Milwaukee (64-60) at St Louis (65-57)
When: Monday, August 19th, 2019
Where: Busch Stadium,
St Louis, Missouri
Time: 7:45 ET | TV: MLB Network
Opening Odds: St Louis -127/9
The battle for the National League Central is coming down to three teams and two of them meet Monday night in St. Louis to open a key series. The Cardinals will host the Milwaukee Brewers for the first of three, then turn around to play three more in Miller Park starting next Monday. The week will begin with St. Louis and the Cubs tied atop the division with Milwaukee two games back and Chicago playing host to San Francisco starting Tuesday. The Brewers are going to need to get some innings out of Monday’s starter Zach Davies after the bullpen got smoked in Washington over the weekend. Davies is coming off the injured list and might not be able to eat up a ton of innings right away. The Brewers staff allowed 30 runs and 37 hits with 14 walks in splitting the final two games of their series with the Nationals. Milwaukee came out on top of a wild 15-14, 14-inning affair on Saturday before falling 16-8 on Sunday. The Cardinals wrapped-up a 4-2 road trip with a 5-4 at Cincinnati on Sunday as Paul Goldschmidt continues to swing a hot bat. The first baseman belted a two-run homer Sunday and is 5-for-11 with two dingers and two doubles over his last three games.
Pitchers: Brewers – Zach Davies (8-5, 3.74 ERA) | Cardinals – Dakota Hudson (11-6, 3.82)
Davies lost his last three starts prior to hitting the IL with back spasms and recorded an 11.77 ERA in that stretch that included back-to-back losses to the Cubs. He had allowed three runs total in his previous four starts and owns a 2.97 road ERA this season. Davies is 2-2 with a 4.64 ERA lifetime versus St. Louis including a 4-3 loss back in April.
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Hudson is coming off a terrific outing – albeit against Kansas City – when he tossed six shutout innings in the Cardinals’ 6-0 win on Wednesday. He recorded a 7.71 ERA over his previous three outings while giving up 19 hits and seven walks in just 11.2 innings. St. Louis has lost both of his starts against Milwaukee this season and Davies allowed five home runs total in those two outings.
The Brewers have been scoring a lot of runs lately, and their pitching is allowing a bunch as well. I’m not expecting much out of Davies tonight and I’m sure Milwaukee can get to Hudson just like they did earlier this season. Take the over.
Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Monday. He is 111-78 +2098 units on the season after a 12-5 run!
Pick: OVER 9.5 -110
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BETTING TRENDS:
Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Brewers are 16-6 in their last 22 Monday games.
Brewers are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Brewers are 6-13 in their last 19 during game 1 of a series.
Brewers are 1-6 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Brewers are 1-6 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Brewers are 8-3 in Davies’ last 11 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Brewers are 3-7 in Davies’ last 10 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Brewers are 4-12 in Davies’ last 16 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Cardinals are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Cardinals are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
Cardinals are 7-1 in their last 8 Monday games.
Cardinals are 7-2 in their last 9 overall.
Cardinals are 7-2 in their last 9 games on grass.
Cardinals are 21-6 in their last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Cardinals are 16-5 in their last 21 vs. National League Central.
Cardinals are 8-3 in their last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cardinals are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cardinals are 7-3 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series.
Cardinals are 2-5 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cardinals are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Cardinals are 4-0 in Hudson’s last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
Cardinals are 6-0 in Hudson’s last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cardinals are 6-1 in Hudson’s last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
Cardinals are 5-1 in Hudson’s last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cardinals are 5-1 in Hudson’s last 6 home starts.
Cardinals are 13-3 in Hudson’s last 16 starts.
Cardinals are 13-3 in Hudson’s last 16 starts on grass.
Cardinals are 8-2 in Hudson’s last 10 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Cardinals are 7-2 in Hudson’s last 9 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Over is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 games following a loss.
Over is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 overall.
Over is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 on grass.
Over is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 6-2 in Brewers last 8 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 9-3 in Brewers last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 5-2 in Brewers last 7 road games.
Under is 7-3 in Brewers last 10 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 12-2 in Davies’ last 14 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-1 in Davies’ last 5 Monday starts.
Over is 4-1-1 in Davies’ last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Under is 20-5-1 in Davies’ last 26 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 8-2-1 in Davies’ last 11 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 7-2-1 in Davies’ last 10 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 18-6-3 in Davies’ last 27 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 20-7 in Davies’ last 27 starts vs. National League Central.
Under is 8-3-1 in Davies’ last 12 starts during game 1 of a series.
Under is 18-7-1 in Davies’ last 26 road starts.
Under is 22-9-2 in Davies’ last 33 starts on grass.
Under is 33-15-3 in Davies’ last 51 starts overall.
Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games following a win.
Under is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Under is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 Monday games.
Under is 25-7 in Cardinals last 32 home games.
Under is 7-2-2 in Cardinals last 11 vs. National League Central.
Under is 16-5 in Cardinals last 21 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 22-7-1 in Cardinals last 30 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 19-7 in Cardinals last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 18-7-1 in Cardinals last 26 during game 1 of a series.
Under is 23-9-2 in Cardinals last 34 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 38-16-2 in Cardinals last 56 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 34-15-4 in Cardinals last 53 overall.
Under is 34-15-4 in Cardinals last 53 on grass.
Under is 32-15-4 in Cardinals last 51 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 41-20-2 in Cardinals last 63 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 6-0 in Hudson’s last 6 home starts.
Under is 4-1 in Hudson’s last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
Under is 4-1 in Hudson’s last 5 starts on grass.
Over is 4-1 in Hudson’s last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
Under is 4-1 in Hudson’s last 5 starts overall.
Under is 7-2-1 in Hudson’s last 10 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 7-3 in Hudson’s last 10 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Brewers are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings.
