USC vs California Spread, Trends, and Free Pick – October 13th, 2011 ]]> include($base_url . “/includes/header.htm”); ?>
The point spread for Thursday Night’s ESPN Pac 12 game between the USC Trojans and California Golden Bears opened up at -3 in favor of the Trojans at Bodog Sportsbook on Monday afternoon. The line has moved to 3.5 as of Wednesday afternoon. Bodog hasn’t released a total, but most books have it set at 58.5. Right now, 62% of the betting public are on the Trojans. To help you better decide who to bet, take a look at these trends for tonight.
Trojans are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a road favorite.
Trojans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in October.
Golden Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Golden Bears are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-1 in Trojans last 6 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
Under is 4-1 in Trojans last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 4-1 in Golden Bears last 5 games as a home underdog.
Under is 4-1 in Golden Bears last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in California.
Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in California.
My Prediction: USC looks to keep pace with Arizona State in the Pac-12 South, while California is just trying to get back on the winning track after losing 2 straight. The Trojans are playing only their 2nd road game of the year. They lost at Arizona State 43-22 on September 24th. This will be Cal’s first conference home game even though they are playing across the Bay in San Francisco. I don’t like the quality of USC’s wins so far this year and I think they are prime for an upset here.