2006 MPC Computers Bowl Preview and Pick: Nevada vs. Miami ]]> include($base_url . “/includes/header.htm”); ?>
|Nevada Wolf Pack (8-4) +3.5, o/u 42.5 vs. Miami Hurricanes (6-6) on Sunday, December 31, 2006 at 7:30 p.m. Eastern on ESPN |
by Ultimatecapper.com Staff
The Nevada Wolf Pack come into this game as winners of 5 of their last 6 games. They lost the season finale to Boise State by a score of 7-38.
The Miami Hurricanes struggled towards the end of the season as they had a 4 game losing streak before salvaging a bowl bid with a season finale win against Georgia Tech. The disappointing season cost Head Coach Larry Coker his job but he will be coaching in the bowl game.
The Wolf Pack, tied for 3rd in the WAC, will be making their 2nd straight bowl appearance after beating Central Florida last year 49-48.
The Hurricanes, 4th in the ACC Coastal Division, will be making their 9th straight bowl appearance. In those 8 previous bowl games they are 6-2.
These two teams have no recent matchups and did not face any common opponents this season.
Nevada was 10-2 against the spread this season. Miami was 3-7-1 against the number this year.
The Wolf Pack are led by Senior QB Jeff Rowe. He is completing 64.7% of his passes and has thrown for 1,715 yards this season. He has thrown for 16 touchdowns and has 7 interceptions this season.
The Hurricanes are led by Junior QB Kyle Wright who has a 60.8% completion rate and has thrown for 1,655 yards this season. He has 8 touchdowns and has thrown 7 interceptions.
Nevada averages 178 yards rushing per game and their defense allows 136 yards rushing per game. Miami is also outrushing by their opponents by a margin of 123-66.
The Wolf Pack rank 19th in scoring offense in Division 1 (out of 119 teams) by averaging 30.9 points per game. Miami is ranked 89th in scoring offense by averaging 19.5 points per game.
Nevada is ranked 46th in total yards per game with 363.1 yards per game. Miami is ranked 87th with an average of 314.6 yards per game.
The Wolf Pack defense is ranked 33rd giving up an average 19.0 points per game. The Hurricanes’ defense is ranked 14th giving up an average 15.1 points per game.
Nevada’s defense is ranked 55th in total yards by giving up an average of 327.6 yards per game. Miami is ranked 5th giving up 249.6 yards per game.
Nevada averages 5.6 yards per play while giving up an average of 5.4 yards per play. Miami averages 5.1 YPP while giving up 4.4 YPP.
The Over/Under is 4-8 in Nevada games this season, 1-10 in Miami games.
The Sagarin PREDICTOR ratings at USAToday.com rank the Wolf Pack #52 at 74.23. Miami ranks #60 at 72.01.
The opening line on this game was Miami -3 with a total of 43. The line has moved up to Miami -3.5 while the total has moved down to 42. At the time of this writing the betting public was backing Miami by a margin of 67%-33%.
The Ultimatecapper Prediction: We suggest a wager on the underdog in this game as we think the wrong team is favored and we expect a SU win out of the Wolf Pack. We also like a small play on the under in this game.
Nevada 20 Miami 17