Timberwolves vs Thunder Preview, Odds, & Free Pick – [12/1/17]

Minnesota (13-9) at Oklahoma City (8-12)
When: Friday, December 1st 2017
Where: Chesapeake Energy Arena, Oklahoma City, OK
Time: 8:05 ET | TV: NBA TV
Opening Odds: Oklahoma City -4.5/211

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Two teams who are looking for some more consistency meet Friday night when the Oklahoma City Thunder host the Minnesota Timberwolves at Chesapeake Energy Arena, broadcast live on NBA TV. The Thunder will begin a three-game homestand on Friday and are coming off another bad loss on Wednesday when they collapsed in the second half in Orlando. Oklahoma City has just one win in its last six games – a statement victory over the defending champion Golden State Warriors – and saw its offense hit a wall while the Magic used a 26-3 run in the second half on Wednesday to turn a close game into a 121-108 win. The Timberwolves have traded wins and losses over the last six games, and they followed up a 92-89 loss at home to Washington on Tuesday with a 120-102 road victory the next night at New Orleans. Minnesota has taken the first two this season by a combined seven points. Oklahoma City has lost an eye-popping 12 games this season when favored.

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Minnesota’s offense comes and goes based on the play of guard Jimmy Butler, who scored 19 points on 8-of-12 shooting on Wednesday after going 5-of-17 from the floor in Tuesday’s loss to the Wizards. Butler is shooting 45.8% from the field in wins and 41% in losses, a trait he shares with center Karl-Anthony Towns (54.5% in wins, 50% in losses), who averaged 30 points and 15.5 rebounds in two wins over Oklahoma City in October. Center Gorgui Dieng scored 19 points on Wednesday after recording 17 total in his previous four games. With Portland’s loss last night, the Timberwolves are now tied atop the Northwest Division.

Minnesota has won 3 of the last 4 meetings.

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Reigning MVP Russell Westbrook is still working with newcomers Paul George and Carmelo Anthony to find a consistent rhythm that allows the team to be successful. Westbrook was a triple-double threat each night last season, but has taken a lesser role to get George and Anthony involved. Westbrook totaled 37 points and 11 rebounds in his fifth straight game with at least a double-double on Wednesday but committed seven turnovers and went for an x-ray after the game on a bruised left hand that came back negative. George scored 22 points on 7-of-17 shooting Wednesday after managing two points on 1-of-12 from the floor in a loss at Dallas on Saturday.

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It’s a safe bet this year that when Oklahoma City is favored in a game, go against them. I’m not going as far to make Minnesota a moneyline play, but I will take the points with this up-and-coming young squad.

Pick: Timberwolves +4.5

  • Timberwolves are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.
  • Timberwolves are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Timberwolves are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Timberwolves are 7-20-3 ATS in their last 30 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Timberwolves are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Timberwolves are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
  • Timberwolves are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
  • Timberwolves are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Timberwolves are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Timberwolves are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Thunder are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
  • Thunder are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Thunder are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.
  • Thunder are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
  • Thunder are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 vs. Western Conference.
  • Thunder are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Thunder are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Thunder are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
  • Thunder are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 Friday games.
  • Thunder are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Northwest.
  • Under is 9-0 in Timberwolves last 9 games following a straight up win.
  • Under is 6-0 in Timberwolves last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
  • Under is 6-0 in Timberwolves last 6 games following a ATS win.
  • Under is 10-1 in Timberwolves last 11 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 7-1 in Timberwolves last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Under is 6-1 in Timberwolves last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 7-2 in Timberwolves last 9 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Under is 7-2 in Timberwolves last 9 vs. Western Conference.
  • Under is 11-4 in Timberwolves last 15 overall.
  • Under is 22-8-1 in Timberwolves last 31 vs. NBA Northwest.
  • Under is 5-2 in Timberwolves last 7 road games.
  • Over is 5-2 in Timberwolves last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Over is 29-13-1 in Timberwolves last 43 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 11-5-1 in Timberwolves last 17 Friday games.
  • Over is 4-1 in Thunder last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-1 in Thunder last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Under is 17-5 in Thunder last 22 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Under is 6-2 in Thunder last 8 vs. NBA Northwest.
  • Under is 19-7 in Thunder last 26 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 19-7-1 in Thunder last 27 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 16-6 in Thunder last 22 games following a ATS loss.
  • Under is 16-6 in Thunder last 22 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 13-5 in Thunder last 18 home games.
  • Under is 5-2 in Thunder last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Under is 7-3 in Thunder last 10 games following a straight up loss.
  • Under is 27-12 in Thunder last 39 overall.
  • Home team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
  • Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

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