Angels vs Red Sox Preview & Free Pick | Prediction [6/27/18]

LA Angels (41-39) at Boston (53-27)
When: Wednesday, June 27th 2018
Where: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Time: 7:10 ET | TV: MLB Network
Opening Odds: Boston -145/9.5 


The Boston Red Sox are tuning up for their big weekend series with the New York Yankees by continuing to dominate the Los Angeles Angels. The Red Sox took the opener of a three-game set by homering four times in a 9-1 triumph and can go for the series win on Wednesday when Rick Porcello goes up against lefty Andrew Heaney. J.D. Martinez and Jackie Bradley, Jr. belted two of the home runs Tuesday, with Martinez improving to 11-for-22 with two homers, six RBIs and eight runs scored during his five-game hitting streak. Martinez has also been a big part of how the Red Sox have dominated the season series thus far by going 10-for-17 with two homers against Los Angeles. Boston has outscored (36-4) and out-hit (57-19) the Angels in winning the first four contests of 2018 after the Angels took the 2017 series 4-2. While Boston has won four of five to remain right behind the Yankees in the AL East, Los Angeles has lost four in a row and 11 of 15 to fall 11.5 games behind Houston in the AL West and eight games out of a Wild Card. Superstar Mike Trout is 20-for-44 in his last 13 games and has reached base safely in 16 of 17 career games at Fenway Park. Second baseman Ian Kinsler has hit safely in nine of his last 11 games versus Boston after going 2-for-4 on Tuesday.

Pitchers: Angels – Andrew Heaney (4-5, 3.43 ERA) | Red Sox – Rick Porcello (9-3, 3.44)

Heaney has some pretty severe splits this season when it comes to home and road games, going 4-1 with an 0.88 ERA in his last six starts at Angel Stadium and 0-3 with a 5.13 ERA in six road starts this season. Heaney allowed one run in seven innings of a 2-1 triumph versus Toronto at home last time out. He has made one career appearance against Boston, allowing two runs on five hits in seven innings of a 7-3 victory three years ago.


Porcello is also coming off a strong outing, allowing just one hit over seven scoreless innings in a 9-2 victory at Minnesota on Thursday. Porcello was on the winning end of his last meeting with the Angels back in April, scattering six hits and striking out six over six innings in a 9-0 rout. That win improved Porcello to 7-7 in his career against Los Angeles.

I would like to say the Angels are good dog pick here, but they just aren’t playing well right now and the Red Sox own this team. Porcello may not be having the Cy Young season he had two years ago, but he’s still pretty good. This should be another easy win for Boston.

Pick: Red Sox -140


BETTING TRENDS:

  • Angels are 7-3 in their last 10 during game 2 of a series.
  • Angels are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Angels are 1-5 in their last 6 games following a loss.
  • Angels are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Angels are 1-9 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
  • Angels are 0-4 in their last 4 road games.
  • Angels are 0-4 in their last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Angels are 0-4 in their last 4 overall.
  • Angels are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Angels are 0-4 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Angels are 0-4 in their last 4 games on grass.
  • Angels are 4-0 in Heaney’s last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
  • Angels are 4-1 in Heaney’s last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
  • Angels are 2-5 in Heaney’s last 7 starts vs. American League East.
  • Angels are 2-5 in Heaney’s last 7 starts.
  • Angels are 2-5 in Heaney’s last 7 starts on grass.
  • Angels are 2-5 in Heaney’s last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Angels are 2-6 in Heaney’s last 8 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Angels are 1-4 in Heaney’s last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
  • Angels are 1-6 in Heaney’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Angels are 1-6 in Heaney’s last 7 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Angels are 1-7 in Heaney’s last 8 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Angels are 0-5 in Heaney’s last 5 road starts.
  • Angels are 0-4 in Heaney’s last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Red Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
  • Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games on grass.
  • Red Sox are 24-8 in their last 32 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Red Sox are 21-8 in their last 29 Wednesday games.
  • Red Sox are 13-5 in their last 18 home games.
  • Red Sox are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Red Sox are 35-17 in their last 52 games following a win.
  • Red Sox are 53-26 in their last 79 overall.
  • Red Sox are 6-1 in Porcello’s last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Red Sox are 9-2 in Porcello’s last 11 starts with 5 days of rest.
  • Red Sox are 4-1 in Porcello’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Red Sox are 4-1 in Porcello’s last 5 Wednesday starts.
  • Red Sox are 20-7 in Porcello’s last 27 starts during game 2 of a series.
  • Red Sox are 5-2 in Porcello’s last 7 home starts.
  • Red Sox are 9-4 in Porcello’s last 13 starts on grass.
  • Red Sox are 5-11 in Porcello’s last 16 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Red Sox are 1-4 in Porcello’s last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
  • Red Sox are 0-5 in Porcello’s last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Over is 2-0-2 in Angels last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Over is 3-0-3 in Angels last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 6-1-2 in Angels last 9 road games.
  • Over is 6-1-3 in Angels last 10 games following a loss.
  • Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 Wednesday games.
  • Over is 4-1 in Angels last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
  • Over is 4-1 in Angels last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Over is 4-1-3 in Angels last 8 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 9-3-3 in Angels last 15 overall.
  • Over is 9-3-3 in Angels last 15 on grass.
  • Under is 5-2-1 in Angels last 8 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Over is 5-2-2 in Angels last 9 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-2-1 in Angels last 8 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Under is 7-3-3 in Angels last 13 vs. American League East.
  • Over is 7-3-1 in Angels last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Over is 23-11-3 in Angels last 37 during game 2 of a series.
  • Under is 5-0-2 in Heaney’s last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
  • Under is 7-0-2 in Heaney’s last 9 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 6-0 in Heaney’s last 6 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-0-1 in Heaney’s last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 6-1-2 in Heaney’s last 9 starts on grass.
  • Under is 6-1-2 in Heaney’s last 9 starts overall.
  • Under is 6-1-2 in Heaney’s last 9 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-1 in Heaney’s last 6 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-1-1 in Heaney’s last 6 road starts.
  • Under is 8-2-2 in Heaney’s last 12 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 3-1-1 in Heaney’s last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
  • Under is 6-2 in Heaney’s last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.
  • Under is 3-1-1 in Heaney’s last 5 starts vs. American League East.
  • Under is 8-0 in Red Sox last 8 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-0-1 in Red Sox last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Over is 3-0-1 in Red Sox last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Under is 8-1-1 in Red Sox last 10 home games.
  • Under is 4-1-1 in Red Sox last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Under is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 Wednesday games.
  • Over is 11-3 in Red Sox last 14 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
  • Under is 7-2-1 in Red Sox last 10 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 3-1-1 in Red Sox last 5 games following a win.
  • Over is 5-2-1 in Red Sox last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Under is 5-2-1 in Red Sox last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Under is 13-6-1 in Red Sox last 20 overall.
  • Under is 13-6-1 in Red Sox last 20 on grass.
  • Over is 7-1-1 in Porcello’s last 9 starts overall.
  • Over is 6-1-1 in Porcello’s last 8 starts on grass.
  • Over is 5-1 in Porcello’s last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.
  • Over is 4-1 in Porcello’s last 5 Wednesday starts.
  • Over is 4-1 in Porcello’s last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
  • Over is 4-1 in Porcello’s last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-1 in Porcello’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 4-1 in Porcello’s last 5 starts vs. American League West.
  • Under is 16-5 in Porcello’s last 21 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 10-4 in Porcello’s last 14 starts with 5 days of rest.
  • Over is 5-2 in Porcello’s last 7 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.
  • Angels are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings.

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