Week 7 NFL Picks
Buffalo Bills @ Oakland Raiders
by Bobby Babowski of Ultimatecapper.com
OAKLAND RAIDERS (-3) over Buffalo Bills
The (1-4) Oakland Raiders host the (3-3) BuffaloBills this week in what seems to already be a MUST WIN GAME forthe Silver and Black in only Week #7 of the 17 week long season.The Raiders QB Kerry Collins will probably be without his starWR Randy Moss who is doubtful for Sundays game with multiple injuries.Heck, Moss being doubtful may be a blessing in disguise as somechange is obviously needed here to get the ball rolling for Oakland.Once again, I love the fact that Oakland is coming off of an embarrassinghome loss to the Chargers losing 27-14 and they should bounceback here in this spot. Oakland is not playing as bad as their1-4 record may indicate as they have lost a few close games ,L 30-20 to the Pats , L 23-17 to the Chiefs and L 23-20 to theEagles.
Kerry Collins will have to mix up his passinggame with a lot of running from RB Lamont Jordan as the Billshave the BEST PASS DEFENSE in the entire NFL allowing only 136yards per game. Oakland’s Defense will key on the run puttingBuffalo QB Kelly Holcomb in dangerous passing situations all daylong as the Bills are second last in the league in passing at111 yards per game. Again, Buffalo ranks near the bottom of theleague in Passing Offense and understands that they will haveto run the ball effectively with RB Willis McGahee in order tocome out on top this Sunday.
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The Buffalo Bills are coming off of back to backimpressive division wins defeating both the Dolphins and Jetsin the past 2 weeks. Buffalo will need to stop the run if theyplan on winning this game as their Overall Defense is ranked inthe TOP 5 in the NFL, BUT their RUN DEFENSE is ranked 29th inthe league allowing 159 yards per game. I like the Raiders a lotin this spot and believe they will win and cover the small fieldgoal spread. Buffalo also may be looking ahead as they have aSunday night game on deck the following week with the SB champs,New England Patriots! Buffalo won big over their division foes,New York Jets last week and play in a sandwich game situationhere. Oakland runs RB Lamont Jordan down the Bills throats enroute to a convincing victory which they desperately need.
Stats and Trends
OAK is 5-2 ATS last 7 meetings
Oakland is 5-2-0 ATS in its last 7 games after scoring 10 to 20points
Buffalo is 9-4-0 ATS in its last 13 games
Buffalo is 2-5-0 ATS in its last 7 games against Oakland
Buffalo is 4-2-0 ATS in its last 6 away games
Bobby's Pick: Take the RAIDERS (-3) overthe Bills
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