Giancarlo Stanton hasn’t cracked 30 home runs in the past two seasons for the Miami Marlins, but he’s still the betting favorite on the odds to be the MLB home run leader this year.
In all fairness, Stanton has missed considerable time due to injury in both 2015 and 2016, but he’s probably the best bomber in baseball when healthy. In 2015 Stanton hit his 27 home runs in just 74 games, while he hit his 27 home runs over a 119-games in 2016. Those are 59 home run and 37 home run paces if he’d managed to stay in the Miami lineup.
Can Stanton stay healthy in 2017? The outfielder is the +800 favorite on the odds to lead baseball in home runs this season, and to pay out he’ll need to stay on the field for the majority of the season, if not all. Back in 2014 Stanton played 145 games and he hit 37 home runs.
Third baseman Nolan Arenado of the Colorado Rockies trails Stanton at +900 on the odds to lead the league in home runs this season, after he finished sixth in baseball last season with 41 home runs. Arenado also blasted 42 home runs for the Rockies two seasons ago.
Tied for third best odds is Kris Bryant of the Chicago Cubs and Chris Davis of the Baltimore Orioles at +1000 on the prop wager. Third baseman Bryant hit 39 home runs for the champion Cubs last season, after hitting 26 as a rookie in 2015. First baseman Davis hit 38 home runs for the Orioles last season, down from his total of 47 home runs during the 2015 campaign.
Davis’ Orioles teammates Manny Machado and Mark Trumbo join the Washington Nationals’ Bryce Harper, the Seattle Mariners’ Nelson Cruz, and the Cleveland Indians’ Edwin Encarnacion at +1400 on the odds to hit the most home runs in baseball this season. Trumbo led all players with 47 home runs in 2016, while Cruz was second with 43. Encarnacion, who left the Blue Jays to sign with Cleveland, hit 42 home runs last season.
Machado is coming off a 37 home run season, while Harper had just 24 home runs in a down year for the outfielder. Harper hit 42 home runs in just six more games for the Nats in 2015.
It’s then Josh Donaldson of the Blue Jays at +1600 on the home run betting prop, with Kyle Schwarber of the Cubs at +1800, and both Mike Trout of the Los Angeles Angels and Paul Goldschmidt of the Arizona Diamondbacks at +2000. Brian Dozier of the Minnesota Twins, who is coming off a 42 home run season, is listed farther back at +3300 odds for this season.