Angels vs Tigers Preview & Free Pick | Prediction [5/8/19]

LA Angels (16-19) at Detroit (15-17)
When: Wednesday, May 8th, 2019
Where: Comerica Park,
Detroit, Michigan
Time: 7:10 ET | TV: FS West, FS Detroit
Opening Odds: Los Angeles -110/8.5


The Los Angeles Angels were on a bit of a roll – winning six of seven – before getting bombed in back-to-back games down in Mexico to the Houston Astros. L.A. got back on track Tuesday with a 5-2 win at the Detroit Tigers behind Andrelton Simmons and David Fletcher to move back to within three games of the .500 mark. The series in Mexico were technically home games, but that started a string of 11 straight games away from home for the Angels who received a pair of RBI singles from Simmons and two hits and an RBI from Fletcher. Simmons is now batting .365 in 14 career games in Detroit. Tuesday’s contest marked the season debut of Shohei Ohtani, who will DH exclusively while he still recovers from Tommy John surgery on his right elbow. The two-way star went hitless in four at-bats with a walk and two strikeouts, while leaving four men on base. The Tigers offense was held to five hits by four Angels pitchers in the series opener and Miguel Cabrera had two of those hits and is 14-for-35 with seven RBIs over his last eight games. Tigers shortstop Jordy Mercer is just 3-for-20 in six games since returning from a quadriceps injury. Lefties Tyler Skaggs and Matthew Boyd will be on the mound Wednesday.

Pitchers: Angels – Tyler Skaggs (3-2, 3.12 ERA) | Tigers – Matthew Boyd (3-2, 3.05)

Skaggs has been solid in his two starts since a stint on the IL, allowing just two earned runs over 11 innings with 10 strikeouts in victories over Kansas City and Toronto. Skaggs was bombed in his only start against Detroit last year, allowing five runs in five innings, but surrendered just one run total over 11.2 innings in his only other two starts against them.


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Boyd has been solid in all six of his starts since getting knocked around in his season debut with the Tigers going 4-2 in those six outings. His latest strong effort came against Kansas City on Friday when he allowed two runs in seven innings, his sixth consecutive quality start. He struck out nine batters for the second straight game and has 57 total over 44.1 innings while holding opponents to a .205 average. Boyd shut out the Angels for five innings at Comerica Park last season before the Angels tagged him for four runs in 5.1 innings in Anaheim last August.

5 of the last 6 games between the Angels and Tigers have gone under the total.

I really like both of these pitchers here. Five of Boyd’s seven starts have gone under while all five of Skaggs’ outings have also gone under. Both teams don’t hit lefties well, with the Angels hitting .203 against them overall and .162 on the road. Detroit is slightly better at .231 but only .095 while at home. Take the under.

Check out who Bobby Babowski has on his Free MLB Picks page for Wednesday. He is 55-38 +1074 units on the season, has won 5 in a row and 10 of his last 13!

Pick: UNDER 8 +110


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BETTING TRENDS:

Angels are 9-1 in their last 10 vs. American League Central.
Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Angels are 26-10 in their last 36 vs. a team with a losing record.
Angels are 5-2 in their last 7 overall.
Angels are 5-2 in their last 7 games on grass.
Angels are 16-35 in their last 51 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Angels are 3-7 in their last 10 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Angels are 15-36 in their last 51 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Angels are 2-5 in their last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Angels are 5-15 in their last 20 road games.
Angels are 2-7 in their last 9 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Angels are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
Angels are 0-4 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Angels are 4-1 in Skaggs’ last 5 Wednesday starts.
Angels are 5-2 in Skaggs’ last 7 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Angels are 7-3 in Skaggs’ last 10 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Tigers are 6-1 in their last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Tigers are 7-3 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Tigers are 19-41 in their last 60 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Tigers are 16-36 in their last 52 during game 2 of a series.
Tigers are 3-7 in their last 10 overall.
Tigers are 3-7 in their last 10 games on grass.
Tigers are 16-44 in their last 60 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Tigers are 14-42 in their last 56 vs. American League West.
Tigers are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
Tigers are 3-10 in their last 13 Wednesday games.
Tigers are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Tigers are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Tigers are 5-0 in Boyd’s last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Tigers are 13-3 in Boyd’s last 16 home starts.
Tigers are 4-1 in Boyd’s last 5 Wednesday starts.
Tigers are 4-1 in Boyd’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Tigers are 8-3 in Boyd’s last 11 starts on grass.
Tigers are 5-2 in Boyd’s last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Tigers are 2-6 in Boyd’s last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.

Over is 7-0 in Angels last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Over is 4-0 in Angels last 4 during game 2 of a series.
Over is 4-1 in Angels last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Angels last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 15-5-1 in Angels last 21 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 6-2-1 in Angels last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 14-5 in Angels last 19 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 11-4-1 in Angels last 16 road games.
Under is 8-3 in Angels last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 34-14-3 in Angels last 51 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 46-22-3 in Angels last 71 games following a win.
Under is 5-0 in Skaggs’ last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 4-0 in Skaggs’ last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Under is 6-0-1 in Skaggs’ last 7 starts on grass.
Under is 5-0 in Skaggs’ last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
Under is 4-0 in Skaggs’ last 4 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Skaggs’ last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 3-0-1 in Skaggs’ last 4 road starts.
Under is 4-0 in Skaggs’ last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 6-0-1 in Skaggs’ last 7 starts overall.
Under is 3-0-1 in Skaggs’ last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-2-1 in Skaggs’ last 8 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games following a loss.
Under is 7-1 in Tigers last 8 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 home games.
Under is 8-2 in Tigers last 10 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 7-2-1 in Tigers last 10 vs. American League West.
Over is 9-3 in Tigers last 12 Wednesday games.
Over is 15-5-1 in Tigers last 21 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 5-2-1 in Tigers last 8 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 5-2 in Tigers last 7 overall.
Under is 5-2 in Tigers last 7 on grass.
Under is 4-1 in Boyd’s last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
Under is 4-1 in Boyd’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 10-3 in Boyd’s last 13 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 3-1-1 in Boyd’s last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
Under is 6-2 in Boyd’s last 8 starts vs. American League West.
Under is 10-4-2 in Boyd’s last 16 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Under is 5-2 in Boyd’s last 7 starts overall.
Under is 11-5-1 in Boyd’s last 17 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Under is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings in Detroit.
Angels are 32-12 in the last 44 meetings.

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