2006 Cotton Bowl Preview and Pick ]]> include($base_url . “/includes/header.htm”); ?>
|Nebraska Cornhuskers (9-4) +1.5, o/u 46 vs. Auburn Tigers (10-2) on Monday, January 1, 2007 at 11:30 a.m. Eastern on Fox |
by Ultimatecapper.com Staff
The Nebraska Cornhuskers come into this game winners of 3 of their last 4 games. They lost their final game in the Big 12 championship to Oklahoma by a score of 21-7.
The Auburn Tigers have won 5 of their last 6 games and have only allowed 15 points per game in those 5 games that they won.
The Cornhuskers, 1st place in the Big 12 North, had a record 35 consecutive bowl appearance ended in 2004 but will now be making their 2nd straight bowl game. They defeated Michigan last year by a score of 32-28.
The Tigers, tied for 2nd in the SEC West Division, will be making their 7th straight bowl appearance. They have won 3 of their last 4 bowl games.
These teams have no recent matchups and did not face any common opponents this year.
Nebraska was 7-4-1 against the spread this season. Auburn was 5-6 against the number this year.
The Cornhuskers are led by Senior QB Zac Taylor. He is completing 60.0% of his passes and has thrown for 3,071 yards this season. He has thrown for 25 touchdowns and 7 interceptions this season.
The Tigers are led by Junior QB Brandon Cox who has a 61.2% completion rate and has thrown for 2,087 yards this season. He has 13 touchdowns and has thrown 9 interceptions.
Nebraska averages 176 yards rushing per game and their defense allows 120 yards rushing per game. Auburn is outrushing their opponents by a margin of 155-126.
The Cornhuskers rank 13th in scoring offense in Division 1 (out of 119 teams) by averaging 31.8 points per game. Auburn is ranked 49th in scoring offense by averaging 25.4 points per game.
Nebraska is ranked 9th in total yards per game with 428.8 yards per game. Auburn is ranked 68th with an average of 332.8 yards per game.
The Cornhuskers defense is ranked 31st giving up an average 18.4 points per game. The Tigers’ defense is ranked 7th giving up an average 13.9 points per game.
Nebraska’s defense is ranked 69th in total yards by giving up an average of 343.7 yards per game. Auburn is ranked 25th giving up 297.5 yards per game.
Nebraska averages 6.2 yards per play while giving up an average of 5.4 yards per play. Auburn averages 5.7 YPP while giving up 5.0 YPP.
The Over/Under is 7-5 in Nebraska games this season, 6-5 in Auburn games.
The Sagarin PREDICTOR ratings at USAToday.com rank the Cornhuskers #31 at 79.81. Auburn ranks #13 at 86.34.
The opening line on this game was Auburn -3 with a total of 44.5. The line has moved down to Auburn -1.5 and the total has gone up to 46. At the time of this writing the betting public was backing Auburn by a margin of 70%-30%.
The Ultimatecapper Prediction: We have another game where the public is on the favorite and yet the line is moving down. We think the Cornhuskers will win this game outright so we suggest a wager on Nebraska plus the points.
Nebraska 24 Auburn 20