Red Sox vs Twins Betting Odds, Trends, & Free Pick [5/5/17]

Boston (15-13) at Minnesota (14-12)
When: Friday, May 5th 2017
Where: Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
Time: 8:10 ET | TV: MLB Network

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The homer-happy Minnesota Twins begin a three-game series on Friday night with the Boston Red Sox, who are still trying to catch the Orioles and Yankees in the American League East. The Twins saw their four-game winning streak snapped at home yesterday to the Oakland A’s 8-5, but have still won six of eight overall. The Twins have 34 runs during their 4-1 stretch and hit 10 homers in a three-game set versus Oakland. Minnesota outfielder Eddie Rosario hit one of three homers in Thursday’s loss to extend his hitting streak to 14 games, boosting his batting average from .154 to .293 in the process. Twins third baseman Miguel Sano, who has four homers and 13 RBIs in his last seven games, has a hearing on an appeal of his one-game suspension Friday and will sit out if it is upheld. Boston is coming off an intense four-game series with the Baltimore Orioles in which they earned a split after Thursday’s 8-3 setback. Red Sox second baseman Dustin Pedroia ended a 13-game extra-base drought with his first homer of the season Thursday and is 16-for-41 with five homers and 15 RBIs against tonight’s scheduled Minnesota starter Phil Hughes. Twins CF Byron Buxton left Thursday’s game after crashing into the wall. He passed his concussion protocol but will be re-evaluated Friday.

Pitchers: Red Sox – Eduardo Rodriguez (1-1, 2.70 ERA) | Twins – Phil Hughes (4-1, 5.06)

Eduardo Rodriguez was terrific against the Chicago Cubs last time out, recording a season-high nine strikeouts in six innings while allowing just one. Rodriguez also went six innings in his previous turn, overcoming five walks to hold Baltimore scoreless on one hit. Rodriguez has not been so lucky against Brian Dozier, who is 4-for-6 with two homers against him.

Hughes earned his fourth win of the season at Kansas City despite allowing a season-high 10 hits last time out while allowing at least four runs for the third time in four starts. Hughes, who is 4-0 on the road, went six strong innings in his previous outing at Texas, giving up two runs on six hits. Hughes is 6-9 with a 5.36 ERA in 26 appearances (17 starts) against Boston.

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Boston should be more relaxed after the series with Baltimore and have had success against Hughes. Rodriguez has been great and will cool-off the Twins bats.

Pick: Red Sox -140

W/L TRENDS

Boston
  • Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Red Sox are 26-12 in their last 38 during game 1 of a series.
  • Red Sox are 3-8 in their last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Red Sox are 4-11 in their last 15 road games.
  • Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 Friday games.
  • Red Sox are 2-9 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Red Sox are 1-7 in their last 8 vs. American League Central.
  • Red Sox are 4-0 in Rodriguezs last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.
  • Red Sox are 5-0 in Rodriguezs last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
  • Red Sox are 4-1 in Rodriguezs last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
  • Red Sox are 6-2 in Rodriguezs last 8 starts.
  • Red Sox are 5-2 in Rodriguezs last 7 starts on grass.
  • Red Sox are 0-5 in Rodriguezs last 5 starts vs. American League Central.
Minnesota
  • Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
  • Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
  • Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
  • Twins are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Twins are 20-43 in their last 63 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Twins are 15-36 in their last 51 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Twins are 10-25 in their last 35 vs. American League East.
  • Twins are 8-24 in their last 32 Friday games.
  • Twins are 8-1 in Hughes’ last 9 starts during game 1 of a series.
  • Twins are 6-1 in Hughes’ last 7 starts.
  • Twins are 6-1 in Hughes’ last 7 starts on grass.
  • Twins are 2-6 in Hughes’ last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Twins are 1-4 in Hughes’ last 5 starts vs. American League East.
  • Twins are 1-4 in Hughes’ last 5 home starts.
  • Twins are 1-4 in Hughes’ last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.

OU TRENDS

Boston
  • Under is 3-0-1 in Red Sox last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 4-1-1 in Red Sox last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Under is 22-6-3 in Red Sox last 31 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 3-1-1 in Red Sox last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Under is 26-9-3 in Red Sox last 38 on grass.
  • Under is 25-10-2 in Red Sox last 37 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Over is 9-4-1 in Red Sox last 14 Friday games.
  • Under is 38-18-1 in Red Sox last 57 road games.
  • Under is 33-16-3 in Red Sox last 52 overall.
  • Under is 10-1-1 in Rodriguezs last 12 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 8-1 in Rodriguezs last 9 starts with 4 days of rest.
  • Under is 6-1 in Rodriguezs last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
  • Under is 20-5-1 in Rodriguezs last 26 starts on grass.
  • Under is 22-6-1 in Rodriguezs last 29 starts overall.
  • Under is 16-5-1 in Rodriguezs last 22 road starts.
  • Over is 8-3 in Rodriguezs last 11 starts vs. American League Central.
  • Under is 18-7-1 in Rodriguezs last 26 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Minnesota
  • Under is 2-0-2 in Twins last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 overall.
  • Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 on grass.
  • Under is 5-1-2 in Twins last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Over is 41-10-2 in Twins last 53 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Over is 9-3-1 in Twins last 13 Friday games.
  • Over is 18-7-1 in Twins last 26 vs. American League East.
  • Under is 16-7-1 in Twins last 24 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 27-12-2 in Twins last 41 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 47-23-5 in Twins last 75 home games.
  • Over is 4-0 in Hughes’ last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 5-1 in Hughes’ last 6 home starts.
  • Over is 4-1 in Hughes’ last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 11-4-1 in Hughes’ last 16 starts with 4 days of rest.
  • Over is 5-2 in Hughes’ last 7 starts on grass.
  • Over is 5-2 in Hughes’ last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.
  • Over is 5-2 in Hughes’ last 7 starts overall.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Minnesota.
  • Over is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings.
  • Red Sox are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings in Minnesota.

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