 career games at Citizens Bank Park. Milwaukee prospect Keston Hiura collected two hits in his major league debut Tuesday, while 1B Jesus Aguilar extended his hitting streak to eight games. The Phillies’ Bryce Harper made two more defensive gems after a game saving catch in Monday’s win, but was seen limping and is reportedly nursing a sore knee. Offensively, Harper now leads the majors with 56 strikeouts including 20 multi-strikeout performances. Philly second baseman Cesar Hernandez has 12 hits (two homers) to go along with seven RBIs and six runs scored in his last nine games. The series finale will be Thursday afternoon at 1:05 ET.
Pitchers: Brewers – Gio Gonzalez (1-0, 1.69 ERA) | Phillies – Jake Arrieta (4-3, 3.78)
Gio Gonzalez will make his fourth start as a member of the Brewers since signing a one-year, $2 million contract, and has looked sharp in his first three. The veteran lefty picked up his first win on Friday while allowing just two hits over 5.2 innings of a 7-0 victory at the Cubs. The Phillies have seen Gonzalez plenty of times when he was a member of the Washington Nationals and has been hit hard in his last three starts at Citizens Bank Park, allowing 12 runs in 15 innings including 12 walks.
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Jake Arrieta has been a little shaky in three of his last four starts and served up three home runs in his last outing at Kansas City on Thursday. The Phillies are 1-3 in those four starts with the only win coming in Arrieta’s worst outing of the season, a 12-9 win over Miami. The veteran right has surrendered eight dingers in his last seven starts. He is 8-6 with a 3.22 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in 17 career meetings with Milwaukee.
Gonzalez has been good, but the Phillies know him all too well and should extend his recent Citizens Bank Park misery in tonight’s game. Arrieta will keep the ball in the park this time around and do enough to help Philadelphia win this one.
Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Wednesday. He is 60-39 +1592 units on the season after a 10-1 run!
Pick: Phillies -126
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BETTING TRENDS:
Brewers are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. National League East.
Brewers are 6-1 in their last 7 games following a win.
Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Brewers are 7-2 in their last 9 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Brewers are 8-3 in their last 11 overall.
Brewers are 8-3 in their last 11 games on grass.
Brewers are 5-2 in their last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Brewers are 3-7 in their last 10 during game 3 of a series.
Brewers are 3-8 in their last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Brewers are 2-6 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 Wednesday games.
Brewers are 5-1 in Gonzalez’s last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Brewers are 4-1 in Gonzalez’s last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Brewers are 8-2 in Gonzalez’s last 10 starts.
Brewers are 8-2 in Gonzalez’s last 10 starts on grass.
Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Phillies are 6-0 in their last 6 games following a loss.
Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 Wednesday games.
Phillies are 6-0 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Phillies are 11-1 in their last 12 during game 3 of a series.
Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Phillies are 26-10 in their last 36 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Phillies are 5-2 in their last 7 overall.
Phillies are 5-2 in their last 7 games on grass.
Phillies are 7-3 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Phillies are 7-3 in their last 10 home games.
Phillies are 9-4 in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Phillies are 6-0 in Arrieta’s last 6 Wednesday starts.
Phillies are 4-1 in Arrieta’s last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Phillies are 4-1 in Arrieta’s last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
Phillies are 2-6 in Arrieta’s last 8 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Phillies are 1-4 in Arrieta’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Phillies are 1-5 in Arrieta’s last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Under is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 overall.
Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 on grass.
Under is 7-2-1 in Brewers last 10 Wednesday games.
Under is 16-5 in Brewers last 21 during game 3 of a series.
Under is 19-6-1 in Brewers last 26 road games.
Under is 28-9 in Brewers last 37 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Under is 5-2 in Brewers last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Brewers last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Brewers last 7 games following a win.
Under is 12-5 in Brewers last 17 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 7-3 in Brewers last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Under is 4-0 in Gonzalez’s last 4 starts on grass.
Under is 4-0 in Gonzalez’s last 4 starts overall.
Under is 8-1-1 in Phillies last 10 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 6-1-1 in Phillies last 8 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Under is 9-2-1 in Phillies last 12 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Over is 10-3 in Phillies last 13 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 6-2-1 in Phillies last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 18-7-1 in Phillies last 26 overall.
Under is 18-7-1 in Phillies last 26 on grass.
Under is 5-2-1 in Phillies last 8 games following a loss.
Under is 7-3 in Phillies last 10 vs. National League Central.
Under is 42-20-4 in Phillies last 66 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 5-0 in Arrieta’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 7-1 in Arrieta’s last 8 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Arrieta’s last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
Under is 5-2 in Arrieta’s last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 7-3 in Arrieta’s last 10 starts on grass.
Under is 7-3 in Arrieta’s last 10 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 7-3 in Arrieta’s last 10 starts overall.
Under is 7-3 in Arrieta’s last 10 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 20-7-1 in the last 28 meetings in Philadelphia.
Brewers are 13-6 in the last 19 meetings in Philadelphia.
