Red Sox vs Yankees Preview, Odds, Trends, & Free Pick [8/13/17]

Boston (66-50) at NY Yankees (61-54)
When: Sunday, August 13th 2017
Where: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Time: 8:05 ET | TV: ESPN
Opening Odds: Boston -172/8

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The Boston Red Sox bounced back from a crushing defeat on Friday night by crushing the New York Yankees on Saturday and will look to take a series win in the finale of their three-game set on ESPN’s Sunday Night Baseball. Boston held the lead on Friday before the bullpen fell apart, leading to a 5-4 loss but had little trouble getting to Yankees ace Luis Severino on Saturday in the 10-5 triumph. The Red Sox, who are winners of nine of their last 10 games, have increased their lead over New York in the AL East to 4.5 games. Boston rookie left fielder Andrew Benintendi is swinging a hot stick, hitting a pair of three-run homers in Saturday’s win and is 12-for-23 with 10 RBIs and eight runs scored in the last six games. New York, which leads the AL wild card race, is looking to avoid a fourth straight non-winning series and is trying to stay close to the Red Sox, whom it will play eight more times through the first weekend in September. The Yankees face a tall task on Sunday as Boston ace Chris Sale takes the ball opposite rookie lefty Jordan Montgomery. Boston will once again be without 2B Dustin Pedroia, who was placed on the 10-day disabled list with a knee injury.

Pitchers: Red Sox – Chris Sale (14-4, 2.57 ERA) | Yankees – Jordan Montgomery (7-6, 4.05)

Sale continues to have a Cy Young-type season and it was no different in his last start. He pitched eight scoreless innings against Tampa Bay while striking out 13 en route to his 14th win. Sale has not allowed an earned run in four of his five starts since the All-Star break and has not suffered a loss since July 6th. He had little trouble against the New York lineup on July 15th, when he scattered three hits and struck out 13 over 7.2 scoreless innings.

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Montgomery is back from the minors because CC Sabathia went on the disabled list and is trying to pick up where he left off after holding the Cleveland Indians to one run and three hits over five innings on August 5th. The rookie was hit in the head with a line drive during batting practice on Saturday but went through tests and is expected to make the start. Montgomery was not at his best at Boston on July 14th, when he allowed three runs on six hits and three walks in four innings.

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This is a real mismatch tonight. I would have a hard time going against Sale no matter what lineup he faced right now. Now he’s going up against a rookie and is backed by a hot offense. I’ll lay the 1.5 runs in this one.

Pick: Red Sox -1.5 +105

  • Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Red Sox are 9-1 in their last 10 overall.
  • Red Sox are 7-1 in their last 8 games following a win.
  • Red Sox are 7-1 in their last 8 games on grass.
  • Red Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
  • Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Red Sox are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. American League East.
  • Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Red Sox are 4-0 in Sale’s last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Red Sox are 4-0 in Sale’s last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Red Sox are 6-1 in Sale’s last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
  • Red Sox are 5-1 in Sale’s last 6 road starts.
  • Red Sox are 5-1 in Sale’s last 6 starts on grass.
  • Red Sox are 9-2 in Sale’s last 11 starts with 4 days of rest.
  • Red Sox are 4-1 in Sale’s last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Red Sox are 7-2 in Sale’s last 9 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Red Sox are 16-5 in Sale’s last 21 starts.
  • Red Sox are 8-3 in Sale’s last 11 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Red Sox are 5-2 in Sale’s last 7 starts vs. American League East.
  • Yankees are 7-2 in their last 9 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Yankees are 10-4 in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Yankees are 10-4 in their last 14 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
  • Yankees are 7-3 in their last 10 games following a loss.
  • Yankees are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Yankees are 4-10 in their last 14 during game 3 of a series.
  • Yankees are 7-19 in their last 26 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Yankees are 6-22 in their last 28 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Yankees are 2-5 in Montgomery’s last 7 starts.
  • Yankees are 2-5 in Montgomery’s last 7 starts on grass.
  • Yankees are 1-4 in Montgomery’s last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Yankees are 1-4 in Montgomery’s last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Yankees are 1-4 in Montgomery’s last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Yankees are 1-5 in Montgomery’s last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 Sunday games.
  • Under is 10-1 in Red Sox last 11 during game 3 of a series.
  • Under is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Over is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 vs. American League East.
  • Over is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 5-2 in Red Sox last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-2 in Red Sox last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Under is 4-0 in Sale’s last 4 starts vs. American League East.
  • Under is 5-1 in Sale’s last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-1 in Sale’s last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
  • Under is 4-1 in Sale’s last 5 road starts.
  • Under is 4-1 in Sale’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 6-2 in Sale’s last 8 starts overall.
  • Under is 5-2 in Sale’s last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 3-0-1 in Yankees last 4 during game 3 of a series.
  • Under is 7-1-1 in Yankees last 9 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
  • Under is 5-1-1 in Yankees last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-1-1 in Yankees last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 3-1-1 in Yankees last 5 on grass.
  • Under is 3-1-1 in Yankees last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 3-1-1 in Yankees last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Over is 3-1-1 in Yankees last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 16-7-1 in Yankees last 24 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 4-0 in Montgomery’s last 4 starts on grass.
  • Under is 4-0 in Montgomery’s last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
  • Under is 4-0 in Montgomery’s last 4 starts overall.
  • Over is 5-1 in Montgomery’s last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 5-2 in Montgomery’s last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in New York.
  • Red Sox are 4-10 in the last 14 meetings.
  • Red Sox are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings in New York.

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