Rockets vs Spurs Betting Odds, Trends, & Free Pick [3/6/17]

By
Jay Cooper
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Houston (44-19) at San Antonio (48-13)
When: Monday, March 6th 2017
Where: AT&T Center, San Antonio, TX
Time: 8:35 ET | TV: ROOT Southwest, FSN Southwest

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The San Antonio Spurs will try and keep pressure on the Golden State Warriors in the Western Conference race when they play host to the Houston Rockets on Monday night. San Antonio is probably the only team that can catch the Warriors now that Kevin Durant is sidelined for the first place Warriors. The Spurs are just two back entering Sunday’s action and will host Golden State later this week. San Antonio has won seven in a row including the last two in overtime over New Orleans and Minnesota. Kawhi Leonard, who is making a case for league MVP, showed why he deserves that honor in Saturday’s 97-90 win over Minnesota by collecting 34 points, 10 rebounds, five assists and six steals. Center Pau Gasol is back in mid-season form, averaging 16 points on 56.5% shooting in five games since returning from a fractured finger. San Antonio began a stretch with six of seven at home with Saturday’s triumph after playing nine of 10 on the road. The Spurs will play the Kings and Thunder before their March 11th matchup with Golden State.

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Houston begins the week just five games back of San Antonio in the Western Conference standings and have won four of their last five games and are second in the NBA in scoring (115.3). Houston has also won eight of its last 10 and just got done thumping a pair of West playoff contenders with wins over the Los Angeles Clippers and Memphis Grizzlies by an average of 17 points. MVP-candidate James Harden scored 20 of his 33 points in the third quarter in Saturday’s win over the Grizzlies and accounted for 30 of the team’s 38 points in the decisive period which includes both points and assists. The three-point shooting team could use a boost from Trevor Ariza, who is just 3-of-19 from long range in the last three games. The road team took each of the first three meetings this season, with Houston earning a 101-99 win at San Antonio on November 9th. After Monday’s contest in San Antonio, the Rockets will get three of their next four at home including a visit from Eastern Conference-leading Cleveland on March 12th.

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The road team is playing well in this series and the Rockets are never out of a game with their three-point shooting. Houston is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games against teams with a .600 winning percentage or better. I’ll take the points in this matchup.

Pick: Rockets +4

ATS TRENDS

Houston
  • Rockets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Western Conference.
  • Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southwest.
  • Rockets are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Rockets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Rockets are 21-10 ATS in their last 31 road games.
  • Rockets are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Rockets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
  • Rockets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Rockets are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win.
  • Rockets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
San Antonio
  • Spurs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Spurs are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
  • Spurs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Spurs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Monday games.
  • Spurs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Southwest.

OU TRENDS

Houston
  • Under is 4-0 in Rockets last 4 road games.
  • Under is 4-0 in Rockets last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Over is 4-0 in Rockets last 4 games following a ATS win.
  • Under is 5-0 in Rockets last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Under is 4-0 in Rockets last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Over is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 games following a straight up win.
  • Over is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
  • Under is 11-3 in Rockets last 14 vs. NBA Southwest.
  • Under is 6-2 in Rockets last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Under is 11-4 in Rockets last 15 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
San Antonio
  • Under is 5-0 in Spurs last 5 home games.
  • Under is 5-0 in Spurs last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 10-1 in Spurs last 11 games following a straight up win.
  • Under is 6-1 in Spurs last 7 vs. Western Conference.
  • Under is 5-1 in Spurs last 6 overall.
  • Under is 5-1 in Spurs last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
  • Under is 8-2 in Spurs last 10 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Under is 4-1 in Spurs last 5 games following a ATS loss.
  • Under is 20-6 in Spurs last 26 Monday games.
  • Under is 8-3 in Spurs last 11 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 13-5 in Spurs last 18 vs. NBA Southwest.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in San Antonio.
  • Rockets are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in San Antonio.
  • Rockets are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
  • Road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

Trends courtesy of SportsOptions.com – an UltimateCapper.com partner

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