Angels vs Indians Preview, Odds, Trends, & Free Pick [7/25/17]

By
Jay Cooper
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LA Angels (49-51) at Cleveland (51-45)
When: Tuesday, July 25th 2017
Where: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
Time: 7:10 ET | TV: FSN West, STO
Opening Odds: Cleveland -180/10

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The Cleveland Indians will try and stay hot at home when they open a three-game series with the Los Angeles Angles on Tuesday night. Cleveland has won four straight overall – all at home – to get over .500 at Progressive Field since winning their home opener on April 11th. Two homers by Carlos Santana and more solid pitching lifted Cleveland to a 6-2 win over Cincinnati on Monday, giving them a 25-24 mark at home. The Indians have given up a total of seven runs during the winning streak and give the ball Tuesday to one of their hottest pitchers. Mike Clevinger has a minuscule 0.75 ERA over his last four starts. Indians All-Star 3B Jose Ramirez is 0-for-8 over his last two games after recording three straight two-hit performances. The Angels are three games out of the second Wild Card spot in the AL after taking two of three from the Boston Red Sox over the weekend. They’ve allowed a total of 11 runs over the course of a 3-1 stretch thanks in part to a solid bullpen effort. The pen has posted 12 scoreless innings over its last four games while allowing only two hits. Superstar Mike Trout has homered in three of his last five games, while Andrelton Simmons is 5-for-12 with two homers and four RBIs in his last three games.

Pitchers: Angels – Jesse Chavez (5-10, 4.88 ERA) | Indians – Mike Clevinger (5-3, 2.73)

Jesse Chavez is winless (0-4) over his last seven starts, but has allowed three runs or fewer in four straight outings. He’s coming off a solid no-decision on Tuesday against the Washington Nationals in which he allowed two runs in six innings, while striking out five batters and did not issue a walk for the fourth time this year. Chavez earned the win at Progressive Field in his only career start against the Indians in 2014, although he has faced them 11 other times in relief.

How hot is Clevinger? He has thrown exactly six innings in each of his last four starts while allowing only 10 hits in that 24-inning stretch. Clevinger limited San Francisco to one unearned run and three hits while striking out seven in a no-decision last Tuesday. The former Angels draft pick allowed one run and one hit in 5.2 innings to defeat Los Angeles in his only prior encounter last year.

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Let’s see – Chavez hasn’t won a game since June 6th and Clevinger hasn’t lost since that same day. The Tribe are starting to play like they did last year when they won the AL pennant and are finally winning at home. I’ll take the runline in this one.

Pick: Indians -1.5 +120

W/L TRENDS

LA Angels
  • Angels are 13-3 in their last 16 Tuesday games.
  • Angels are 22-46 in their last 68 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
  • Angels are 2-5 in their last 7 road games.
  • Angels are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. American League Central.
  • Angels are 0-6 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.
  • Angels are 0-4 in their last 4 games following an off day.
  • Angels are 0-4 in Chavez’s last 4 starts.
  • Angels are 0-4 in Chavez’s last 4 starts on grass.
Cleveland
  • Indians are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Indians are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Indians are 6-1 in their last 7 home games.
  • Indians are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Indians are 18-7 in their last 25 vs. American League West.
  • Indians are 0-6 in their last 6 Tuesday games.
  • Indians are 1-4 in Clevinger’s last 5 home starts.
  • Indians are 0-4 in Clevinger’s last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.
  • Indians are 0-4 in Clevinger’s last 4 Tuesday starts.

OU TRENDS

LA Angels
  • Under is 4-0-1 in Angels last 5 road games.
  • Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 Tuesday games.
  • Under is 12-3-2 in Angels last 17 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Under is 16-5-2 in Angels last 23 overall.
  • Under is 16-5-2 in Angels last 23 on grass.
  • Over is 6-2-1 in Angels last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
  • Under is 36-17-1 in Angels last 54 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Under is 19-9-1 in Angels last 29 vs. American League Central.
  • Under is 47-23-4 in Angels last 74 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 4-0 in Chavez’s last 4 starts on grass.
  • Under is 4-0 in Chavez’s last 4 starts overall.
  • Under is 5-2 in Chavez’s last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.
Cleveland
  • Under is 3-0-1 in Indians last 4 Tuesday games.
  • Under is 9-3-1 in Indians last 13 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Over is 3-1-1 in Indians last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Over is 5-2-1 in Indians last 8 overall.
  • Over is 5-2-1 in Indians last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Over is 5-2-1 in Indians last 8 on grass.
  • Under is 5-0 in Clevinger’s last 5 starts vs. American League West.
  • Under is 7-1 in Clevinger’s last 8 home starts.
  • Under is 5-1 in Clevinger’s last 6 starts on grass.
  • Under is 5-1 in Clevinger’s last 6 starts overall.
  • Under is 8-2 in Clevinger’s last 10 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Under is 23-11 in the last 34 meetings in Cleveland.
  • Angels are 0-7 in the last 7 meetings in Cleveland.
  • Angels are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings.

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