Astros vs Nationals World Series Preview & Free Pick [Game 5]

Houston (2-2) at Washington (2-2)
When: Sunday, October 27th 2019
Where: Nationals Park,
Washington, DC
Time: 8:07 ET | TV: FOX
Opening Odds: Houston -150/7


The 2019 World Series will be heading back to Minute Maid Park on Tuesday for a Game 6 and the team that has the 3-2 series lead will be determined in Sunday night’s Game 5 from Washington, D.C. The Houston Astros exploded for an 8-1 victory over the Washington Nationals and saw one of their stars break out of a slump in a big way. Third baseman Alex Bregman came into Game 4 on a 1-for-13 skid, but gave Houston the lead with an RBI single in the first inning and put the game out of reach in the seventh, when he parked a Fernando Rodney pitch into the seats for a grand slam. The Nationals had won eight consecutive postseason contests before dropping Game 3 and had a streak of nine straight games in which they allowed four runs or fewer come to an end on Saturday. The team’s most glaring weakness all season was their bullpen, and it surrendered four runs on two hits and five walks in the seventh inning alone. The Nationals bats have gone cold since coming home, going 1-for-19 with runners in scoring position over the last two games. Washington will rely on Game 1 winner Max Scherzer to give his team the edge heading back to Houston. The Astros are trying to become the first team to drop the first two games at home and still win the series since the 1996 New York Yankees and will have Gerrit Cole and Justin Verlander lined up for the next two games.

Pitchers: Astros – Gerrit Cole (3-1, 1.82 ERA) | Nationals – Max Scherzer (3-0, 2.16)

Cole’s first loss since May 22nd couldn’t have come at a worse time – Game 1 of the World Series. The Cy Young candidate allowed five runs and eight hits – two homers – and a walk while recording a postseason-low six strikeouts in seven innings. Cole had allowed a total of one run in 22.2 innings in the postseason prior to Game 1.


Scherzer allowed two runs and five hits while striking out seven, but needed 112 pitches to get through five laborus innings. So far this postseason, the former Cy Young Award winner has allowed a total of six runs over 25 innings while recording 34 strikeouts.

We are now down to a best-of-three World Series and I still think it’s anyone’s to win. Houston clearly has the momentum back on their side, but I’m not counting out the Nationals yet. They’ve already proved they can beat Cole and Scherzer will be up to the task here in Game 5.

Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Sunday. He finished 135-95 +2686 units in the regular season!

Pick: Nationals +140


BETTING TRENDS:

Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Astros are 22-5 in their last 27 Sunday games.
Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 playoff road games.
Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 World Series road games.
Astros are 41-11 in their last 52 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Astros are 45-14 in their last 59 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Astros are 15-5 in their last 20 vs. National League East.
Astros are 55-21 in their last 76 games on grass.
Astros are 38-15 in their last 53 overall.
Astros are 40-16 in their last 56 games following a win.
Astros are 7-3 in their last 10 interleague games.
Astros are 56-26 in their last 82 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Astros are 38-18 in their last 56 interleague road games.
Astros are 8-0 in Cole’s last 8 road starts.
Astros are 5-0 in Cole’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Astros are 5-0 in Cole’s last 5 Sunday starts.
Astros are 10-1 in Cole’s last 11 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Astros are 4-1 in Cole’s last 5 interleague starts.
Astros are 54-15 in Cole’s last 69 starts on grass.
Astros are 54-17 in Cole’s last 71 starts.
Astros are 21-7 in Cole’s last 28 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Astros are 18-6 in Cole’s last 24 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Astros are 20-7 in Cole’s last 27 starts with 4 days of rest.
Astros are 19-7 in Cole’s last 26 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Astros are 24-9 in Cole’s last 33 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Astros are 21-8 in Cole’s last 29 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Nationals are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Nationals are 6-1 in their last 7 games following a loss.
Nationals are 5-1 in their last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Nationals are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Nationals are 9-2 in their last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Nationals are 8-2 in their last 10 playoff games.
Nationals are 7-2 in their last 9 interleague games.
Nationals are 7-2 in their last 9 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Nationals are 7-2 in their last 9 Sunday games.
Nationals are 17-5 in their last 22 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Nationals are 6-2 in their last 8 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Nationals are 27-10 in their last 37 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Nationals are 5-2 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Nationals are 42-18 in their last 60 overall.
Nationals are 7-3 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Nationals are 42-18 in their last 60 games on grass.
Nationals are 38-17 in their last 55 home games.
Nationals are 5-0 in Scherzer’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Nationals are 4-0 in Scherzer’s last 4 interleague starts.
Nationals are 9-1 in Scherzer’s last 10 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Nationals are 7-1 in Scherzer’s last 8 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Nationals are 6-1 in Scherzer’s last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Nationals are 5-1 in Scherzer’s last 6 home starts.
Nationals are 4-1 in Scherzer’s last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Nationals are 4-1 in Scherzer’s last 5 Sunday starts.
Nationals are 4-1 in Scherzer’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Nationals are 16-5 in Scherzer’s last 21 starts.
Nationals are 74-36 in Scherzer’s last 110 starts on grass.

Over is 3-0-3 in Astros last 6 during game 5 of a series.
Over is 6-1-1 in Astros last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 on grass.
Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 Sunday games.
Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 overall.
Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 playoff games.
Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 vs. National League East.
Under is 20-5-1 in Astros last 26 interleague road games.
Under is 22-7-2 in Astros last 31 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 22-8-1 in Astros last 31 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 8-3-1 in Astros last 12 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 12-5-1 in Astros last 18 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 7-3 in Astros last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 13-6-1 in Astros last 20 road games.
Under is 4-0 in Cole’s last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 5-1-1 in Cole’s last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
Under is 5-1 in Cole’s last 6 road starts.
Over is 4-1 in Cole’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Cole’s last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 3-1-1 in Cole’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-2-1 in Cole’s last 8 starts on grass.
Under is 5-2-1 in Cole’s last 8 starts overall.
Over is 5-2 in Cole’s last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Over is 3-0-2 in Nationals last 5 during game 5 of a series.
Over is 7-1 in Nationals last 8 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 7-1 in Nationals last 8 interleague games.
Over is 7-1 in Nationals last 8 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 on grass.
Over is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 overall.
Over is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 interleague home games.
Over is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 playoff games.
Over is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 5-1-1 in Nationals last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 9-2 in Nationals last 11 Sunday games.
Over is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Over is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 vs. American League West.
Over is 7-2 in Nationals last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 7-2 in Nationals last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 3-1-1 in Nationals last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 7-3-1 in Nationals last 11 home games.
Over is 16-7-4 in Nationals last 27 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 6-1 in Scherzer’s last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
Under is 9-2 in Scherzer’s last 11 interleague starts.
Over is 4-1-1 in Scherzer’s last 6 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 8-2-2 in Scherzer’s last 12 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Scherzer’s last 7 starts on grass.
Under is 5-2 in Scherzer’s last 7 starts overall.
Under is 5-2 in Scherzer’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Washington.
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Astros are 4-10 in the last 14 meetings in Washington.
Astros are 7-21 in the last 28 meetings.

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