2006 Emerald Bowl Preview and Pick: Florida State vs. UCLA ]]> include($base_url . “/includes/header.htm”); ?>
|Florida State Seminoles (6-6) +4.5, o/u 41 vs.UCLA Bruins (9-4) on Wednesday, December 27, 2006 at 8:00 p.m. Easternon ESPN |
by Ultimatecapper.com Staff
The Florida State Seminoles come into this game losers of 4 of their last 6 games. The Seminoles have struggled on offense which has led to the resignation of the offensive coordinator, Jeff Bowden.
The UCLA Bruins come into the game as winners of 3 straight including and impressive defensive performance in their 13-9 victory against cross-town rival USC.
The Seminoles, 5th place in the Atlantic division of the Atlantic Coast conference, struggled to gain bowl eligibility this year. They are 8-6 SU and 7-7 ATS in their bowl games since 1992.
The Bruins, 4th place in the Pacific 10 conference, have struggled in bowl games as they are 3-6 SU and ATS since 1992. However, they did win their bowl game last year by outscoring Northwestern 50-38.
These two teams have no recent meetings and did not have any common opponents this year.
Florida State has posted a 5-7 record against the spread this season. UCLA was very impressive delivering an 8-3 record against the number this year.
The Seminoles are led by Freshman QB Drew Weatherford who is completing 56.7% of his passes and has thrown for 1,829 yards this season. He has thrown for 11 touchdowns and 10 interceptions this season.
The Bruins are led by Sophomore QB Patrick Cowan who has a 54.4% completion rate and has thrown for 1,542 yards this season. He has 9 touchdowns and has thrown 7 interceptions.
Florida State averages 96 yards rushing per game and their defense allows 84 yards rushing per game. UCLA is outrushing their opponents by a margin of 124-90.
The Seminoles rank 54th in scoring offense in Division 1 (out of 119 teams) by averaging 25.1 points per game. UCLA is ranked 71st in scoring offense by averaging 22.7 points per game.
Florida State is ranked 73rd in total yards per game with 322.0 yards per game. UCLA is ranked 76th with an average of 321.4 yards per game.
The Seminoles defense is ranked 35th giving up an average 19.2 points per game. The Bruins’ defense is ranked 28th giving up an average 17.9 points per game.
Florida State’s defense is ranked 15th in total yards by giving up an average of 278.9 yards per game. UCLA is ranked 33rd giving up 304.8 yards per game.
Florida State averages 5.3 yards per play while giving up an average of 4.4 yards per play. UCLA averages 5.0 YPP while giving up 4.8 YPP.
The Over/Under is 6-5 in Florida State games this season, 2-10 in UCLA games.
The Sagarin PREDICTOR ratings at USAToday.com rank the Seminoles #51 at 74.25. UCLA ranks #20 at 83.79.
The opening line on this game was UCLA -5.5 with a total of 40.5. The line has been bet down to UCLA -4.5 while the total has moved to 41. At the time of this writing the betting public was backing UCLA by a margin of 70%-30%.
The Ultimatecapper Prediction: We suggest a wager on the underdog grabbing the points in this game as we see Florida State winning this game.
Florida State 21 UCLA 20