Virginia vs VCU Preview, Odds, Trends, & Free Pick – [11/17/17]

Virginia (2-0) at Virginia Commonwealth (2-0)
When: Friday, November 17th 2017
Where: Stuart C. Siegel Center, Richmond, VA
Time: 4:00 ET | TV: CBS Sports Network
Opening Odds: Virginia -6.5/132

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Two teams who lost a lot of key players in the offseason will square-off in an early-season litmus test on Friday afternoon as the Virginia Commonwealth Rams host the Virginia Cavaliers. With the graduation of point guard London Perrantes and the transfer of three others, Virginia is clearly rebuilding a program that won 23 games a season ago and advanced to the second round of the NCAA Tournament. A pair of freshmen made their presence felt on Monday as De’Andre Hunter and Jay Huff were key in the win over Austin Peay. The 6’7″, 222-pound Hunter, who played 10 minutes Friday in Virginia’s season-opening win over UNC Greensboro, made all three of his shots from the floor, including a 3-pointer, and scored 13 points in 21 minutes in a 93-49 victory over Austin Peay. The 7’1″, 230-pound Huff, who did not play in the opener, hit his first six shots and finished with 16 points, four rebounds, five blocks and two assists in 24 minutes. Despite losing four starters from a 26-9 team that made the NCAA Tournament, first-year coach Mike Rhoades has led VCU to double-digit wins over Grambling and North Florida. Rhoades, an assistant on the Rams’ 2011 Final Four team and the head coach at Rice last season, came back after Will Wade left for the LSU job. Virginia leads the series 11-2, including a 74-57 victory in the last meeting in Richmond in December of 2014.

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Senior Devon Hall, who averaged 8.4 points and 4.4 rebounds last season, scored a career-high 19 points against the Governors and is tied for the team lead in minutes per game at 27. Sophomore guard Kyle Guy is contributing 15 points per game. The Cavaliers, who led the country in scoring defense (56.4) last season, have surrendered 48.5 points per game on 34.7% shooting in the two wins to open the season. Virginia will play Monmouth next before games against Vanderbilt and Wisconsin.

The road team has taken the past three meetings.

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The Rams are the only team besides Kansas to win 24 games in each of the last seven seasons and beat North Florida 95-85 on Monday led by Justin Tilman’s 27 points on a sizzling 13-of-17 shooting. The senior is averaging 20.5 points and nine rebounds in just 20.5 minutes through the first two games. Khris Lane, a graduate transfer from Longwood, is averaging 14 points and six rebounds while senior Jonathan Williams, who has started 30 games during his career, is averaging 12.5 points, 6.5 assists and 3.5 rebounds. VCU will play Marquette on Monday in the Maui Invitational.

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VCU is going to have a hard time scoring against this Tony Bennett defense as they try and rebuild. On the other hand, I don’t think the Cavaliers have enough offense to cover a seven-point spread on the road in a hostile environment. I’ll take the points and hope that VCU is not looking ahead to their Hawaii trip.

Pick: VCU +7

  • Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Friday games.
  • Cavaliers are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game.
  • Cavaliers are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
  • Cavaliers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game.
  • Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Cavaliers are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 vs. Atlantic 10.
  • Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.
  • Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Cavaliers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Rams are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 Friday games.
  • Rams are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game.
  • Rams are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
  • Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Atlantic Coast.
  • Rams are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
  • Over is 4-0 in Cavaliers last 4 vs. Atlantic 10.
  • Under is 20-6-1 in Cavaliers last 27 road games.
  • Under is 10-3-1 in Cavaliers last 14 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game.
  • Under is 21-8-1 in Cavaliers last 30 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Under is 21-8-1 in Cavaliers last 30 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Under is 5-2 in Cavaliers last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Under is 20-8-1 in Cavaliers last 29 games following a ATS win.
  • Under is 24-11-1 in Cavaliers last 36 games following a straight up win.
  • Under is 13-6-1 in Cavaliers last 20 overall.
  • Over is 5-0 in Rams last 5 non-conference games.
  • Under is 8-1 in Rams last 9 vs. Atlantic Coast.
  • Over is 6-2 in Rams last 8 Friday games.
  • Over is 7-3 in Rams last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

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