Virginia Cavaliers vs Louisville Cardinals Preview & Prediction

#11 Virginia (16-4, 5-3) at #16 Louisville (17-3, 6-1)
When: Saturday, January 30th 2016
Where: KFC Yum! Center, Louisville, KY
Time: 1:00 ET | TV: CBS

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The Virginia Cavaliers look to keep pace in the Atlantic Coast Conference on Saturday when they visit the Louisville Cardinals. Virginia earned their first conference road win on Tuesday when they scored 18 points over the final 1:16 and Darius Thompson hit a off-balance bank shot as time expired to beat Wake Forest 72-71. The Cavaliers are the best three-point shooting team in the ACC and 19th in the country, but they started the game 1-of-13 from beyond the arc before hitting their last four in the furious rally. They also commit a league-low 9.3 turnovers a game – tied for the best mark in the nation. Leading scorer Malcolm Brogdon (17.6 points) has ten 20-point games this season after tying a career high with 28 against the Demon Deacons and needs only two points to pass Donald Hand (1,486, 1998-2001) for 18th place on the school’s all-time scoring list. London Perrantes (11.7) leads the conference in 3-point field-goal percentage (52.7) while Anthony Gill (15 points, 6 rebounds per game) is fourth in field-goal percentage (60.1). Virginia is 3-0 against ranked opponents this season, but all of those victories came at home.

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Louisville is riding a four-game winning streak into today’s contest after a 91-83 win at Virginia Tech on Wednesday. The Cardinals made 12-of-18 three-point attempts in the game which made up for their uncharacteristically poor defense. They rank fifth in the nation in points allowed at 60.0 and the 83 they surrendered to the Hokies was a season-high. Chinanu Onuaku saw his six-game double-double streak end on Wednesday after finishing with 9 points and 5 rebounds before fouling out in only 14 minutes. Leading scorer Damion Lee (17.2 points) made up for it by pouring in a season-high 29 points, going 6-of-7 beyond the arc to end a four-game slump in which he went 5-of-26 from 3-point range. He needs just 18 more points for 1,900 in his career. Trey Lewis (12.7) matched a season-high with 22 points, going 4-of-7 from long-range to snap out of a 3-for-21 funk over his previous five games. Louisville trails North Carolina by just a game in the ACC and will get them at home Monday night.

Virginia has not been great on the road this season, but I think their defense and ability not to turn the ball over will keep them in this game. Louisville might be caught looking ahead to Monday.

Pick: Virginia +6

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